Wednesday, May 13, 2015

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 63% (62%) {61%} [55%] (62%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% (12%) {11%} [12%] (12%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
  • Joe Biden 6% (9%) {12%} [17%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
  • Bernie Sanders 6% (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% (3%) {3%} [4%] (2%) {5%} [2%] (4%)
  • Jim Webb 2% (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) 
  • Martin O'Malley 0% (1%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 0% (0%)
National survey of 370 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted May 9-12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Jeb Bush 13% {9%} [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
  • Ben Carson 13% {6%} [11%] (10%) 
  • Scott Walker 11% {12%} [15%] (9%) {4%} [5%] (6%)
  • Mike Huckabee 10% {9%} [10%] (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% {13%} [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%)
  • Rand Paul 7% {10%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
  • Chris Christie 6% {6%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% {8%} [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%)  
  • Donald Trump 4% {5%} [3%] 
  • John Kasich 2% {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%}
  • Rick Perry 2% {2%} [3%] (4%) {12%} [5%] (3%)  
  • Rick Santorum 2% {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%)
  • Carly Fiorina 1% {0%} [1%]
  • Bobby Jindal 1% {1%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%]
  • Lindsey Graham 0% {1%} [0%] (1%)  
  • George Pataki 0% {1%} [1%]
National survey of 413 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 9-12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 63% {54%} [54%] (60%)
  • Bernie Sanders 13% {6%} [5%] (2%) 
  • Jim Webb 6% {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 5%
  • Martin O'Malley 2% {3%} [1%] (1%)
  • Not sure 11% {13%} [10%] (11%)
Survey of 600 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 7-10, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Political ideology: 32% {30%} [29%] (38%) Moderate; 30% {34%} [26%] (26%) Somewhat liberal; 25% {20%} [28%] (22%) Very liberal; 9% {13%} [14%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 3% {3%} [3%] (3%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Scott Walker 18% {20%} [25%] (11%) 
  • Marco Rubio 13% {6%} [3%]
  • Ben Carson 12% {10%} [18%] (15%) 
  • Mike Huckabee 12% {6%} [10%] (9%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% {17%} [17%] (17%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% {16%} [5%] (9%)
  • Rand Paul 9% {10%} [4%] (4%) 
  • Chris Christie 5% {4%} [5%] (7%)
  • Rick Perry 2% {3%} [3%] (2%) 
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% {8%} [11%] (5%)
Survey of 685 Republican primary voters was conducted May 7-10, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Political ideology: 37% {34%} [38%] (35%) Very conservative; 34% {36%} [38%] (38%) Somewhat conservative; 21% {19%} [17%] (21%) Moderate; 6% {8%} [6%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {3%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

Sunday, May 10, 2015

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 44%
  • Marco Rubio 42%
  • Not sure 14%
  • Hillary Clinton 44% [50%] (47%)
  • Jeb Bush 42% [36%] (39%)
  • Not sure 14% [14%] (14%)
  • Hillary Clinton 46% [48%] (48%)
  • Rand Paul 43% [41%] (41%)
  • Not sure 11% [11%] (10%)  
  • Hillary Clinton 46% [50%]
  • Scott Walker 40% [37%]
  • Not sure 14% [14%]
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted May 2-6, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 62% [56%] (62%)
  • Bernie Sanders 18% [8%] (6%)
  • Joe Biden 5% [8%] (5%) 
  • Martin O'Malley 3% [0%] (1%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 1%
  • Jim Webb 1% [0%]
  • Someone else 0% [0%] (0%)
  • None of the above 3% [2%] (2%)
  • Not sure 8% [11%] (8%)  
Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted May 2-6, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Rand Paul 12% [13%] (16%)  
  • Scott Walker 12% [12%]
  • Jeb Bush 11% [16%] (14%)
  • Marco Rubio 11% [5%] 
  • Donald Trump 8% [3%]
  • Chris Christie 7% [10%] (16%
  • Ted Cruz 6% [3%] (5%)
  • Ben Carson 5% [6%] (9%)
  • Mike Huckabee 4% [6%] (8%)
  • Carly Fiorina 3% [1%]
  • Lindsey Graham 1%
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (4%)
  • John Kasich 1% [2%]
  • Rick Perry 1% [1%] (3%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% [2%]
  • Someone else 1% [1%] (1%)
  • None of the above 3% [2%] (4%)
  • Not sure 12% [14%] (13%)  
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 2-6, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Thursday, May 07, 2015

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (39%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (51%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Rand Paul (R) 47% (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (50%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 45%
Survey of 627 likely New Hampshire 2016 presidential election voters was conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 60% (61%)
  • Bernie Sanders 15% (5%)
  • Joe Biden 11% (7%)
  • Martin O'Malley 3% (0%)
  • Jim Webb 3% (2%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 0%
Survey of 692 likely Iowa Democratic caucus participants was conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, May 06, 2015

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 15% {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Marco Rubio 12% {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%) 
  • Scott Walker 11% {12%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Rand Paul 10% {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Donald Trump 5% {2%}
  • Ben Carson 4% {8%}
  • Rick Perry 4% {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {4%} 
  • Carly Fiorina 4% {0%}
  • Chris Christie 3% {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Mike Huckabee 3% {9%} [9%] (8%) 
  • Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
  • George Pataki 2% {1%} 
  • Rick Santorum 2% {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • John Kasich 1% {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Lindsey Graham 1%
  • Peter King 0% {0%}
  • Bob Ehrlich 0%
  • Jim Gilmore 0%
  • John Bolton 0% {1%}
  • Someone else 1% {1%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
  • Don't know yet 14% {15%} [28%] (15%) {15%} [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)
Survey of 293 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Dartmouth Rockefeller Center New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

Dartmouth Rockefeller Center New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Scott Walker (R) 38.7%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34.8%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 36.9% [32.3%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34.1% [42.2%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34.5%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 34.4%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36.5% [36.5%] (37.1%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 34.4% [34.4%] (32.3%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36.1% [35.9%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 33.3% [38.5%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38.1% [39.3%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 31.1% [36.3%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39.6%
    • Ted Cruz (R) 28.7%
      Survey of 355 registered voters was conducted April 27-30, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 21-25, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-25, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

      PPP (D) Arizona 2016 Presidential Poll 
        • Chris Christie (R) 46% (41%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (44%)
        • Rand Paul (R) 45% (43%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (46%)
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% (41%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (47%)
        • Marco Rubio (R) 43%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
        • Ted Cruz (R) 44%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
        • Scott Walker (R) 44%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (44%)
        • Jeb Bush (R) 41% (45%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
        • Ben Carson (R) 42%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
        • Rick Perry (R) 41%

        • Scott Walker (R) 41%
        • Lincoln Chafee (D) 26%
        • Scott Walker (R) 43%
        • Bernie Sanders (D) 28%
        • Scott Walker (R) 43%
        • Martin O'Malley (D) 25%
        • Scott Walker (R) 44%
        • Jim Webb (D) 26%
        Survey of 600 Arizona voters was conducted May 1-3, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (39%) Republican; 33% (31%) Democrat; 26% (30%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% (29%) Moderate; 23% (26%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (17%) Very conservative; 15% (18%) Somewhat liberal; 12% (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 28 - March 2, 2014 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Arizona 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

        PPP (D) Arizona 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
        • Hillary Clinton 58%
        • Bernie Sanders 16%
        • Lincoln Chafee 5%
        • Jim Webb 5%
        • Martin O'Malley 4%
        • Not sure 12%
        Survey of 268 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 1-3, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.0 percentage points.

        Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Arizona 2016 Republican Primary Survey

        PPP (D) Arizona 2016 GOP Primary Poll
        • Scott Walker 16% (8%)
        • Jeb Bush 14% (11%) 
        • Marco Rubio 14% (4%)
        • Ben Carson 11%
        • Rand Paul 11% (14%) 
        • Ted Cruz 9% (16%
        • Chris Christie 5% (12%)
        • Mike Huckabee 5% (11%)
        • Rick Perry 2%
        • Not sure 12% (13%)
        Survey of 300 Republican primary voters was conducted May 1-3, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% (39%) Somewhat conservative; 32% (31%) Very conservative; 24% (23%) Moderate; 4% (7%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 28 - March 2, 2014 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

        Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
        • Scott Walker 21% (25%)
        • Marco Rubio 13% (4%)
        • Rand Paul 13% (13%) 
        • Ted Cruz 12% (5%)
        • Mike Huckabee 11% (11%)
        • Ben Carson 7% (11%) 
        • Jeb Bush 5% (10%)
        • Chris Christie 3% (4%)
        • Rick Perry 3% (3%)
        • Carly Fiorina 2%
        • John Kasich 2% (0%)
        • Rick Santorum 2% (4%)
        • Bobby Jindal 1% (2%)
        • Lindsey Graham 0%
        Survey of 667 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants was conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Gender: 58% (60%) Men; 42% (40%) Women. Political philosophy: 43% (45%) Very conservative; 27% (28%) Somewhat conservative; 29% (25%) Moderate/Liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

        Tuesday, May 05, 2015

        Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

        UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
        • Hillary Clinton 51% {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
        • Elizabeth Warren 20% {14%} [18%] (8%) (6%)  
        • Bernie Sanders 13% {6%} [3%] (5%)
        • Andrew Cuomo 3% {2%} [1%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
        • Joe Biden 2% {8%} [3%] (14%) {6%} [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)
        • Martin O'Malley 1% {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
        • Jim Webb 1% {1%}
        • Lincoln Chafee 1% 
        • Undecided 8% {9%} [13%] (9%) {18%} [10%] (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)
        Survey of 229 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

        Monday, May 04, 2015

        Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Presidential Survey

        • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
        • Rand Paul (R) 44%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
        • Marco Rubio (R) 43%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
        • Jeb Bush (R) 43%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
        • Scott Walker (R) 40%

        • Jeb Bush (R) 48%
        • Joe Biden (D) 40%
        Survey of registered voters was conducted April 26-30, 2015.

        Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

        NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
        • Jeb Bush 23%
        • Marco Rubio 18%
        • Scott Walker 14%
        • Rand Paul 11%
        • Ted Cruz 11%
        • Ben Carson 7%
        • Chris Christie 5%
        • Mike Huckabee 5%
        • Rick Perry 2%
        • Carly Fiorina 1%
        Survey of 251 registered Republican primary voters was conducted April 26-30, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6.19 percentage points.

        Friday, May 01, 2015

        Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

        PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%)
        • Rand Paul (R) 43% (42%) {42%} [42%] (37%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%)
        • Marco Rubio (R) 44% (35%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (46%) {46%} [46%]
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% (42%) {42%} [42%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (43%) {44%} [45%] (50%)
        • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%) {39%} [41%] (36%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {45%} [45%] (43%)
        • Chris Christie (R) 40% (41%) {39%} [39%] (36%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (47%) {47%}
            • Ted Cruz (R) 42% (39%) {40%}
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
            • Scott Walker (R) 41%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
            • Ben Carson (R) 41%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
            • Rick Perry (R) 41%
            Survey of 1,219 likely voters was conducted April 23-26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) Democrat; 35% (36%) {34%} [31%] (37%) Republican; 28% (29%) {28%} [32%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% (33%) {27%} [30%] (32%) Moderate; 23% (21%) {22%} [24%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (17%) {18%} [22%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 16% (18%) {19%} [14%] (18%) Very conservative; 11% (12%) {14%} [10%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Wednesday, April 29, 2015

            Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

            SurveyUSA North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 43%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
            • Rand Paul (R) 43%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
            • Marco Rubio (R) 41%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
            • Ted Cruz (R) 42%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
            • Scott Walker (R) 39%
            Survey of 1,070 likely voters was conducted April 22-27, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 31% Republican; 31% Independent.

            Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

            Loras College Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 57.0% (48.3%)
            • Elizabeth Warren 14.7% (16.5%)
            • Joe Biden 5.9% (12.6%)
            • Martin O'Malley 2.4% (0.4%)
            • Bernie Sanders 2.0% (3.8%)
            • Jim Webb 1.2% (2.3%)
            • Lincoln Chafee 0.0%
            • Undecided 16.7% (16.1%)
            Survey of 491 likely Democratic caucus participants was conducted April 21-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Tuesday, April 28, 2015

            Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2016 Presidential Survey

            Siena College New York 2016 Presidential Poll
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {64%} [60%] (56%)
            • Chris Christie (R) 34% {28%} [32%] (40%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 32%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {67%}
            • Rand Paul (R) 29% {24%}
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
            • Marco Rubio (R) 30%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
            • Ted Cruz (R) 26%
            Survey of 785 registered voters was conducted April 19-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-16, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2016 Republican Primary Survey

            Siena College New York 2016 GOP Primary Poll
            • Chris Christie 25%
            • Jeb Bush 20%
            • Marco Rubio 9%  
            • Rand Paul 8%
            • Ted Cruz 6%
            Survey of 223 registered Republican primary voters was conducted April 19-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.6 percentage points.

            Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

            Elon University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47.4% (45.7%)
            • Jeb Bush (R) 44.0% (40.2%)
            Survey of 677 registered North Carolina voters was conducted April 20-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.77 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

            Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
            • Scott Walker 12.6% [9.9%] (4.7%)
            • Marco Rubio 10.0% [4.2%] (4.7%)
            • Jeb Bush 9.6% [13.1%] (10.7%)
            • Mike Huckabee 8.6% [14.4%] (14.7%)
            • Ted Cruz 6.5% [5.4%] (6.2%)
            • Rand Paul 6.3% [7.0%] (8.5%)
            • Ben Carson 6.3% [12.8%]
            • Chris Christie 5.1% [5.4%] (8.0%)
            • Rick Santorum 3.5% [3.8%] (4.7%) 
            • Donald Trump 3.1%
            • Rick Perry 2.6% [3.2%] (3.0%)
            • Bobby Jindal 1.0% [1.6%]
            • John Kasich 1.0% [1.3%] (0.7%)
            • Carly Fiorina 1.0% [1.3%]
            • Lindsey Graham 0.0% [0.6%]
            • Undecided 22.8% [14.7%] (23.8%)
            Survey of 509 likely Republican caucus participants was conducted April 21-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

            PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 62% [59%] (67%) {71%} [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
            • Bernie Sanders 14%
            • Martin O'Malley 6% [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
            • Jim Webb 3%
            • Lincoln Chafee 2%
            • Not sure 13% [8%] (10%) {5%} [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)
            Survey of 466 Democratic primary voters was conducted April 23-26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 34% [28%] (28%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 34% [35%] (41%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 24% [30%] (20%) {18%} [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 6% [5%] (9%) {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

            PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
            • Scott Walker 23% (6%) {7%}
            • Marco Rubio 13% (4%) {3%} [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
            • Jeb Bush 12% (12%) {13%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%) 
            • Mike Huckabee 10% (20%) {17%} (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
            • Rand Paul 10% (10%) {14%} [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
            • Ted Cruz 8% (15%) {10%} [10%]
            • Ben Carson 7%
            • Chris Christie 5% (9%) {10%} [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
            • Rick Perry 4% (3%)
            • Not sure 8% (13%) {11%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)
            Survey of 462 Republican primary voters was conducted April 23-26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% (37%) {39%} [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 34% (42%) {33%} [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 19% (16%) {21%} [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 5% (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

            Monday, April 27, 2015

            Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

            • Jeb Bush (R) 48% [43%] (38%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%] (51%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [49%] (43%)
            • Chris Christie (R) 45% [42%] (41%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [52%] (47%)
            • Rand Paul (R) 47% [42%] (40%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [52%] (52%)
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% [42%] (37%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [51%] (48%)
            • Marco Rubio (R) 45% [42%] (40%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (46%)
            • Scott Walker (R) 43% (35%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (47%)
            • Ted Cruz (R) 44% (37%)
            Survey of 658 registered voters was conducted April 13-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 24% [25%] (27%) Democrat; 22% [21%] (21%) Republican; 52% [51%] (50%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

            CNU Virginia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 80% [65%] (66%)
            • Jim Webb 6% [10%]
            • Joe Biden 5% [8%] (19%)
            • Bernie Sanders 2% [2%]
            • Martin O'Malley 1% [1%]
            • Lincoln Chafee 0%
            Survey of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted April 13-24, 2015. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

            CNU Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll
            • Jeb Bush 17% [21%] (18%)
            • Marco Rubio 16% [6%] (4%)
            • Chris Christie 10% [10%] (19%)
            • Rand Paul 10% [6%] (7%)
            • Scott Walker 10% [16%] (3%) 
            • Ben Carson 7% [9%]
            • Ted Cruz 7% [3%] (9%)
            • Mike Huckabee 6% [10%] (13%)
            • Donald Trump 5%
            • Bobby Jindal 2% [2%]
            • Carly Fiorina 1%
            • John Kasich 0% [3%]
            • Rick Perry 0% [1%]
            • Rick Santorum 0% [1%] 
            Survey of registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted April 13-24, 2015. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

            • Scott Walker (R) 47% (43%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%)
            • Rand Paul (R) 45% (42%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (43%)
            • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (40%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
            • Marco Rubio (R) 44%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
            • Chris Christie (R) 41%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
            • Ted Cruz (R) 44%
            Survey of 1,117 registered voters was conducted April 21-22, 2015. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

            Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 45% (49%)
            • Elizabeth Warren 24% (20%)
            • Bernie Sanders 12% (12%)
            • Joe Biden 7% (5%)
            • Martin O'Malley 4% (2%) 
            • Lincoln Chafee 2%
            • Jim Webb 2% (2%)
            • Bill de Blasio 0.4%
            If Elizabeth Warren does not run for president:
            • Hillary Clinton 54%
            • Bernie Sanders 19%
            • Joe Biden 10%
            • Martin O'Malley 5%
            • Jim Webb 4%
            • Lincoln Chafee 2%
            • Bill de Blasio 1%
            Survey of 369 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted April 21-22, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

            Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
            • Jeb Bush 18% {18%} [16%] (16%)
            • Scott Walker 16% {19%} [23%] (7%)
            • Rand Paul 15% {10%} [11%] (12%)
            • Marco Rubio 11% {7%} [8%] (8%)
            • Ted Cruz 10% {6%} [6%] (12%)
            • Chris Christie 5% {10%} [12%] (15%)
            • Ben Carson 4% {6%}
            • Carly Fiorina 3% {4%}
            • Mike Huckabee 3% {4%} [6%] (11%)
            • Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [3%] (3%)  
            Survey of 666 registered Republican primary voters was conducted April 21-22, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

            Thursday, April 23, 2015

            Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {47%} [47%] (51%) {52%} [51%]
            • Rand Paul (R) 43% {45%} [44%] (40%) {41%} [42%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [48%] (49%) {52%} [51%] (51%)
            • Jeb Bush (R) 41% {45%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [42%] (38%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {47%}
            • Marco Rubio (R) 42% {43%}
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {48%} (52%)
            • Ted Cruz (R) 42% {42%} (36%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {48%}
            • Scott Walker (R) 40% {42%}
            National survey of 1,012 registered voters was conducted April 19-21, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

            Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 62% {61%} [55%] (62%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
            • Elizabeth Warren 12% {11%} [12%] (12%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
            • Joe Biden 9% {12%} [17%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
            • Bernie Sanders 4% {3%} [3%] (3%)
            • Andrew Cuomo 3% {3%} [4%] (2%) {5%} [2%] (4%)
            • Martin O'Malley 1% {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
            • Lincoln Chafee 0%
            • Jim Webb 0% {1%} [1%] (1%)
            National survey of 388 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 19-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

            Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
            • Marco Rubio 13% [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%)
            • Scott Walker 12% [15%] (9%) {4%} [5%] (6%)
            • Rand Paul 10% [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
            • Jeb Bush 9% [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
            • Mike Huckabee 9% [10%] (13%)
            • Ted Cruz 8% [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%) 
            • Ben Carson 6% [11%] (10%)
            • Chris Christie 6% [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%)  
            • Donald Trump 5% [3%] 
            • John Kasich 2% [1%] (2%) {2%}
            • Rick Perry 2% [3%] (4%) {12%} [5%] (3%)  
            • Bobby Jindal 1% [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%]
            • Lindsey Graham 1% [0%] (1%)  
            • George Pataki 1% [1%]
            • Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%)
            • Carly Fiorina 0% [1%]
            National survey of 383 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 19-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

            Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] [50%]
            • Marco Rubio (R) 43% [41%] [34%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [47%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {49%} [53%] (50%) {49%}
                • Rand Paul (R) 42% [41%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (41%) {40%} [36%] (38%) {41%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] (43%) {47%} [46%] (41%) {42%} [49%] (46%) [45%]
                • Chris Christie (R) 40% [39%] (42%) {38%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [36%] (40%) [37%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [47%] (46%) {49%}
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% [40%] (41%) {40%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%]
                • Scott Walker (R) 41% [39%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [48%] (48%) [50%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
                • Ted Cruz (R) 41% [38%] (37%) [35%] (37%) {36%} [31%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [45%] (46%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
                • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [42%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (39%) {40%}
                National survey of 1,353 registered voters was conducted April 16-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 25% [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 34% [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 9% [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 73% [73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 12% [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 6% [7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 8% [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

                Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                • Hillary Clinton 60% (56%) {57%} [58%] (65%) {66%} [61%] (65%)
                • Joe Biden 10% (10%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (13%)
                • Bernie Sanders 8% (4%) {4%}
                • Martin O'Malley 3% (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
                • Jim Webb 1% (1%) {1%} 
                • Lincoln Chafee 0%
                • Don't know 14% (14%) {14%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [15%] (14%)
                If Hillary Clinton does not run for President:
                • Joe Biden 40% (35%) {34%} (45%)
                • Bernie Sanders 11% (7%) {6%} 
                • Martin O'Malley 8% (1%) {2%} (3%)
                • Jim Webb 4% (3%) {2%}
                • Lincoln Chafee 1%
                • Don't know 30% (25%) {28%} (26%)
                National survey of 569 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted April 16-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                • Marco Rubio 15% (5%) {3%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
                • Jeb Bush 13% (16%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
                • Scott Walker 11% (18%) {6%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
                • Ted Cruz 9% (6%) {5%} [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%]
                • Rand Paul 8% (6%) {8%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%)
                • Chris Christie 7% (8%) {11%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
                • Mike Huckabee 7% (8%) {7%} [10%]
                • Ben Carson 3% (7%) {9%} 
                • Rick Perry 3% (1%) {3%} [3%]
                • Lindsey Graham 2% (1%)
                • John Kasich 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
                • Rick Santorum 2% (2%) {2%} [2%]
                • Carly Fiorina 1%
                • Bobby Jindal 1% (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
                • Don't know 14% (17%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)
                Survey of 567 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted April 16-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Wednesday, April 22, 2015

                Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll
                • Chris Christie 20% (51%)
                • Scott Walker 14%
                • Jeb Bush 13% (6%)
                • Ted Cruz 8% 
                • Rand Paul 8% (10%)
                • Other (vol.) 15% (10%)
                • Don't know (vol.) 22% (13%)
                Survey of 268 registered Republican primary voters was conducted April 13-19, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Tuesday, April 21, 2015

                Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

                PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {50%} [51%] (52%)
                • Rand Paul (R) 40% {37%} [41%] (41%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                • Scott Walker (R) 40%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (52%)
                • Marco Rubio (R) 38% (38%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Rick Perry (R) 38%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Ben Carson (R) 38%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 38%
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {49%} [49%]
                  • Jeb Bush (R) 36% {38%} [40%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {43%} [43%]
                      • Chris Christie (R) 36% {39%} [39%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {51%} [50%]
                      • Ted Cruz (R) 37% {32%} [38%]
                      • Joe Biden (D) 44%
                      • Scott Walker (R) 40%
                      • Elizabeth Warren (D) 45%
                      • Scott Walker (R) 40%
                      Survey of 747 New Hampshire voters was conducted April 9-13, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 30% {27%} [30%] (29%) Republican; 28% {28%} [31%] (32%) Democrat; 43% {44%} [39%] (39%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% {34%} [33%] (31%) Moderate; 21% {18%} [19%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 20% {25%} [21%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 15% {10%} [12%] (13%) Very liberal; 12% {13%} [15%] (15%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

                      Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
                      • Jeb Bush 16% [10%] (14%)
                      • Scott Walker 13% [24%] (10%) 
                      • Marco Rubio 12% [7%] (4%)
                      • Rand Paul 9% [10%] (8%) 
                      • Ben Carson 9% [5%]
                      • Mike Huckabee 8% [7%] (9%)
                      • Ted Cruz 6% [4%] (7%)
                      • Chris Christie 5% [9%] (5%) 
                      • Carly Fiorina 3% [3%] 
                      • Rick Santorum 2% [6%]
                      • Unsure 17% [15%] (18%)
                      Survey of 388 Iowa Republican voters was conducted April 13, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 5-7, 2015 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {45%}
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {40%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%}
                      • Rand Paul (R) 43% {39%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {45%}
                      • Chris Christie (R) 39% {35%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {43%} [42.6%] (41%)
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 40% {37%} [43.5%] (41%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 42%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {47%}
                      • Scott Walker (R) 41% {41%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
                      • Carly Fiorina (R) 37%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                      • Ted Cruz (R) 40%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                      • Ben Carson (R) 37%
                      Survey of 1,259 registered Iowa voters was conducted April 13, 2015  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

                      Monday, April 20, 2015

                      Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (55%) (56%)
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 41% (42%) (37%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (55%) {54%} [59%] (58%)
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 39% (40%) {41%} [36%] (36%) 
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (55%) {56%} [56%] (47%)
                      • Chris Christie (R) 39% (40%) {39%} [37%] (47%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (54%) {58%} [58%] (54%)
                      • Rand Paul (R) 39% (43%) {38%} [38%] (40%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (55%) {59%} [57%] (55%)
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 37% (41%) {38%} [38%] (39%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% (55%)
                      • Scott Walker (R) 37% (40%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% (56%) {56%}
                      • Ben Carson (R) 36% (40%) {35%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% {60%}
                      • Ted Cruz (R) 36% {35%}
                      National survey of 1,018 adults was conducted April 16-19, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                      CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                      • Hillary Clinton 69% [67%]
                      • Joe Biden 11% [16%]
                      • Bernie Sanders 5% [5%] 
                      • Jim Webb 3% [1%]
                      • Lincoln Chafee 1%
                      • Martin O'Malley 1% [1%]
                      Survey of 458 Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted April 16-19, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets.