Poll Watch: PPP (D) Montana 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Montana 2012 Senate Poll

• Jon Tester (D) 45% [45%] (48%) {45%} [45%] (46%)
• Denny Rehberg (R) 43% [43%] (43%) {47%} [47%] (48%)
• Dan Cox (L) 8% [8%]
• Undecided 4% [3%] (9%) {8%} [8%] (6%)

Among Independents

• Jon Tester (D) 45% [41%] (48%) {46%} [51%] (49%)
• Denny Rehberg (R) 36% [33%] (36%) {41%} [36%] (39%)
• Dan Cox (L) 15% [18%]
• Undecided 5% [8%] (16%) {13%} [8%] (12%)

Among Republicans

• Denny Rehberg (R) 78% [88%] (85%) {85%} [86%] (88%)
• Jon Tester (D) 9% [6%] (8%) {10%} [8%] (8%)
• Dan Cox (L) 8% [4%]
• Undecided 5% [2%] (7%) {5%} [7%] (4%)

Among Democrats

• Jon Tester (D) 88% [89%] (90%) {86%} [86%] (92%)
• Denny Rehberg (R) 10% [8%] (7%) {10%} [10%] (6%)
• Dan Cox (L) 1% [3%]
• Undecided 1% [1%] (3%) {5%} [4%] (2%)

Among Men

• Denny Rehberg (R) 45% [45%] (45%) {47%} [50%] (51%)
• Jon Tester (D) 41% [43%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (42%)
• Dan Cox (L) 11% [10%]
• Undecided 3% [1%] (11%) {8%} [6%] (6%)

Among Women

• Jon Tester (D) 48% [47%] (51%) {45%} [46%] (49%)
• Denny Rehberg (R) 42% [42%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)
• Dan Cox (L) 6% [6%]
• Undecided 4% [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (6%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jon Tester’s job performance?

• Approve 42% [46%] (46%) {46%} [51%] (50%)
• Disapprove 50% [48%] (43%) {42%} [39%] (40%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Congressman Denny Rehberg’s job performance?

• Approve 41% [42%] (39%) {41%} [44%]
• Disapprove 52% [52%] (49%) {47%} [45%]

Survey of 737 likely Montana voters was conducted October 8-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 36% [34%] (33%) {35%} [39%] (38%) Republican; 29% [33%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Democrat; 35% [33%] (37%) {35%} [30%] (32%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% [28%] (32%) {27%} [27%] Moderate; 26% [24%] (26%) {27%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [21%] (18%) {19%} [21%] Very conservative; 15% [13%] (16%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [13%] (8%) {8%} [9%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 28-30, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.