Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 Presidential Poll

Among Likely Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [52%] (48%) {49%}
  
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [46%] (48%) {47%}

Among Registered Voters 

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [53%] (52%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (54%) {51%} [47%] (52%) {47%} [49%] (49%) {54%}
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% [45%] (45%) {43%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (45%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {43%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% [54%] (52%) {48%} [42%] (49%) {51%} [43%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 41% [40%] (42%) {45%} [53%] (42%) {39%} [48%] 
  

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 61% [59%] (59%) {57%} [61%] (55%) {55%} [67%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 32% [37%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (40%) {42%} [25%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 50% [47%] (55%) {53%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [46%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% [48%] (43%) {43%} [51%] (44%) {48%} [49%]  

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 53% [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (54%) {49%} [55%]
  
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [44%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {46%} [39%]

Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, Mitt Romney as the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?

Among Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 47% [51%]
• Mitt Romney 44% [43%]
• Gary Johnson 4% [3%]
• Jill Stein 3% [1%]

Among Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 47% [50%]
• Mitt Romney 43% [41%]
• Gary Johnson 4% [4%]
• Jill Stein 3% [2%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Among Likely Voters

• Paul Ryan 46% (49%) {45%} / 40% (38%) {39%} {+6%} 
• Barack Obama 52% [57%] (51%) {52%} / 48% [42%] (48%) {47%} {+4%}
• Joe Biden 47% (46%) {46%} / 44% (47%) {47%} {+3%} 
• Mitt Romney 49% [48%] (53%) {50%} / 50% [47%] (43%) {46%} {-1%} 

Among Registered Voters

• Paul Ryan 45% (42%) {41%} [29%] (25%) / 38% (38%) {38%} [20%] (22%) {+7%}  
• Barack Obama 53% [57%] (54%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {53%} [55%] (55%) {51%} [48%] / 47% [41%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {47%} [50%] {+6%}
• Joe Biden 47% (46%) {44%} {41%} / 42% (43%) {47%} {46%} {+5%} 
• Mitt Romney 48% [47%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (39%) {36%} [44%] / 50% [48%] (43%) {46%} [47%] (42%) {41%} [44%] (49%) {54%} [43%] {-2%} 

I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President.

THE ECONOMY

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 49% [50%] (45%) {46%} 
  
• Mitt Romney 48% [49%] (51%) {50%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 49% [49%] (46%) {46%} (47%)
• Mitt Romney 48% [48%] (48%) {49%} (48%)

FOREIGN POLICY

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 52% [54%] (49%) {51%}
• Mitt Romney 45% [42%] (46%) {44%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 53% [54%] (53%) {55%} (53%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [41%] (41%) {40%} (41%)

MEDICARE

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 52% [54%] (49%) {49%}
• Mitt Romney 44% [43%] (46%) {48%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 52% [55%] (50%) {50%}
• Mitt Romney 43% [42%] (43%) {45%}

THE FEDERAL BUDGET DEFICIT

Likely Voters

• Mitt Romney 51% [50%] {52%}
• Barack Obama 43% [47%] {42%}

Registered Voters

• Mitt Romney 53% [51%] {50%} (52%)
• Barack Obama 42% [45%] {42%} (42%)

TAXES

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 52% [51%] {50%}
• Mitt Romney 44% [46%] {46%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 51% [50%] {52%}
• Mitt Romney 45% [46%] {42%}

HEALTH CARE

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 50% [54%] {49%}
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%] {48%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 50% [53%] {50%} (51%)
• Mitt Romney 46% [44%] {46%} (44%)

IMMIGRATION POLICY

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 46%

EDUCATION

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 54% [59%]
• Mitt Romney 42% [38%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 57% [63%]
• Mitt Romney 39% [34%]

UNEMPLOYMENT

Likely Voters

• Mitt Romney 51% [47%]
• Barack Obama 45% [51%]

Registered Voters

• Mitt Romney 49% [46%]
• Barack Obama 46% [52%]

MORTGAGE AND HOUSING ISSUES

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 48%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Survey of 883 registered voters, including 783 likely voters, was conducted September 28-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 29% Republican; 34% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-25, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 10-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.