Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 49% (43%) {48%} [36%] (38%) {44%} [36%] (42%)
• Tommy Thompson (R) 46% (54%) {41%} [52%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (49%)
• Some other candidate 2% (1%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%)
• Not sure 4% (3%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (6%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Tammy Baldwin

• Very favorable 32% (22%)
• Somewhat favorable 17% (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 13% (16%)
• Very unfavorable 31% (33%)

Tommy Thompson 

• Very favorable 22% (23%)
• Somewhat favorable 27% (36%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 18% (20%)
• Very unfavorable 28% (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tammy Baldwin 49% (43%) / 44% (49%) {+5%}
• Tommy Thompson 49% (59%) / 46% (37%) {+3%} 

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Both candidates earn more than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. Baldwin leads by seven points among voters not affiliated with either the Republicans or the Democrats.

Male voters prefer Thompson by six points, while Baldwin has an 11-point lead among female voters. Married voters are essentially tied, while those who are not married prefer the Democrat by 13 points.