Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News California Political Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News California Political Survey

Senatorial Election
  • Barbara Boxer (D) 47% (46%)
  • Carly Fiorina (R) 46% (44%)
  • Other 3% (4%)
  • Not sure 4% (6%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barbara Boxer is doing as senator?
  • Approve 41% (42%)
  • Disapprove 49% (50%)
Gubernatorial Election
  • Jerry Brown (D) 45% (43%)
  • Meg Whitman (R) 45% (49%)
  • Other 4% (4%)
  • Not sure 6% (4%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 45% (48%)
  • Disapprove 47% (44%)
Have the policies of the Obama administration helped or hurt California’s economy, or have they not made much of a difference either way?
  • Helped 25% (25%)
  • Hurt 37% (35%)
  • No difference 33% (34%)
All in all, would you rather have bigger government that provides more services or smaller government that provides fewer services?
  • Bigger government that provides more services 34%
  • Smaller government that provides fewer services 53%
Thinking about the health care law that was passed earlier this year, would you favor repealing the new law to keep it from going into effect, or would you oppose repealing the new law?
  • Favor repealing the health care law 44% (45%)
  • Oppose repealing the health care law 42% (43%)
How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?
  • Strongly support 22%
  • Somewhat support 19%
  • Somewhat oppose 10%
  • Strongly oppose 33%
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 18, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 11, 2010 are in parentheses.

1 comment:

Argo Journal said...

Marijuana in the California Election

PPP continues to find Proposition 19, which would legalize marijuana in California, favored to pass. The margin in this week's poll is 47/38 in favor, which does represent a tightening since July when we found it ahead 52/36. One thing that's interesting about the marijuana polling is that it really doesn't break down along party lines to the same extent most of the things we poll do. 56% of Democrats support it to 28% opposed and 30% of Republicans support it with 57% opposed. That's a lot more division within the ranks of both parties than we're seeing on a lot of stuff.

A big question to contemplate in California is whether the marijuana initiative is helping to stifle the enthusiasm gap Democrats are dealing with in most other states, particularly when it comes to intended turnout from young voters. We're seeing a much higher level of interest in this election from voters under 45 in California than in most places and those folks are highly favorable toward Proposition 19, planning to vote for it by a 54/34 margin.

Those same young voters are fueling much of the lead for Jerry Brown in the Governor's race and Barbara Boxer in the Senate- if Brown and Boxer win they may have the marijuana initiative to thank for driving turnout from folks who would otherwise have been drop off voters in a midterm. We'll do more research on what races are bringing people out the next time we poll California.