Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Ohio 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 37% [25%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (23%) 
• Rick Santorum 36% [22%] (1%) {1%} 
• Newt Gingrich 15% [26%] (20%) {14%} [8%] (16%)  
• Ron Paul 11% [11%] (5%) {7%} [8%] (13%)
• Someone else/Not sure 2% [16%] (9%) {12%} [16%] (18%)

Already Voted (14%)

• Mitt Romney 41%
• Rick Santorum 34%
• Newt Gingrich 17%
• Ron Paul 8%

Plan to Vote on Election Day (86%)

• Rick Santorum 36%
• Mitt Romney 36%
• Newt Gingrich 15%
• Ron Paul 11%
• Someone else/Not sure 3%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 72% [44%] (36%) {29%}
• Might end up supporting someone else 28% [56%] (64%) {71%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 57% [59%] / 34% [24%] {+23%}
• Mitt Romney 52% [47%] (47%) {55%} [52%] (55%) {53%} [53%] / 40% [37%] (37%) {33%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [25%] {+12%} 
• Newt Gingrich 46% [47%] (62%) {56%} (42%) {46%} [53%] / 40% [37%] (24%) {32%} (34%) {29%} [27%] {+6%}
• Ron Paul 38% [31%] (33%) {32%} / 51% [52%] (46%) {49%} {-13%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 27% [28%] (35%) {33%}
• No 60% [57%] (50%) {54%}

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 43%
• Are not 57%

Which best describes when you decided who to vote for: in the last few days, the last week, the last month, or earlier than that?

• In the last few days 12%
• In the last week 10%
• In the last month 37%
• Earlier than that 30%

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States, or not?

• He was 42%
• He was not 37%
• Not sure 21%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rush Limbaugh?

• Favorable 45%
• Unfavorable 28%

Survey of 666 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 3-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 76% Republican; 19% Independent; 5% Democrat.  Political ideology: 41% [35%] (42%) {37%} [41%] (38%) {34%} Very conservative; 35% [38%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {46%} Somewhat conservative; 15% [21%] (16%) {18%} [16%] (17%) {16%} Moderate; 5% [4%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (4%) {3%} Somewhat liberal; 3% [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {1%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28-30, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Romney up 40-23 with folks who decided in the last few days in Ohio.