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Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Tom Cotton 39% / 26% {+13%}
- Mark Pryor 44% / 39% {+5%}
Survey of 400 likely voters was conducted December 6-7, 2013.
The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 6-7, 2013 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Among all Independents, Cotton leads Pryor 52% to 31%; among hard-core Independents who do not lead towards one party or another, Cotton is ahead 45% to 32%.
Both candidates receive an equal share of votes among their own party faithful (Cotton earns 84% of Republican votes; Pryor earns 83% of Democratic votes).
Counter to many GOP candidate fortunes, Cotton leads Pryor among women, 46% to 42%.
Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?
- Approve 65% (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
- Disapprove 27% (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)
Among Democrats
- Approve 47% (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%) {30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
- Disapprove 45% (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
Among Republicans
- Approve 85% (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
- Disapprove 9% (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
Among Independents
- Approve 73% (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
- Disapprove 17% (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%) {41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)
Among Men
- Approve 70% (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
- Disapprove 20% (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)
Among Women
- Approve 61% (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
- Disapprove 30% (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
Survey of 698 registered voters was conducted December 4-8, 2013. The
margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%)
{36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 24% (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%)
{23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 39% (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%)
{41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results
from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.
Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square
brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in
parentheses.
Field Research California 2016 Presidential Poll
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Chris Christie 47% / 19% {+28%}
- Jeb Bush 29% / 33% {-4%}
- Ted Cruz 24% / 37% {-13%}
Among Republicans
- Chris Christie 59% / 13% {+46%}
- Ted Cruz 50% / 11% {+39%}
- Jeb Bush 51% / 14% {+37%}
Among Independents
- Chris Christie 44% / 25% {+19%}
- Jeb Bush 22% / 44% {-22%}
- Ted Cruz 19% / 42% {-23%}
Among Democrats
- Chris Christie 40% / 19% {+21%}
- Jeb Bush 18% / 38% {-20%}
- Ted Cruz 11% / 52% {-41%}
Survey
of 826 registered voters
was conducted November 14 - December 2, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage
points.
- Chris Christie 18%
- Ted Cruz 13%
- Jeb Bush 12%
- Rand Paul 10%
- Paul Ryan 9%
- Scott Walker 7%
- Marco Rubio 6%
- Bobby Jindal 4%
- Rick Santorum 4%
- Someone else/Not sure 16%
Among Men
- Chris Christie 22%
- Ted Cruz 13%
- Rand Paul 12%
- Jeb Bush 9%
- Paul Ryan 9%
- Scott Walker 8%
- Bobby Jindal 7%
- Marco Rubio 4%
- Rick Santorum 3%
- Someone else/Not sure 13%
Among Women
- Jeb Bush 18%
- Ted Cruz 14%
- Chris Christie 12%
- Marco Rubio 9%
- Paul Ryan 8%
- Rand Paul 8%
- Rick Santorum 6%
- Scott Walker 5%
- Bobby Jindal 1%
- Someone else/Not sure 20%
Survey of 375 usual Republican primary voters was
conducted November 22-25, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Ideology:
43% Somewhat conservative; 29% Very conservative; 21%
Moderate; 6% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.
Washington Free Beacon/The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll
- Chris Christie
(R) 44%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
- Rand Paul (R) 43%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
- Ted Cruz (R) 41%
- Mark Warner (D) 42%
- Chris Christie (R) 41%
- Mark Warner (D) 53%
- Rand Paul (R) 39%
- Mark Warner (D) 52%
- Ted Cruz (R) 37%
Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted November 19 – 20, 2013. The margin of error is ±4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 30% Republican; 31% Independent.
H/T: Race42016.com
CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
- Hillary Clinton 63% (65%)
- Joe Biden 12% (10%)
- Elizabeth Warren 7% (7%)
- Andrew Cuomo 5% (6%)
- Martin O'Malley 2% (2%)
- Someone else (vol.) 6% (4%)
- None/No one (vol.) 3% (5%)
- No opinion 3% (2%)
Among Men
- Hillary Clinton 59% (52%)
- Joe Biden 13% (15%)
- Elizabeth Warren 6% (10%)
- Andrew Cuomo 5% (8%)
- Martin O'Malley 2% (2%)
- Someone else (vol.) 11% (4%)
- None/No one (vol.) 4% (7%)
- No opinion 1% (1%)
Among Women
- Hillary Clinton 66% (76%)
- Joe Biden 11% (6%)
- Elizabeth Warren 7% (4%)
- Andrew Cuomo 5% (4%)
- Martin O'Malley 2% (1%)
- Someone else (vol.) 2% (4%)
- None/No one (vol.) 2% (3%)
- No opinion 5% (2%)
If Hillary Clinton does not run:
- Joe Biden 43%
- Elizabeth Warren 17%
- Andrew Cuomo 15%
- Martin O'Malley 6%
- Someone else (vol.) 8%
- None/No one (vol.) 7%
- No opinion 4%
Survey of 374 Democrats, including 250 respondents who describe
themselves as Democrats and 124 who describe themselves as
Independents who lean Democratic, was conducted November 18-20, 2013.
The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage
points. Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.
CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
- Chris Christie 24% (17%)
- Rand Paul 13% (13%)
- Paul Ryan 11% (16%)
- Ted Cruz 10% (7%)
- Marco Rubio 9% (9%)
- Rick Perry 7% (6%)
- Jeb Bush 6% (10%)
- Rick Santorum 6% (5%)
- Someone else (vol.) 6% (6%)
- None/No one (vol.) 2% (4%)
- No opinion 6% (6%)
Among Republicans
- Chris Christie 28% (17%)
- Rand Paul 12% (9%)
- Paul Ryan 11% (17%)
- Marco Rubio 10% (10%)
- Ted Cruz 9% (7%)
- Rick Perry 8% (7%)
- Rick Santorum 7% (3%)
- Jeb Bush 6% (13%)
- Someone else (vol.) 6% (7%)
- None/No one (vol.) 1% (4%)
- No opinion 3% (5%)
Among GOP-Leaning Independents
- Chris Christie 20% (18%)
- Rand Paul 15% (17%)
- Paul Ryan 12% (15%)
- Ted Cruz 12% (7%)
- Marco Rubio 7% (9%)
- Rick Perry 7% (6%)
- Jeb Bush 6% (6%)
- Rick Santorum 5% (7%)
- Someone else (vol.) 6% (4%)
- None/No one (vol.) 3% (4%)
- No opinion 8% (7%)
Among Men
- Chris Christie 23% (16%)
- Rand Paul 15% (13%)
- Ted Cruz 12% (12%)
- Marco Rubio 11% (11%)
- Paul Ryan 10% (14%)
- Rick Perry 8% (7%)
- Rick Santorum 6% (6%)
- Jeb Bush 2% (9%)
- Someone else (vol.) 6% (5%)
- None/No one (vol.) 2% (3%)
- No opinion 4% (5%)
Among Women
- Chris Christie 24% (19%)
- Paul Ryan 13% (19%)
- Rand Paul 11% (12%)
- Jeb Bush 10% (11%)
- Ted Cruz 8% (3%)
- Marco Rubio 7% (7%)
- Rick Perry 6% (6%)
- Rick Santorum 6% (4%)
- Someone else (vol.) 6% (6%)
- None/No one (vol.) 2% (6%)
- No opinion 7% (7%)
Survey of 418 Republicans, including 231 respondents who describe
themselves as Republicans and 187 who describe themselves as
Independents who lean Republican, was conducted November 18-20, 2013.
The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage
points. Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
- Jeb Bush (R) 44%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
- Rand Paul (R) 43%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (55%)
- Rick Santorum (R) 42% (38%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
- Ted Cruz (R) 41%
Among Moderates
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
- Chris Christie (R) 39%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
- Jeb Bush (R) 28%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
- Rand Paul (R) 24%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 65% (66%)
- Rick Santorum (R) 24% (24%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
- Ted Cruz (R) 27%
Among Men
- Chris Christie (R) 51%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
- Jeb Bush (R) 45%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
- Rand Paul (R) 45%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (52%)
- Rick Santorum (R) 43% (42%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
- Ted Cruz (R) 44%
Among Women
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
- Chris Christie (R) 45%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
- Jeb Bush (R) 42%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
- Rand Paul (R) 41%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (58%)
- Rick Santorum (R) 41% (33%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
- Ted Cruz (R) 38%
Survey of 693 Pennsylvania voters was conducted November 22-25, 2013. The
margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 46% (48%) Democrat; 43% (40%)
Republican; 11% (12%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% (31%) Moderate; 26% (19%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (20%) Somewhat liberal; 15% (15%) Very conservative; 11% (15%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 8-10, 2013 are in parentheses.
- Hillary Clinton 61%
- Joe Biden 13%
- Elizabeth Warren 11%
- Andrew Cuomo 3%
- Cory Booker 2%
- Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
- Mark Warner 0%
- Brian Schweitzer 0%
- Martin O'Malley 0%
- Someone else/Not sure 9%
Survey of 436 Democratic primary voters was
conducted November 22-25, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Ideology:
34% Moderate; 27% Somewhat liberal; 19% Very liberal; 17% Somewhat conservative; 3% Very conservative.
- Chris Christie 26% (20%)
- Ted Cruz 16%
- Rand Paul 14% (17%)
- Jeb Bush 10% (10%)
- Rick Santorum 8% (10%)
- Marco Rubio 6% (17%)
- Paul Ryan 5% (6%)
- Scott Walker 3%
- Bobby Jindal 3% (4%)
- Someone else/Not sure 9% (6%)
Among Men
- Chris Christie 29% (21%)
- Rand Paul 16% (22%)
- Ted Cruz 15%
- Jeb Bush 12% (10%)
- Rick Santorum 7% (8%)
- Marco Rubio 6% (18%)
- Scott Walker 4%
- Paul Ryan 3% (5%)
- Bobby Jindal 2% (3%)
- Someone else/Not sure 8% (4%)
Among Women
- Chris Christie 23% (20%)
- Ted Cruz 18%
- Rand Paul 11% (12%)
- Rick Santorum 10% (11%)
- Jeb Bush 7% (11%)
- Paul Ryan 7% (6%)
- Marco Rubio 6% (15%)
- Scott Walker 3%
- Bobby Jindal 3% (5%)
- Someone else/Not sure 11% (9%)
Survey of 491 usual Republican primary voters was
conducted November 22-25, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Ideology: 36% (35%) Somewhat conservative; 33% (29%) Very conservative; 19% (21%) Moderate; 8% (12%) Somewhat liberal; 3% (4%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 8-10, 2013 are in parentheses.
WSJ/NBC 4/Marist New York 2016 Presidential Poll
- Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
- Chris Christie (R) 39%
- Andrew Cuomo (D) 51%
- Chris Christie (R) 44%
Survey of 675 registered voters was conducted November 18-20, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.8
percentage
points.
WSJ/NBC 4/Marist New York 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Chris Christie 40%
- Rand Paul 10%
- Marco Rubio 10%
- Jeb Bush 8%
- Paul Ryan 5%
- Rick Perry 3%
- Ted Cruz 3%
- Scott Walker 3%
- Susana Martinez 2%
- Rick Santorum 2%
- Undecided 15%
Survey of 167 registered Republicans was conducted November 18-20, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 7.6
percentage
points.
WSJ/NBC 4/Marist New York 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
- Hillary Clinton 64%
- Andrew Cuomo 14%
- Joe Biden 8%
- Elizabeth Warren 6%
- Martin O'Malley 3%
- Undecided 5%
Survey of 294 registered Democrats was conducted November 18-20, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.7
percentage
points.
- Chris Christie (R) 43.35%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 38.12%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 46.40%
- Paul Ryan (R) 42.57%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 45.21%
- Marco Rubio (R) 40.79%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 46.82%
- Rand Paul (R) 41.06%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 47.37%
- Ted Cruz (R) 40.45%
Survey of 985 likely voters was conducted November 23-24, 2013.
The margin of error is +/- 3.12 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.
Harper Polling/Conservative Intel (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
- Chris Christie 17% (12.00%)
- Ted Cruz 16%
- Rand Paul 13% (12.50%)
- Rick Santorum 11% (13.50%)
- Paul Ryan 9% (18.00%)
- Scott Walker 7% (2.50%)
- Marco Rubio 6% (26.50%)
- Bobby Jindal 3%
- Not sure 17% (15.00%)
Survey of 390 likely GOP caucusgoers was
conducted November 23-24, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.96 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 29, 2013 are in parentheses.
Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
- Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%)
- Chris Christie (R) 41% (42%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
- Paul Ryan (R) 41%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
- Marco Rubio (R) 39%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (47%)
- Rand Paul (R) 40% (44%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
- John Kasich (R) 38%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
- Jeb Bush (R) 37%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
- Ted Cruz (R) 35%
Among Independents
-
Chris Christie (R) 42% (41%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
- Paul Ryan (R) 40%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
- Marco Rubio (R) 38%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (46%)
- Rand Paul (R) 39% (44%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
- John Kasich (R) 34%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
- Jeb Bush (R) 34%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
- Ted Cruz (R) 31%
Among Men
-
Chris Christie (R) 46% (48%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (37%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
- Paul Ryan (R) 43%
- Marco Rubio (R) 44%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (40%)
- Rand Paul (R) 44% (52%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
- John Kasich (R) 41%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
- Jeb Bush (R) 39%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
- Ted Cruz (R) 37%
Among Women
-
Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (47%)
- Chris Christie (R) 37% (36%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
- Paul Ryan (R) 38%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
- Marco Rubio (R) 34%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (53%)
- Rand Paul (R) 36% (36%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
- John Kasich (R) 36%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
- Jeb Bush (R) 35%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
- Ted Cruz (R) 33%
Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
Do you think Paul Ryan would make a good President or not?
Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
Do you think Marco Rubio would make a good President or not?
Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not?
Do you think John Kasich would make a good President or not?
Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
Survey of 1,361 registered voters was conducted November 19-24, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.
Party ID: 31% (29%)
Democrat; 26% (28%) Republican; 36% (35%) Independent; 7% (7%) Other. Results from the poll conducted June 18-23, 2013 are in parentheses.
Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
- Hillary Clinton 70%
- Joe Biden 9%
- Elizabeth Warren 4%
- Andrew Cuomo 2%
- Mark Warner 1%
- Martin O'Malley 1%
Survey of 544 Democratic voters was conducted November 12-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.
