Poll Watch: PPP (D) Montana 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Montana 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 52% [50%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 41% [45%] (43%) {40%} [41%] (39%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% [50%] (49%) {51%} [51%] (53%)
• Barack Obama 38% [44%] (40%) {40%} [39%] (37%)

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 52% [50%] (46%) {50%} [47%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 44% [47%] (46%) {40%} [42%] (41%)
  

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 50% [46%] (43%)
• Barack Obama 40% [43%] (41%)
• Gary Johnson 6% [7%] (8%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 52% [47%] (38%) {32%} [33%] (38%) / 44% [48%] (50%) {50%} [48%] (39%) {+8%} 
• Gary Johnson 5% [9%] / 12% [13%] {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 40% [44%] (42%) {39%} [43%] (41%)
• Disapprove 56% [54%] (54%) {56%} [54%] (54%)

Do you think the Bureau of Labor Statistics is manipulating the unemployment numbers to
help Barack Obama, or not?

• It is 45%
• It is not 44%

Among Democrats

• It is 13%
• It is not 78%

Among Republicans

• It is 74%
• It is not 10%

Among Independents

• It is 40%
• It is not 52%

Among Men

• It is 50%
• It is not 41%

Among Women

• It is 39%
• It is not 46%

Survey of 737 likely Montana voters was conducted October 8-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 36% [34%] (33%) {35%} [39%] (38%) Republican; 29% [33%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Democrat; 35% [33%] (37%) {35%} [30%] (32%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% [28%] (32%) {27%} [27%] Moderate; 26% [24%] (26%) {27%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [21%] (18%) {19%} [21%] Very conservative; 15% [13%] (16%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [13%] (8%) {8%} [9%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 28-30, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.