Tuesday, November 06, 2012

Poll Watch: POLITICO/George Washington University 2012 Battleground Brushfire Tracking Survey

POLITICO/GWU 2012 Battleground Brushfire Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 48% {48%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {53%} [49%]
  • Mitt Romney 48% {48%} [48%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {43%} [43%] 
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 55% {52%} [55%]
  • Barack Obama 39% {44%} [43%]
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% {53%} [54%]
  • Mitt Romney 40% {45%} [43%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 50% {50%} [52%] (50%) [47%] (46%) {46%} [46%] / 46% {44%} [43%] (45%) [47%] (48%) {49%} [46%] {+4%}
  • Barack Obama 50% {51%} [51%] (52%) [52%] (50%) {53%} [50%] / 48% {45%} [47%] (44%) [45%] (47%) {46%} [47%] {+2%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?
  • Approve 49% {49%} [50%] (49%) [50%] (49%) {50%} [49%]
  • Disapprove 49% {49%} [49%] (49%) [48%] (49%) {47%} [50%]
I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that President Obama is doing on this issue.
  
The Economy
  • Approve 46% {47%} [45%] (45%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [44%]
  • Disapprove 53% {52%} [54%] (53%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [54%]
The Federal Budget and Spending 
  • Approve 41% {38%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [39%] (42%) {40%} [37%]
  • Disapprove 58% {60%} [58%] (57%) {56%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [61%]
I would like to read you a list of issues that some people have said are important to them. Please tell me, for each one, who will better handle this issue -- Mitt Romney or Barack Obama.

The Economy
  • Mitt Romney 51% {50%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%)
  • Barack Obama 45% {46%} [46%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [44%] (45%)
Jobs
  • Mitt Romney 50% {50%} [51%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [50%
  • Barack Obama 45% {46%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [44%]
Standing Up for the Middle Class
  • Barack Obama 54% {55%} [54%] (55%) {54%} [56%] (54%) {57%} [54%] (58%) 
  • Mitt Romney 43% {41%} [41%] (41%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (35%)
Taxes 
  • Mitt Romney 48% {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 47% {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [47%] (51%)
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 51% {51%} [51%] (51%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {52%} [49%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {43%} [45%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (44%)
Foreign Policy
  • Barack Obama 51% {52%} [52%] (51%) {49%} [50%] (52%) {52%} [54%] (51%) 
  • Mitt Romney 44% {42%} [43%] (42%) {45%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [39%] (38%)
The Federal Budget and Spending
  • Mitt Romney 53% {52%} [54%] (55%) {54%} [50%] (50%) {50%}
  • Barack Obama 43% {43%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {45%}
Sharing Your Values
  • Barack Obama 48% {49%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% {44%} [46%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (45%)
Being a Strong Leader 
  • Barack Obama 48% {49%} [49%] (46%) {49%} [50%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% {46%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (43%)
Can Get Things Done
  • Mitt Romney 49% {49%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 44% {43%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (45%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 4-5, 2012 by The Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 43% {43%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] Democrat; 41% {40%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [40%] Republican; 15% {14%} [15%] (15%) {15%} [16%] (15%) {15%} [15%] Independent.  Ideology: 21% {20%} [20%] (20%) {19%} [21%] (21%) {21%} [24%] Very conservative; 37% {38%} [38%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [33%] Somewhat conservative; 26% {25%} [26%] (26%) {27%} [25%] (25%) {26%} [26%] Somewhat liberal; 9% {11%} [10%] (10%) {10%} [13%] (10%) {12%} [11%] Very liberal. Race: {78%} [77%] (78%) {77%} [77%] White; {12%} [12%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; {6%} [7%] (5%) {6%} [7%] Hispanic/Latino.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 1, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-11, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 19-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 6-9, 2011 are in square brackets.

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