Poll Watch: PPP (D) Tennessee 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Tennessee 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 34%
• Mitt Romney 29% (11%)
• Newt Gingrich 27% (11%)
• Ron Paul 8% (10%)
• Someone else/Undecided 2% (14%)

Already Voted (25%)

• Rick Santorum 39%
• Mitt Romney 32%
• Newt Gingrich 23%
• Ron Paul 6%

Plan to Vote on Election Day (75%)

• Rick Santorum 32%
• Newt Gingrich 28%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Someone else/Not sure 3%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 67%
• Might end up supporting someone else 33%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 62% / 30% {+32%}
• Newt Gingrich 57% (52%) / 33% (28%) {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 46% (47%) / 46% (30%) {0%}
• Ron Paul 31% / 58% {-27%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 26%
• No 60%

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 66%
• Are not 34%

Which best describes when you decided who to vote for: in the last few days, the last week, the last month, or earlier than that?

• In the last few days 9%
• In the last week 10%
• In the last month 35%
• Earlier than that 36%

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States, or not?

• He was 33%
• He was not 45%
• Not sure 22%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rush Limbaugh?

• Favorable 46%
• Unfavorable 29%

Survey of 525 likely Tennessee Republican primary voters was conducted March 3-4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 75% Republican; 19% Independent; 6% Democrat.  Political ideology: 48% (45%) Very conservative; 32% (32%) Somewhat conservative; 14% (18%) Moderate; 4% (4%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 9-13, 2011 are in parentheses.