Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey

• Herman Cain 30% [7%] (16%)
• Mitt Romney 22% [19%] (26%) {28%}
• Ron Paul 10% [16%] (11%) {16%}
• Rick Perry 9% [22%]
• Michele Bachmann 8% [18%] (14%) {15%}
• Newt Gingrich 8% [5%] (15%) {19%}
• Rick Santorum 5% [5%]
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Jon Huntsman 1% [3%] (1%)
• Someone Else/Undecided 5% [5%] (8%) {12%}

Second Choice

• Newt Gingrich 17%
• Herman Cain 16%
• Rick Perry 12%
• Michele Bachmann 11%
• Mitt Romney 11%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Rick Santorum 5%
• Jon Huntsman 3%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Someone Else/Undecided 15%

If the Republican race for president came down to Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 46% [30%]
• Rick Perry 37% [48%]

If the Republican race for president came down to Mitt Romney and Herman Cain, who would you vote for?

• Herman Cain 48%
• Mitt Romney 38%

If the Republican race for president came down to Herman Cain and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Herman Cain 52%
• Rick Perry 29%

Do you think that Herman Cain is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 6%
• Too conservative 10%
• About right 69%

Do you think that Rick Perry is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 21%
• Too conservative 15%
• About right 47%

Do you think that Mitt Romney is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 35%
• Too conservative 6%
• About right 48%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Herman Cain 63% [42%] (38%) {15%} / 17% [35%] (24%) {9%} {+46%}
• Rick Santorum 46% [44%] (29%) {27%} [28%] / 17% [22%] (18%) {11%} [9%] {+29%}
• Newt Gingrich 56% [42%] (39%) {47%} [53%] / 32% [44%] (41%) {26%} [27%] {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 51% [45%] (51%) {55%} [57%] / 36% [38%] (34%) {25%} [26%] {+15%}
• Michele Bachmann 44% [47%] (53%) {49%} / 38% [35%] (16%) {13%} {+6%}
• Rick Perry 38% [56%] (21%) / 41% [24%] (16%) {-3%}
• Ron Paul 37% [53%] (42%) {55%} [47%] / 46% [29%] (29%) {17%} [23%] {-9%}
• Jon Huntsman 18% [13%] (7%) {5%} / 28% [40%] (23%) {8%} {-10%}
• Buddy Roemer 2% [1%] (4%) {2%} / 12% [34%] (21%) {10%} {-10%}
• Fred Karger 2% [3%] (2%) / 13% [25%] (17%) {-11%}
• Gary Johnson 7% [5%] (4%) {2%} / 20% [31%] (18%) {8%} {-13%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 29% [33%] (31%) {28%}
• No 52% [51%] (48%) {48%}

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

• Yes 37% [48%] (42%) {26%}
• No 42% [32%] (36%) {48%}
• Not sure 22% [20%] (23%) {26%}

Survey of 311 probable Iowa Republican caucus-goers was conducted October 7-10, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 36% [38%] (41%) {44%} Very conservative; 36% [34%] (37%) {33%} Somewhat conservative; 21% [21%] (14%) {17%} Moderate; 4% [3%] (6%) {4%} Somewhat liberal; 3% [3%] (2%) {2%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in square brackets.