Rasmussen Tennessee 2012 GOP Primary Poll
Inside the numbers:- Rick Santorum 34%
- Mitt Romney 30%
- Newt Gingrich 18%
- Ron Paul 8%
- Some other candidate 3%
- Undecided 7%
- Certain 59%
- Could change mind 35%
- Mitt Romney 41%
- Rick Santorum 25%
- Newt Gingrich 20%
- Ron Paul 4%
Survey of 750 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 3, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
Seventy-nine percent (79%) of primary voters in Tennessee expect to vote for the Republican candidate no matter who wins the nomination. That includes 94% of Gingrich supporters, 83% of Santorum voters and 81% of those planning to vote for Romney. Just 51% of Paul supporters expect to support the GOP candidate if their man doesn’t get the nod.
Regardless of who they want to win the nomination, 70% think Romney will be the nominee, while only 16% expect Santorum to win.
Santorum is viewed favorably by 70% of likely Republican primary voters in the state. Sixty-four percent (64%) say the same of Romney, and 58% offer positive reviews of Gingrich. For Paul, most reviews (60%) are negative. Just 35% hold a positive view of the congressman from Texas.
Forty-eight percent (48%) of Tennessee primary voters say the ability to win in November is more important than finding the candidate who best represents Republican values. Forty-three percent (43%) hold the opposite view. Among those who see party values as most important, Santorum leads Romney 42% to 20%, with Gingrich picking up 19% of the vote. Among those who see electability as the top priority, it’s Romney 41%, Santorum 27% and Gingrich 19%.
Santorum leads Romney by a 51% to 14% margin among very conservative voters. However, among those who are somewhat conservative, Romney leads 38% to 26%. Among all other primary voters, Romney leads by 27 percentage points.
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