Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Newt Gingrich 33% [28%] (18%)
• Mitt Romney 31% [12%] (8%)
• Rick Santorum 27% [1%]
• Ron Paul 7% [4%] (4%)
• Someone else/Undecided 2% [9%] (8%)

Very Conservative

• Newt Gingrich 35%
• Rick Santorum 32%
• Mitt Romney 26%
• Ron Paul 4%
• Someone else/Undecided 3%

Somewhat Conservative

• Mitt Romney 34%
• Newt Gingrich 32%
• Rick Santorum 26%
  
• Ron Paul 7%
• Someone else/Undecided 1%

Among Men

• Newt Gingrich 34%
• Rick Santorum 29%
  
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Someone else/Undecided 1%

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 33%
  
• Newt Gingrich 32%
• Rick Santorum 25%
  
• Ron Paul 6%
• Someone else/Undecided 3%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 75% [40%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 25% [60%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Newt Gingrich 62% [63%] (58%) / 29% [22%] (24%) {+33%}
• Rick Santorum 60% / 28% {+32%} 
• Mitt Romney 51% [40%] (48%) / 41% [44%] (36%) {+10%}
• Ron Paul 30% [33%] / 57% [48%] {-27%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 24% [35%]
• No 58% [50%]

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 70%
• Are not 30%

Evangelical Christians

• Newt Gingrich 33%
• Rick Santorum 29%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Someone else/Undecided 3%

Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 37%
  
• Newt Gingrich 33%
• Rick Santorum 22%
  
• Ron Paul 7%
• Someone else/Undecided 1%

Which best describes when you decided who to vote for: in the last few days, the last week, the last month, or earlier than that?

• In the last few days 9%
• In the last week 10%
• In the last month 27%
• Earlier than that 39%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rush Limbaugh?

• Favorable 51%
• Unfavorable 30%

Do you think Barack Obama is a Christian or a Muslim, or are you not sure?

• Christian 12%
• Muslim 52%
• Not sure 36%

Very Conservative

• Christian 3%
• Muslim 58%
• Not sure 39%

Among Tea Party Members

• Christian 4%
• Muslim 66%
• Not sure 30%

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters

• Christian 17%
• Muslim 45%
• Not sure 39% 

Among Evangelical Christians 

• Christian 9%
• Muslim 54%
• Not sure 37%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Christian 19%
• Muslim 45%
• Not sure 36%

Do you believe in evolution, or not?

• Believe in evolution 22%
• Do not 66%
• Not sure 11%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Believe in evolution 16%
• Do not 74%
• Not sure 11%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Believe in evolution 43%
• Do not 45%
• Not sure 12%

Do you think that interracial marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 54%
• Illegal 29%
• Not sure 17%

Age 18-45

• Legal 70%
• Illegal 23%
• Not sure 8%

Age 46-65

• Legal 61%
• Illegal 20%
• Not sure 19%

Age 65+

• Legal 35%
• Illegal 43%
• Not sure 22%

Survey of 656 likely Mississippi Republican primary voters was conducted March 10-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 75% Republican; 21% Independent; 4% Democrat.  Political ideology: 44% [51%] (40%) Very conservative; 34% [32%] (36%) Somewhat conservative; 14% [12%] (17%) Moderate; 5% [3%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 3% [2%] (4%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in parentheses.