Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 46%  

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: High Point University/SurveyUSA North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

HPU/SurveyUSA North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 46% [43%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (48%) {50%}
• Barack Obama 43% [43%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (39%) {39%}
• Someone else 5% [6%] (3%)
• Undecided 6% [8%] (2%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 52% [43%] (54%) 
• Barack Obama 28% [37%] (36%) 
• Someone else 9% [11%] (7%)
• Undecided 11% [10%] (3%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 51% [43%] (54%) 
• Barack Obama 41% [43%] (43%)  
• Someone else 3% [9%] (3%)
• Undecided 5% [5%] (1%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 45% [43%] (48%)
  
• Mitt Romney 42% [43%] (46%) 
• Someone else 7% [3%] (3%)
• Undecided 7% [11%] (3%)

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 61% [54%] (59%)
• Barack Obama 28% [30%] (34%)
• Someone else 5% [7%] (4%)
• Undecided 6% [9%] (2%)

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama 83% [87%] (85%)
  
• Mitt Romney 8% [6%] (14%)
• Someone else 0% [3%] (2%)
• Undecided 9% [4%] (0%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 53%

Survey of 543 registered voters was conducted August 26-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 40% [37%] (38%) Democrat; 32% [33%] (30%) Republican; 23% [27%] (31%) Independent.  Race: 70% [70%] White; 18% [19%] Black; 8% [7%] Hispanic; 4% [3%] Asian.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 29 - July 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 46% [46%] (45%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%)
• Barack Obama 44% [44%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (46%)
• Some other candidate 4% [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 5% [6%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (5%)

Survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. The swing state poll covers 11 key states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.  Results from the poll conducted August 26 - September 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 25-31, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 24-30, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-28, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Currently, Romney is supported by 92% of swing state Republicans, while Obama picks up 82% of swing state Democrats. The president has a two-point edge among swing state unaffiliated voters.

The president’s job approval in the swing states is currently 47%. That’s down four points from a week ago. Fifty-two percent (52%) disapprove. Those figures include 26% who strongly approve and 41% who strongly disapprove.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 44%
• Some other candidate 2%
• Undecided 5% 

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 35.97% Republican; 33.77% Democrat; 30.27% Independent.  Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: Elon University/Charlotte Observer North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Elon University/Charlotte Observer North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 43%

Survey of likely voters was conducted August 25-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

One reason for Romney’s edge: By a margin of 52 percent to 39 percent, North Carolina voters say he would do a better job handling the economy.

While Romney enjoys a 12-point lead among male voters, the candidates are virtually tied among women.

Romney has made no inroads among African American voters. Only 1 percent of black voters support him, while 89 percent back Obama. Ten percent say they don’t know or refused to answer.

Romney has a 3-point edge when voters were asked which candidate most shared their values.

Fifty-one percent of Romney supporters described themselves as “very excited” compared to 47 percent of Obama voters.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Survey on Senator Marco Rubio

PPP (D) Florida Poll on Sen. Marco Rubio

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio’s job performance?

• Approve 51% [45%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [43%]
• Disapprove 33% [42%] (40%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {35%} [31%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 26% [19%] (20%) {15%} [19%] (16%) {17%} [17%]
• Disapprove 51% [65%] (64%) {68%} [59%] (68%) {55%} [51%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 85% [74%] (71%) {74%} [65%] (82%) {75%} [70%]
• Disapprove 11% [17%] (17%) {10%} [17%] (6%) {13%} [10%]

Among Independents

• Approve 42% [44%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {36%} [44%]
• Disapprove 38% [45%] (39%) {50%} [45%] (43%) {30%} [31%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 42% [34%] (25%) {32%} [29%] (31%) {27%} [21%]
• Disapprove 39% [53%] (53%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {45%} [47%]

Among Men

• Approve 51% [47%] (50%) {50%} [42%] (45%) {47%} [50%]
• Disapprove 38% [45%] (34%) {40%} [44%] (41%) {32%} [30%]

Among Women

• Approve 52% [44%] (37%) {38%} [37%] (44%) {37%} [35%]
• Disapprove 29% [40%] (47%) {42%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [31%]

Among Whites

• Approve 56% [53%] (50%) {50%} [46%] (53%) {49%} [49%]
• Disapprove 31% [37%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (33%) {30%} [29%]

Among Hispanics

• Approve 54% [41%] (39%) {39%} [35%] (31%) {46%} [41%]
• Disapprove 29% [47%] (48%) {52%} [52%] (56%) {34%} [30%]

Survey of 1,548 likely voters was conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] Democrat; 37% [40%] (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] Republican; 21% [19%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 36% [33%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 25% [20%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 16% [17%] (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 13% [20%] (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 9% [10%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Race: 70% [69%] (70%) White: 13% [15%] (12%) Hispanic; 13% [11%] (12%) Black; 5% [5%] (5%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48% 
• Mitt Romney 48%  
  

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 51% 
  
• Barack Obama 40% 

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 58% 
• Mitt Romney 35% 
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 52% 
  
• Barack Obama 44% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% 
• Mitt Romney 44%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 46% / 42% {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 47% / 48% {-1%}

Among Independents

• Paul Ryan 52% / 41% {+11%}
• Mitt Romney 47% / 44% {+3%} 
  

Among Moderates 

• Paul Ryan 33% / 52% {-19%}
• Mitt Romney 32% / 60% {-28%}

Among Men

• Paul Ryan 50% / 41% {+9%}
• Mitt Romney 49% / 46% {+3%}

Among Women

• Paul Ryan 43% / 43% {0%}
• Mitt Romney 45% / 49% {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 50%
  

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 51%
• He should not 40%

Who do you think gives better speeches: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 35%

Do you support or oppose Paul Ryan's proposal for reforming Medicare?

• Support 41%
• Oppose 47%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the speech Clint Eastwood gave at the Republican convention?

• Favorable 36%
• Unfavorable 44%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Clint Eastwood in general?

• Favorable 71%
• Unfavorable 14%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 62%
• Unfavorable 25%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ann Romney?

• Favorable 54%
• Unfavorable 26%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marco Rubio?

• Favorable 42%
• Unfavorable 25%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Christie?

• Favorable 41%
• Unfavorable 33%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Susana Martinez?

• Favorable 32%
• Unfavorable 16%

Did the Republican convention make you more or less likely to vote for Republicans this year, or did it not make a difference?

• More likely 34%
• Less likely 33%
• Didn't make a difference 33%

Survey of 1,012 likely North Carolina voters was conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 47% Democrat; 34% Republican; 19% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 18% Very conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 15% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48% [48%] (50%) {50%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 47% [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (44%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% [50%] (53%) {53%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (45%)
• Barack Obama 48% [45%] (43%) {43%} [40%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (46%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% [51%] (57%) {55%} [48%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 47% [44%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {38%} [41%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 47% / 40% {+7%}
• Mitt Romney 49% [46%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (43%) / 47% [49%] (53%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [39%] (38%) {+2%}

Among Moderates

• Paul Ryan 38% / 48% {-10%}
• Mitt Romney 41% [34%] (24%) {34%} [40%] (27%) {42%} [33%] (31%) / 54% [58%] (62%) {54%} [43%] (55%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {-13%}

Among Men

• Paul Ryan 49% / 40% {+9%}
• Mitt Romney 49% [49%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [42%] (44%) / 47% [48%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (42%) {42%} [37%] (43%) {+2%}

Among Women

• Paul Ryan 44% / 40% {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 49% [43%] (32%) {34%} [32%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (42%) / 46% [50%] (60%) {56%} [47%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {+3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 47% [47%] (49%) {51%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [48%] (45%)
• Disapprove 50% [50%] (46%) {45%} [50%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (49%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 54% [57%] (60%) {64%} [53%] (64%) {59%} [73%] (62%)
• Disapprove 43% [40%] (32%) {30%} [39%] (32%) {37%} [24%] (30%)

Among Men

• Approve 46% [43%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%)
• Disapprove 51% [55%] (54%) {54%} [52%] (53%) {53%} [51%] (52%)

Among Women

• Approve 48% [50%] (57%) {58%} [46%] (47%) {52%} [52%] (45%)
• Disapprove 50% [46%] (38%) {38%} [48%] (50%) {45%} [42%] (46%)

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 49% [53%]
• He should not 41% [36%]

Who do you think gives better speeches: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 58%
• Mitt Romney 32%

Do you support or oppose Paul Ryan's proposal for reforming Medicare?

• Support 37%
• Oppose 44%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the speech Clint Eastwood gave at the Republican convention?

• Favorable 36%
• Unfavorable 41%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Clint Eastwood in general?

• Favorable 72%
• Unfavorable 11%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 66%
• Unfavorable 22%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ann Romney?

• Favorable 56%
• Unfavorable 22%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Christie?

• Favorable 41%
• Unfavorable 32%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Susana Martinez?

• Favorable 35%
• Unfavorable 16%

Did the Republican convention make you more or less likely to vote for Republicans this year, or did it not make a difference?

• More likely 33%
• Less likely 33%
• Didn't make a difference 34%

Survey of 1,548 likely Florida voters was conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 37% [40%] (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 21% [19%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 36% [33%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 25% [20%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 16% [17%] (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 13% [20%] (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 9% [10%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.

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Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 46%  

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted August 26 - September 1, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

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Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%)
• Barack Obama 44% (45%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (46%)
• Some other candidate 4% (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 6% (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (5%)

Survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted August 26 - September 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. The swing state poll covers 11 key states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.  Results from the poll conducted August 25-31, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 24-30, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-28, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

The president’s job approval in the swing states is currently 48%. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove. Those figures include 25% who strongly approve and 40% who strongly disapprove.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 44%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 5% 

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted August 30 - September 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 35.97% Republican; 33.77% Democrat; 30.27% Independent.  Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 46%  

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted August 25-31, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

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Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 45% {45%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 45% {45%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%)
• Some other candidate 4% {4%} [4%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 6% {6%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (5%)

Survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted August 25-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. The swing state poll covers 11 key states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.  Results from the poll conducted August 24-30, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-28, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

The president’s job approval in the swing states is currently 49%. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. Those figures include 26% who strongly approve and 39% who strongly disapprove.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 44%
• Some other candidate 4%
• Undecided 6% 

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted August 29-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.