Sunday, November 04, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 51% {51%} [51%] (49%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {53%} [46%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 48% {46%} [45%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [46%] (44%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
Note: 2008 Barack Obama 56%, John McCain 43% / 2004 John Kerry 50%, George W. Bush 49%

Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 57% {50%} [48%] (51%) {52%} [47%] {53%} [53%] (53%) {57%} [38%] (40%) {47%} [45%] (43%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [43%] {39%} [35%] (36%) {33%} [42%] (37%) {36%} [33%] (36%)
Note: Independents: 2008 (29%): Barack Obama 58%, John McCain 39% / 2004 (27%): John Kerry 53%, George W. Bush 45%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 62% (63%) {64%} [61%] {67%} [61%] (66%) {67%} [61%] (57%) {67%} [64%] (61%)
  • Mitt Romney 35% (30%) {30%} [31%] {24%} [29%] (28%) {24%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [20%] (25%)
Note: Moderates: 2008 (47%): Barack Obama 63%, John McCain 36% / 2004 (49%): John Kerry 56%, George W. Bush 44%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 52% {50%} [48%] (50%) {47%} [52%] {48%} [49%] (49%) {42%} [49%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 47% {47%} [48%] (46%) {50%} [43%] {46%} [42%] (46%) {51%} [40%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% {54%} [54%] (52%) {54%} [50%] {53%} [51%] (53%) {54%} [52%] (51%) {56%} [53%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {43%} [42%] (45%) {43%} [44%] {41%} [43%] (41%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {33%} [32%] (40%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 48% {47%] [47%] (49%) {44%} (45%) {41%} [37%] (38%) {25%} [31%] (32%) {29%} [30%] (33%) / 46% {49%} [50%] (48%) {51%} (48%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {61%} [53%] (48%) {49%} [41%] (45%) {+2%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 95% (92%) {85%} (87%) {81%} [70%] (77%) {43%} [53%] (54%) {46%} [49%] (56%) / 3% (7%) {11%} (8%) {9%} [14%] (12%) {34%} [32%] (26%) {30%} [21%] (22%) {+92%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 39% {41%} [44%] (45%) {42%} (41%) {35%} [26%] (30%) {24%} [30%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) / 50% {50%} [50%] (52%) {51%} (50%) {54%} [53%] (53%) {60%} [50%] (44%) {43%} [38%] (46%) {-11%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 38% (32%) {29%} (29%) {22%} [22%] (26%) {19%} / 54% (63%) {65%} (61%) {66%} [58%] (60%) {63%} {-16%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 51% {50%} [49%] (51%) {48%} (50%) {45%} [42%] (43%) {24%} [35%] (33%) {34%} [35%] (35%) / 42% {46%} [48%] (47%) {47%} (46%) {47%} [43%] (45%) {62%} [51%] (48%) {50%} [42%] (50%) {+9%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 46% {44%} [45%] (48%) {40%} (42%) {38%} [32%] (34%) {25%} [27%] (31%) {26%} [25%] (31%) / 50% {51%} [52%] (49%) {56%} (49%) {53%} [52%] (52%) {60%} [54%] (47%) {47%} [40%] (41%) {-4%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 46% {50%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [46%] {47%} [44%] (47%) {52%} [44%] (45%) {52%} [49%] (47%)
  • Disapprove 49% {47%} [47%] (49%) {47%} [50%] {48%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [51%] (51%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
Survey of 1,256 likely Wisconsin voters was conducted November 2-3, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% {34%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (32%) {30%} [28%] (31%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [33%] (35%) Democrat; 32% {30%] [29%] (33%) {31%} [36%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (34%) {32%} [32%] (31%) Republican; 33% {36%} [38%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (34%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {36%} [32%] (29%) {31%} [35%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% (29%) {29%} (29%) {28%} {31%} (30%) {29%} [30%] (31%) Moderate; 21% (24%) {26%} (24%) {26%} {25%} (25%) {21%} [23%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 20% (18%) {19%} (20%) {18%} {19%} (19%) {22%} [20%] (21%) Somewhat liberal; 18% (16%) {15%} (16%) {18%} {15%} (17%) {17%} [17%] (18%) Very conservative; 9% (12%) {11%} (10%) {10%} {10%} (10%) {11%} [10%] (7%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

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