Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

KPC (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 48.2% [45.9%] (49%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46.7% [45.1%] (43%)
• Undecided 5.2% [9.0%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 58.4% [54.4%] (56%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 35.4% [35.5%] (31%)
• Undecided 6.2% [10.1%] (12%)

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 52.0% [49.2%] (54%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 44.4% [44.4%] (39%)
• Undecided 3.7% [6.5%] (7%)

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49.0% [45.8%] (46%)
• Scott Brown (R) 44.3% [42.7%] (44%)
• Undecided 6.7% [11.5%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown (R) 58.1% [54.1%] (57%) / 34.2% [34.1%] (31%) {+23.9%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 51.3% [54.5%] (49%) / 41.9% [38.4%] (39%) {+9.4%}

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 67.1% [62.2%] (64%) / 23.9% [26.4%] (22%) {+43.2%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 41.4% [46.3%] (39%) / 50.1% [46.9%] (47%) {-8.7%}

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 64% [56.5%] (60%) / 32% [33.9%] (30%) {+32%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 47.6% [52.2%] (42%) / 47.4% [42.2%] (45%) {+0.2%}

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 55.0% [56.8%] (55%) / 36.5% [34.6%] (33%) {+18.5%}
• Scott Brown (R) 52.4% [51.8%] (55%) / 37.0% [34.4%] (32%) {+15.4%}

(Among 478 voters who watched or listened to the debate) Who do you think won the debate?

• Senator Scott Brown 50.4%
• Elizabeth Warren 39.7%
• Tie 5.6%
• Undecided 4.2%

Among Independents

• Senator Scott Brown 60.5%
• Elizabeth Warren 29.3%
• Tie 4.3%
• Undecided 5.9%

Among Men

• Senator Scott Brown 56.6%
• Elizabeth Warren 36.8%
• Tie 4.7%
• Undecided 1.9%

Among Women

• Senator Scott Brown 43.2%
• Elizabeth Warren 43.2%
• Tie 6.8%
• Undecided 6.8%

Among Scott Brown Voters

• Senator Scott Brown 93.2%
• Elizabeth Warren 2.0%
• Tie 1.6%
• Undecided 3.2%

Among Elizabeth Warren Voters

• Elizabeth Warren 85.5%
• Senator Scott Brown 2.8%
  
• Tie 9.3%
• Undecided 2.3%

Survey of 868 likely Massachusetts voters, including a subsample of 478 voters who watched or listened to Thursday's debate, was conducted September 20, 2012 between 8:00-8:30pm. The margin of error is +/- 3.25 percentage points. Party ID: 38.4% [35.2%] (36%) Democrat; 11.5% [12.3%] (14%) Republican; 50.1% [52.5%] (51%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in parentheses.