Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (43%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 93% (92%) {92%} [88%] (91%) {93%} [89%] (91%)
• Mitt Romney 5% (4%) {5%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 92% (86%) {84%} [79%] (84%) {80%} [81%] (82%)
• Barack Obama 5% (9%) {9%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 46% (36%) {46%} [41%] (36%) {37%} [47%] (42%)
• Barack Obama 43% (47%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {48%} [39%] (42%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 64% (65%) {62%} [67%] (64%) {71%} [64%] (62%)
• Mitt Romney 26% (26%) {28%} [21%] (19%) {24%} [27%] (27%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% (50%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {43%} [48%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 44% (43%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 55% (55%) {55%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [51%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (36%) {38%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (41%)

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Constitution Party candidate Virgil Goode, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 50% (49%) {50%}
• Mitt Romney 42% (35%) {38%}
• Virgil Goode 4% (9%) {5%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 47% / 41% {+6%}
• Joe Biden 46% / 47% {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 46% (38%) {38%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) / 49% (51%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {-3%}

Among Democrats

• Joe Biden 85% / 8% {+77%}
• Paul Ryan 9% / 76% {-67%}
• Mitt Romney 9% (4%) {10%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (6%) / 88% (86%) {80%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [73%] (69%) {-79%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 90% (77%) {71%} [44%] (53%) {52%} [52%] (57%) / 5% (16%) {20%} [42%] (34%) {24%} [26%] (28%) {+85%}
• Paul Ryan 85% / 5% {+80%}
• Joe Biden 5% / 90% {-85%}

Among Independents

• Paul Ryan 55% / 35% {+20%}
• Mitt Romney 48% (33%) {40%} [36%] (31%) {34%} [42%] (37%) / 46% (51%) {49%} [47%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {+2%}
• Joe Biden 40% / 51% {-11%}

Among Moderates

• Joe Biden 60% / 32% {+28%}
• Paul Ryan 31% / 51% {-20%}
• Mitt Romney 27% (24%) {27%} [30%] (30%) {32%} [31%] (23%) / 64% (66%) {60%} [56%] (50%) {43%} [50%] (53%) {-37%}

Among Men

• Paul Ryan 53% / 37% {+16%}
• Mitt Romney 51% (42%) {42%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (33%) / 45% (48%) {50%} [56%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (50%) {+6%}
• Joe Biden 39% / 55% {-16%}

Among Women

• Joe Biden 52% / 40% {+12%}
• Paul Ryan 42% / 45% {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 42% (34%) {35%} [33%] (31%) {34%} [28%] (33%) / 53% (54%) {54%} [48%] (47%) {39%} [50%] (42%) {-11%}

If you were allowed to vote directly for Vice President, would you choose Democrat Joe Biden or Republican Paul Ryan?

• Joe Biden 49%
• Paul Ryan 46%
• Not sure 5%

Do you support or oppose Paul Ryan's proposal for reforming Medicare?

• Support 38%
• Oppose 46%
• Not sure 16%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 49% (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (50%)
• Disapprove 46% (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (45%)

Survey of 855 likely Virginia voters was conducted August 16-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (33%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Democrat; 30% (33%) {32%} [36%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 33% (34%) {29%} [31%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (30%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: (29%) {31%} [34%] (30%) {31%} [32%] Moderate; (26%) {24%} [24%] (21%) {22%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; (19%) {20%} [15%] (18%) {18%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; (17%) {17%} [18%] (20%) {21%} [16%] Very conservative; (9%) {9%} [9%] (11%) {8%} [11%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.