Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 48% (48%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (45%) {45%} [42%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (44%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 48% (45%) {48%} [48%] (42%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {41%} [48%] (48%) 
• Mitt Romney 41% (43%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (41%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 60% (58%) {66%} [64%] (63%) {59%} [66%] (60%) {55%} [61%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 33% (34%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {31%} [26%] (33%) {36%} [32%] (29%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 54% (44%) {47%} [44%] (45%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 41% (48%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (44%)  

Among Women

• Barack Obama 55% (48%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (46%) {44%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [40%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 47% (45%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (48%) / 48% (50%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 42% (42%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (36%) / 48% (48%) {48%} [50%] (51%) {47%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) {-6%}

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 43% (42%) {46%} [49%] (42%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (45%) / 49% (50%) {49%} [45%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%) {-6%}
• Mitt Romney 41% (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [30%] (34%) {37%} [33%] (34%) / 47% (50%) {51%} [49%] (49%) {46%} [55%] (45%) {41%} [50%] (52%) {-6%}

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 58% (55%) {65%} [64%] (63%) {58%} [66%] (59%) {56%} [63%] (63%) / 36% (38%) {32%} [30%] (30%) {34%} [30%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {+22%}
• Mitt Romney 32% (33%) {26%} [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (29%) {35%} [31%] (29%) / 57% (57%) {60%} [65%] (60%) {59%} [64%] (58%) {52%} [55%] (61%) {-25%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% (43%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (41%) / 42% (47%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {44%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {+8%}
• Barack Obama 42% (45%) {44%} [48%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [47%] (43%) / 54% (50%) {52%} [47%] (48%) {54%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [51%] (51%) {-12%}   

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% (45%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [53%] (52%) / 43% (50%) {47%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (44%) {+8%}
• Mitt Romney 35% (42%) {39%} [35%] (37%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) / 54% (49%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (55%) {-19%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% (44%) {44%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
• Disapprove 50% (51%) {50%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%)

Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 48% (49%) {48%} [47%] (44%) {49%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Too conservative 7% (7%) {8%} [7%] (9%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
• About right 42% (40%) {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (43%)

Do you agree or disagree with the Supreme Court's ruling on the health care reform bill?

• Agree 43%
  
• Disagree 45%

Among Democrats

• Agree 73%
• Disagree 15%

Among Republicans

• Agree 15%
  
• Disagree 77%

Among Independents

• Agree 39%
  
• Disagree 44%

Among Men

• Agree 38%
  
• Disagree 51%

Among Women

• Agree 48%
• Disagree 39%

Do you support or oppose the new immigration policy Barack Obama announced two weeks ago?

• Support 41%
• Oppose 46%

Among Democrats

• Support 64%
• Oppose 18%

Among Republicans

• Support 13%
• Oppose 78%

Among Independents

• Support 44%
• Oppose 43%

Among Men

• Support 36%
• Oppose 55%

Among Women

• Support 45%
• Oppose 38%

Who do you blame more for the present state of the economy: George W. Bush or Barack Obama, or do you blame both equally?

• George W. Bush 45%
• Barack Obama 39%
• Both equally 13%

Among Independents

• George W. Bush 41%
  
• Barack Obama 37%
  
• Both equally 18%

Among Men

• Barack Obama 46%
• George W. Bush 41%
  
• Both equally 11%

Among Women

• George W. Bush 49%
  
• Barack Obama 33%
  
• Both equally 15%

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (37%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [40%] (41%) Democrat; 36% (35%) {36%} [33%] (32%) {35%} [36%] (35%) {32%} [34%] (36%) Republican; 27% (27%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political views: 41% (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [46%] (43%) Moderate; 38% (37%) {42%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (38%) Conservative; 21% (16%) {18%} [16%] (18%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [16%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.