Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey
  • Rick Perry 29% [18%]
  • Mitt Romney 18% [22%] (33%) {17%} [24%] (20%)
  • Michele Bachmann 13% [16%] (19%)
  • Ron Paul 9% [10%] (7%) {8%} [4%] (5%)
  • Herman Cain 6% [9%] (10%)
  • Newt Gingrich 5% [6%] (9%) {9%} [11%] (13%)
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Jon Huntsman 1% [2%] (2%)
  • Thaddeus McCotter 0%
  • Undecided 16% [9%]
Would every one of the Republican candidates make a better President than Barack Obama?
  • Yes 70%
  • No 20%
      National survey of 1,000 likely GOP primary voters was conducted August 15, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 26, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 1, 2010 are in parentheses.


      Inside the numbers:
      Perry captures 39% of the vote among GOP primary voters who say they are members of the Tea Party, with Bachmann a distant second with 21% support from this group. Perry barely leads Romney among non-Tea Party members 27% to 24%, but this marks a interesting change from the previous survey when Romney held a double-digit lead over Perry among these voters. 
      Sixty-nine percent (69%) of primary voters hold a favorable opinion of Perry, with 38% Very Favorable. Bachmann is viewed favorably by 71%, with 32% who share a Very Favorable regard for her. 
      Romney has slightly higher overall favorable rating – 77% - than Perry and Bachmann, but there’s less enthusiasm in his support. Only 21% hold a Very Favorable opinion of him. 
      Roughly one-in-five hold an unfavorable view of the three front-runners. 
      Paul, who emerged as a Cinderella of sorts from the Saturday straw poll, is viewed favorably by 43% and unfavorably by 45%. Gingrich is in a similar position with favorables of 48% and unfavorables of 43%. 
      For Cain, Santorum, Huntsman and McCotter, name recognition is still a problem, with at least one-in-four primary voters still not aware of them enough to venture any kind of opinion.

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