Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52% (45%) [49%] {49%} (51%) [50%] {44%} (42%) [43%] {43%} (41%)
• Mitt Romney 37% (40%) [46%] {45%} (42%) [40%] {47%} (50%) [47%] {50%} (49%)

Including Leaners

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 39%
• Other 3%
• Undecided 4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 56% (52%) [48%] {47%} (52%) / 40% (43%) [47%] {47%} (44%) {+16%}
• Joe Biden 49% (39%) / 40% (43%) {+9%}
• Paul Ryan 34% (39%) / 47% (41%) {-13%}
• Mitt Romney 39% (45%) [42%] {38%} (36%) / 54% (48%) [48%] {47%} (52%) {-15%}

Regardless of who you are voting for, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the 2012 presidential election?

• Barack Obama 63% (51%) 
• Mitt Romney 21% (29%)

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-12, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 25 - February 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 6, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21 - July 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15- May 2, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28 - February 7, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 Presidential Poll

Among Likely Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [52%] (48%) {49%}
  
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [46%] (48%) {47%}

Among Registered Voters 

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [53%] (52%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (54%) {51%} [47%] (52%) {47%} [49%] (49%) {54%}
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% [45%] (45%) {43%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (45%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {43%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% [54%] (52%) {48%} [42%] (49%) {51%} [43%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 41% [40%] (42%) {45%} [53%] (42%) {39%} [48%] 
  

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 61% [59%] (59%) {57%} [61%] (55%) {55%} [67%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 32% [37%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (40%) {42%} [25%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 50% [47%] (55%) {53%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [46%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% [48%] (43%) {43%} [51%] (44%) {48%} [49%]  

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 53% [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (54%) {49%} [55%]
  
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [44%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {46%} [39%]

Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, Mitt Romney as the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?

Among Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 47% [51%]
• Mitt Romney 44% [43%]
• Gary Johnson 4% [3%]
• Jill Stein 3% [1%]

Among Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 47% [50%]
• Mitt Romney 43% [41%]
• Gary Johnson 4% [4%]
• Jill Stein 3% [2%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Among Likely Voters

• Paul Ryan 46% (49%) {45%} / 40% (38%) {39%} {+6%} 
• Barack Obama 52% [57%] (51%) {52%} / 48% [42%] (48%) {47%} {+4%}
• Joe Biden 47% (46%) {46%} / 44% (47%) {47%} {+3%} 
• Mitt Romney 49% [48%] (53%) {50%} / 50% [47%] (43%) {46%} {-1%} 

Among Registered Voters

• Paul Ryan 45% (42%) {41%} [29%] (25%) / 38% (38%) {38%} [20%] (22%) {+7%}  
• Barack Obama 53% [57%] (54%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {53%} [55%] (55%) {51%} [48%] / 47% [41%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {47%} [50%] {+6%}
• Joe Biden 47% (46%) {44%} {41%} / 42% (43%) {47%} {46%} {+5%} 
• Mitt Romney 48% [47%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (39%) {36%} [44%] / 50% [48%] (43%) {46%} [47%] (42%) {41%} [44%] (49%) {54%} [43%] {-2%} 

I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President.

THE ECONOMY

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 49% [50%] (45%) {46%} 
  
• Mitt Romney 48% [49%] (51%) {50%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 49% [49%] (46%) {46%} (47%)
• Mitt Romney 48% [48%] (48%) {49%} (48%)

FOREIGN POLICY

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 52% [54%] (49%) {51%}
• Mitt Romney 45% [42%] (46%) {44%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 53% [54%] (53%) {55%} (53%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [41%] (41%) {40%} (41%)

MEDICARE

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 52% [54%] (49%) {49%}
• Mitt Romney 44% [43%] (46%) {48%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 52% [55%] (50%) {50%}
• Mitt Romney 43% [42%] (43%) {45%}

THE FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT

Likely Voters

• Mitt Romney 51% [50%] {52%}
• Barack Obama 43% [47%] {42%}

Registered Voters

• Mitt Romney 53% [51%] {50%} (52%)
• Barack Obama 42% [45%] {42%} (42%)

TAXES

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 52% [51%] {50%}
• Mitt Romney 44% [46%] {46%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 51% [50%] {52%}
• Mitt Romney 45% [46%] {42%}

HEALTH CARE

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 50% [54%] {49%}
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%] {48%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 50% [53%] {50%} (51%)
• Mitt Romney 46% [44%] {46%} (44%)

IMMIGRATION POLICY

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 46%

EDUCATION

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 54% [59%]
• Mitt Romney 42% [38%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 57% [63%]
• Mitt Romney 39% [34%]

UNEMPLOYMENT

Likely Voters

• Mitt Romney 51% [47%]
• Barack Obama 45% [51%]

Registered Voters

• Mitt Romney 49% [46%]
• Barack Obama 46% [52%]

MORTGAGE AND HOUSING ISSUES

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 48%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Survey of 883 registered voters, including 783 likely voters, was conducted September 28-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 29% Republican; 34% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-25, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 10-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2012 Senate Poll

• Martin Heinrich (D) 52% {48%} [46%] (45%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 39% {41%} [42%] (43%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters in the state have at least a somewhat favorable impression of Heinrich, while 37% view him unfavorably. That includes Very Favorables of 29% and Very Unfavorables of 24%.

By comparison, 45% share a favorable opinion of Wilson and 48% view her unfavorably, with Very Favorables of 23% and Very Unfavorables of 30%.

Heinrich leads Wilson among men and women in New Mexico and among all age groups as well.

Among voters not affiliated with either political party, it’s Heinrich 52%, Wilson 36%.

Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Florida 18th Congressional District Survey

KPC (R) Florida 18th Congressional District Poll

• Patrick Murphy (D) 49%
• Allen West (R) 45%
• Undecided 6%

Among Men

• Allen West (R) 55%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 41%
• Undecided 5%

Among Women

• Patrick Murphy (D) 57%
• Allen West (R) 36%
• Undecided 8%

St. Lucie County

• Allen West (R) 47%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 46%
• Undecided 8%

Palm Beach County

• Patrick Murphy (D) 58%
• Allen West (R) 37%
• Undecided 5%

Martin County

• Allen West (R) 52%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 43%
• Undecided 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Patrick Murphy 45% / 37% {+8%}
• Allen West 42% / 51% {-9%}

Survey of 408 likely voters in Florida’s 18th Congressional District was conducted September 28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID: 44.6% Democrat; 33.3% Republican; 22.1% Independent. County: 35.3% St. Lucie; 34.3% Palm Beach; 30.4% Martin County.

Inside the numbers: 

Barack Obama holds a seven point lead over Mitt Romney in the 18th Congressional District (52% to 45%). Three percent (3%) were undecided.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 45%  

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted September 24-30, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 51% 
• Mitt Romney 45%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 2%

Note: These results include “leaners,” people who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.

Survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted September 24-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. The swing state poll covers 11 key states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Inside the numbers:

The president’s Job Approval in the swing states is currently at 50%. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove. These figures include 27% who Strongly Approve and 40% who Strongly Disapprove.

Poll Watch: American Research Group 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% [49%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% [47%] (49%)
• Other/Undecided 5% [4%] (5%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 89% [90%] (85%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 7% [6%] (11%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 91% [92%] (92%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 3% [5%] (5%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 50% [50%] (49%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43% [43%] (44%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 52% [51%] (54%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% [45%] (41%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% [52%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [43%] (45%)

Age 18-49

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [50%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [45%] (46%)

Age 50+

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% [48%] (43%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% [48%] (52%)

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 54% [55%] (57%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43% [41%] (39%)

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 92% [92%] (89%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 5% [5%] (5%)

Survey of 1,200 likely voters was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 38% [40%] (38%) Democrat; 32% [34%] (34%) Republican; 30% [26%] (28%) Independent. Gender: 49% [48%] (48%) Male; 51% [52%] (52%) Female.  Race: 77% [77%] (76%) White; 13% [12%] (12%) Black. Age: 18-49: 48% [49%] (49%); 50 and older: 52% [51%] (51%). Results from the poll conducted September 17-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Romney leads Obama 49% to 47% among likely voters interviewed on a landline (80% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 56% to 35% among likely voters interviewed on a cell phone (20% of likely voters).

A total of 47% of likely voters say they would never vote for Obama in the general election and 41% of likely voters say they would never vote for Romney in the general election.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2012 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2012 Senate Poll

• Bill Nelson (D) 43.1% {41.5%} [43.4%] (46.0%)
• Connie Mack (R) 43.0% {42.7%} [41.6%] (37.8%)
• Other/Unsure 13.9% {15.8%} [15.0%] (16.2%)
  

Survey of 914 likely voters was conducted September 29-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 37.1% {44.0%} [43.6%] (43%) Democrat; 33.3% {38.4%} [42.2%] (39%) Republican; 29.7% {17.6%} [14.2%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49.0% {47.1%} [46.7%] (45.1%)
• Mitt Romney 48.4% {47.7%} [48.0%] (48.3%)
• Other/Unsure 2.5% {5.3%} [5.2%] (6.6%)
  

Survey of 914 likely voters was conducted September 29-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 37.1% {44.0%} [43.5%] (43%) Democrat; 33.3% {38.4%} [42.1%] (39%) Republican; 29.7% {17.6%} [14.4%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 50%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 3%

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 79%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 19%
• Undecided 2%

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 87%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 8%
• Undecided 4%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 55%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 40%
• Undecided 4%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 57%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 38%
• Undecided 4%

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 53%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44%
• Undecided 3%

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 63%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 34%
• Undecided 3%

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 90%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 4%
• Undecided 5%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 28-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Democrat; 33% Republican; 24% Independent.  Gender: 47% Male; 53% Female. Race: 73% White; 23% Black.

Poll Watch: POLITICO/George Washington University 2012 Battleground Poll

POLITICO/GWU 2012 Battleground Poll

• Barack Obama 49% {50%} [48%] (47%) {53%} [49%]
• Mitt Romney 47% {47%} [47%] (48%) {43%} [43%] 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 50% {53%} [50%] / 47% {46%} [47%] {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 46% {46%} [46%] / 48% {49%} [46%] {-2%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

• Approve 49% {50%} [49%]
• Disapprove 49% {47%} [50%]

I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that President Obama is doing on this issue.

The Economy

• Approve 46% {48%} [44%]
• Disapprove 52% {51%} [54%]

The Federal Budget and Spending 

• Approve 42% {40%} [37%]
• Disapprove 56% {57%} [61%]

I would like to read you a list of issues that some people have said are important to them. Please tell me, for each one, who will better handle this issue -- Mitt Romney or Barack Obama.

Jobs

• Mitt Romney 48% {48%} [50%] 
• Barack Obama 47% {48%} [44%]

The Economy

• Mitt Romney 49% {48%} [49%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 47% {49%} [44%] (45%)

Standing Up for the Middle Class

• Barack Obama 54% {57%} [54%] (58%) 
  
• Mitt Romney 41% {38%} [40%] (35%)
  

Taxes

• Barack Obama 49% {50%} [47%] (51%)
  
• Mitt Romney 46% {46%} [47%] (45%)
  

Medicare

• Barack Obama 50% {52%} [49%] (47%)
  
• Mitt Romney 42% {43%} [45%] (44%)
  

Foreign Policy

• Barack Obama 52% {52%} [54%] (51%) 
  
• Mitt Romney 40% {43%} [39%] (38%)
  

The Federal Budget and Spending

• Mitt Romney 50% {50%}
  
• Barack Obama 43% {45%}

Health Care

• Barack Obama 51%
  
• Mitt Romney 43%
  

Sharing Your Values

• Barack Obama 48%
  
• Mitt Romney 45%
  

Being a Strong Leader

• Barack Obama 50%
  
• Mitt Romney 43%
  

Can Get Things Done

• Mitt Romney 47%
  
• Barack Obama 45%

Regardless of who you intend to vote for – which candidate for President do you think is going to win the election?

• Barack Obama 61% {60%} [56%] 
  
• Mitt Romney 29% {30%} [33%]
  

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 24-27, 2012 by The Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 43% {43%} [44%] Democrat; 41% {40%} [40%] Republican; 15% {15%} [15%] Independent.  Ideology: 21% {21%} [24%] Very conservative; 38% {36%} [33%] Somewhat conservative; 25% {26%} [26%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {12%} [11%] Very liberal.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 19-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 6-9, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Survey

WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 60% {59%} {55%}
• Mitt Romney 32% {31%} {34%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 61% {61%} [60%] (64%) / 32% {33%} [34%] (33%) {+29%}
• Mitt Romney 34% {32%} [39%] / 59% {56%} [53%] {-25%}

Survey of 504 likely voters was conducted September 26-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party registration: 36% {36%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 12% {12%} [11%] (11%) Republican; 52% {52%} [49%] (51%) Independent/Unenrolled.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25-28, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: MassINC Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49% {47%} [40%] (43%)
• Scott Brown (R) 45% {42%} [38%] (41%)
• Some other candidate 1% {2%} [1%] (1%)
• Don't know/Undecided 5% {8%} [16%] (12%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown 52% {52%} [50%] (46%) / 33% {30%} [33%] (33%) {+19%}
• Elizabeth Warren 47% {48%} [47%] (34%) / 37% {32%} [26%] (25%) {+10%}

Survey of 504 likely voters was conducted September 26-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party registration: 36% {36%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 12% {12%} [11%] (11%) Republican; 52% {52%} [49%] (51%) Independent/Unenrolled.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25-28, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 47%
• Some other candidate 2%
• Undecided 2%

Note: These results include “leaners,” people who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted September 28-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: We Ask America (R) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

We Ask America (R) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47.5% (45%)
• Mitt Romney 43.7% (44%)
• Gary Johnson 2.3%
• Undecided 6.5% (11%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 90.3%
  
• Mitt Romney 6.5%
• Gary Johnson 0.5% 
• Undecided 2.7%

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 82.6%
• Barack Obama 11.2%
• Gary Johnson 1.1% 
• Undecided 5.1%

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 44.8%
  
• Mitt Romney 37.6%
• Gary Johnson 2.8% 
• Undecided 14.8%

Survey of 1,273 likely voters was conducted September 25-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: We Ask America (R) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

We Ask America (R) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52.0% (43%)
• Mitt Romney 39.9% (45%)
• Gary Johnson 1.1%
• Undecided 7.0% (12%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 89.0%
  
• Mitt Romney 6.0%
• Gary Johnson 0.5% 
• Undecided 4.5%

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 81.2%
• Barack Obama 14.3%
• Gary Johnson 0.3% 
• Undecided 4.2%

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 42.7%
  
• Mitt Romney 42.7%
• Gary Johnson 2.5% 
• Undecided 12.1%

Survey of 1,064 likely voters was conducted September 25-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 49% (44%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 39% (44%)
• Scott Rupert (I) 3% 
• Undecided 9% (12%)

Among Independents

• Sherrod Brown (D) 41%
• Josh Mandel (R) 36%
• Scott Rupert (I) 7% 
• Undecided 16%

Among Men

• Sherrod Brown (D) 48%
• Josh Mandel (R) 43%
• Scott Rupert (I) 3% 
• Undecided 7%

Among Women

• Sherrod Brown (D) 51%
• Josh Mandel (R) 34%
• Scott Rupert (I) 4% 
• Undecided 11%

Mail poll of 1,662 likely voters was conducted September 19-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Democrat; 35% Republican; 20% Independent; 2% Libertarian; Results from the poll conducted August 15-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Washington Times/Zogby 2012 Presidential Survey

Washington Times/Zogby 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama (D) 49.7% {45.7%} (42.0%) [43.2%]
• Mitt Romney (R) 41.1% {45.7%} (42.8%) [43.6%]
• Not sure 9.2% {5%} [13.0%]

(Among Obama Voters) Which of the following best describes why you are voting for Barack Obama?

• Want to see him re-elected 61.3%
• Really dislike Romney 14.5%
• He is the lesser of two evils 11.7%
• Simply voting for Democrat 9.1%
• Not sure 3.4%

(Among Romney Voters) Which of the following best describes why you are voting for Mitt Romney?

• Think he is the best candidate 58.2%
• He is the lesser of two evils 16.1%
• Really dislike Obama 16.0%
• Simply voting for GOP 5.8%
• Not sure 3.9%

If the presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote?

• Barack Obama (D) 48.7%
• Mitt Romney (R) 41.2%
• Gary Johnson (L) 1.2%
• Jill Stein (G) 0.7%
• Virgil Goode (C) 0.2%
• Not sure 8.0%

Did President Obama's handling of the attacks on the U.S. embassies earlier this month make you more or less likely to vote for him?

• Much more likely 10.5%
• More likely 18.9%
  
• Less likely 16.3%
• Much less likely 23.0%
• Makes no difference 25.8%
• Not sure 5.6%
  

Mitt Romney said recently that 47 percent of Americans pay no income taxes, are dependent on government and see themselves as victims. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagree?

• Strongly agree 20.1%
• Somewhat agree 20.7%
  
• Somewhat disagree 13.5%
• Strongly disagree 39.6%
• Not sure 6.1%
  

Regardless of whom you support, who do you think will win November's presidential election?

• Barack Obama 57.4% {48%} (44.9%)
• Mitt Romney 29.9% {37%} (32.8%)
• Not sure 12.7%

Are you better off now than you were four years ago?

• Yes 46.1%
• No 48.8%
• Not sure 5.2%

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 27-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 6-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-12, 2012 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Poll

Among Likely Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% (49%) {47%} [50%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% (48%) {49%} [47%]

Among Registered Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {51%} [47%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (49%) {46%} [49%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% (44%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {44%} [49%] (45%) {48%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [45%]

(Among Obama Voters) Will you definitely vote for Barack Obama, or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? If there's a chance you could change your mind, is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or is it a pretty unlikely chance?

• Definitely vote for Obama 84% (86%) {84%} [81%]
• Chance change mind, but unlikely 10% (7%) {8%} [13%]
• Good chance will change mind 5% (4%) {6%} [4%]

(Among Romney Voters) Will you definitely vote for Mitt Romney, or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? If there's a chance you could change your mind, is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or is it a pretty unlikely chance?

• Definitely vote for Romney 88% (85%) {82%} [77%]
• Chance change mind, but unlikely 10% (9%) {10%} [13%]
• Good chance will change mind 1% (5%) {5%} [8%]

(Among Obama Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Barack Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 51% (56%) {48%} [51%] (51%)
• Somewhat enthusiastic 40% (38%) {39%} [40%] (41%)
• Not so enthusiastic 7% (3%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
• Not enthusiastic at all 2% (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%)

(Among Romney Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Mitt Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 48% (46%) {42%} [38%] (26%)
• Somewhat enthusiastic 39% (40%) {41%} [47%] (48%)
• Not so enthusiastic 6% (7%) {12%} [11%] (15%)
• Not enthusiastic at all 7% (6%) {4%} [4%] (9%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? 

• Approve 49% (48%) {47%}
• Disapprove 49% (50%) {50%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? 

• Approve 47% (45%) {43%}
• Disapprove 52% (53%) {56%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling international affairs?

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 48%
  

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the economy?

• Barack Obama 47% (47%) {43%} [45%] (47%) {44%} (44%)
• Mitt Romney 47% (45%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {48%} (50%)
  

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job dealing with the federal budget deficit?

• Mitt Romney 48% (47%) {51%} [51%] {54%} (52%)
• Barack Obama 45% (44%) {38%} [43%] {37%} (39%)

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling health care policy?

• Barack Obama 48% (47%) {47%} [48%] {49%}
• Mitt Romney 44% (44%) {45%} [44%] {40%}

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job dealing with social issues such as abortion and gay marriage?

• Barack Obama 52% (50%) {52%} {47%}
• Mitt Romney 38% (39%) {38%} {39%}

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling terrorism?

• Barack Obama 53% (51%) {47%} (54%)
• Mitt Romney 39% (40%) {43%} (38%)

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling international affairs?

• Barack Obama 49% (51%) {46%} {56%} (55%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (38%) {41%} {37%} (38%)

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling taxes?

• Barack Obama 49% (50%) {43%} [46%] {48%} (49%)
  
• Mitt Romney 44% (43%) {48%} [46%] {43%} (45%)

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling Medicare, the government health insurance program for seniors?

• Barack Obama 47% (48%) {42%}
• Mitt Romney 43% (43%) {45%}

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job addressing women's issues?

• Barack Obama 54% (55%) {51%} {54%}
• Mitt Romney 36% (34%) {35%} {37%}

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling an unexpected major crisis?

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in this country are having?

• Barack Obama 52% (50%) {47%} [51%] (48%) {49%} (52%)
• Mitt Romney 39% (40%) {40%} [40%] (40%) {38%} (37%)

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think seems like the more friendly and likable person?

• Barack Obama 62% (61%) {61%} [63%] {64%}
• Mitt Romney 29% (27%) {27%} [26%] {28%}

Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Barack Obama, or not? He knows enough about world affairs to serve effectively as president.

• Yes 64%
• No 34%
  

Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Mitt Romney, or not? He knows enough about world affairs to serve effectively as president.

• Yes 51%
• No 43%
  

If Barack Obama is re-elected, how confident are you, if at all, that the country will get back on track economically in the next year or two?

• Very confident 14% (19%) {14%}
• Somewhat confident 34% (27%) {28%}
• Not so confident 18% (17%) {18%}
• Not confident at all 35% (36%) {40%}

If Mitt Romney is elected, how confident are you, if at all, that the country will get back on track economically in the next year or two?

• Very confident 12% (14%) {11%}
• Somewhat confident 39% (35%) {35%}
• Not so confident 21% (19%) {21%}
• Not confident at all 27% (31%) {32%}

Do you think Obama does more to favor the middle class or more to favor the wealthy?

• Favor middle class 66% {62%}
• Favor wealthy 17% {23%}

Do you think Romney does more to favor the middle class or more to favor the wealthy?

• Favor middle class 35% {32%}
• Favor wealthy 57% {58%}

Do you think of Romney's wealth as more of a positive because it suggests he has achieved the American dream or as more of a negative because it suggests he benefited from opportunities that are not available to most people? 

• Positive 51% (43%)
  
• Negative 42% (46%)

Mitt Romney paid about a 14 percent federal tax rate on income of about 14 million dollars last year. Do you think he is or is not paying his fair share of taxes?

• Paying fair share 46% (30%)
  
• Not paying fair share 48% (66%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will win the debates – Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 29%

Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 63% {56%}
• Mitt Romney 31% {37%}

On a ship in a storm, who would you rather have as the captain, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 52% (46%)
• Mitt Romney 40% (43%)

Who would you rather have babysit your children, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 41%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Who would you rather go on an overnight camping trip with, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 34%

Who would you rather invite to dinner at your home, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 54% (52%)
• Mitt Romney 32% (33%)

Whose music playlist would you rather listen to, Barack Obama’s or Mitt Romney’s?

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 30%

Who would you rather see as a contestant on Dancing with the Stars, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? 

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 26%

Survey of 929 registered voters, including 813 likely voters, was conducted September 26-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID (among likely voters): 33% (33%) Democrat; 30% (27%) Republican; 33% (36%) Independent.  Party ID (among registered voters): 33% (32%) {32%} Democrat; 28% (26%) {25%} Republican; 34% (37%) {36%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-4, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 2, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in square brackets.