Friday, November 02, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll
  • Tommy Thompson (R) 48% [48%] (48%) {47%} [46%] (54%) {41%} [52%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (49%)
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 48% [47%] (46%) {51%} [49%] (43%) {48%} [36%] (38%) {44%} [36%] (42%)
  • Some other candidate 1% [2%] (3%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%)
  • Undecided 2% [4%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (3%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (6%)
I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Tommy Thompson 
  • Very favorable 25% [24%] (23%) {25%} [22%] (23%)
  • Somewhat favorable 22% [24%] (25%) {22%} [27%] (36%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 15% [17%] (16%) {16%} [18%] (20%)
  • Very unfavorable 34% [33%] (32%) {36%} [28%] (17%)
Tammy Baldwin
  • Very favorable 28% [21%] (26%) {30%} [32%] (22%)
  • Somewhat favorable 19% [21%] (19%) {22%} [17%] (21%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 8% [15%] (8%) {10%} [13%] (16%)
  • Very unfavorable 41% [39%] (41%) {36%} [31%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tommy Thompson 47% [48%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (59%) / 49% [50%] (48%) {52%} [46%] (37%) {-2%}
  • Tammy Baldwin 47% [42%] (45%) {52%} [49%] (43%) / 49% [54%] (49%) {46%} [44%] (49%) {-2%}
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Twenty-five percent (25%) of Wisconsin voters have already voted in this year's election. Among these voters, Baldwin leads 57% to 39%.
Both candidates draw roughly 90% support from their respective parties. Among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties, Baldwin leads 50% to 42%.
Thompson leads by 14 points among male voters in the state but trails by 12 among female voters. Voters under 40 prefer Baldwin, while those over 40 favor Thompson.

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