Poll Watch: Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 Republican Senate Primary Runoff Survey

Chism Strategies (D) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Runoff Poll 

• Chris McDaniel 50.6%
• Thad Cochran 47.6%
• Undecided 1.8%

Survey of 832 likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 5, 2014. The margin of error is +/ - 3.3 percentage points. Race: 96% White: 2% Black; 2% Other.

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

Loras College Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47.5%
• Chris Christie (R) 39.0%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49.7%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 39.8%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48.7%
• Jeb Bush (R) 38.2%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50.0%
• Paul Ryan (R) 38.7%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52.0%
• Rand Paul (R) 37.5%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted June 4-5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2016 Presidential Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Rand Paul (R) 43%

Among Independents

• Rand Paul (R) 47%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
• Rand Paul (R) 37%

Among Men

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Rand Paul (R) 46%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
• Rand Paul (R) 39%

Survey of 851 registered voters was conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014.

Poll Watch: Clemson University Palmetto Poll South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Clemson South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 50%
• Joe Biden 12%
• Andrew Cuomo 2%
• Martin O'Malley 1%
• Brian Schweitzer 0%
• Deval Patrick 0%
• Undecided/Don't know 35%

Survey of 400 Democrats was conducted May 26 - June 2, 2014.

Poll Watch: Clemson University Palmetto Poll South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Clemson South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 22%
• Chris Christie 10%
• Rand Paul 9%
• Ted Cruz 9%
• Marco Rubio 6%
• Bobby Jindal 3%
• Undecided/Don't know 48%

Survey of 400 frequent Republican voters was conducted May 22-29, 2014.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 44% (51%)
• Rick Weiland (D) 29% (31%)
• Larry Pressler (I) 18%
• Some other candidate 2% (6%)
• Undecided 7% (11%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 4-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 25-26, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Strategic National (R) Mississippi Republican Senatorial Primary Runoff Survey

Strategic National (R) Mississippi 2014 GOP Senate Runoff Poll 

• Chris McDaniel 52%
• Thad Cochran 46%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thad Cochran 58% / 26% {+32%}
• Chris McDaniel 53% / 32% {+21%}

Survey of likely GOP runoff voters was conducted June 5, 2014.

Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 69% (73%)
• Joe Biden 12% (11%)
• Elizabeth Warren 7% (9%)
• Andrew Cuomo 2%
• Martin O'Malley 2%
• Bernie Sanders 2%
• Brian Schweitzer 1%
• Jim Webb 1%
  
• None of these (vol.) 2% (3%) 
• No opinion 2% (4%)

Survey of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Vox Populi (R) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

Vox Populi (R) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

• Joni Ernst (R) 49%
• Bruce Braley (D) 44%

Survey of 667 active voters was conducted June 4-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Republican; 34% Democrat; 31% Independent.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

Who has the best chance of being elected over the Democratic candidate in 2016?

• Chris Christie 19%
• Jeb Bush 16%
• Mike Huckabee 13%
• Rand Paul 13%
• Rick Perry 10%
• Paul Ryan 10%
• Bobby Jindal 9%
• Marco Rubio 9%
• Ted Cruz 8%
• Rick Santorum 6%
• Scott Walker 6%
• Not sure 12%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Paul Ryan 56% (73%) / 23% (10%) {+33%}
• Marco Rubio 43% (46%) / 23% (15%) {+20%}
• Rick Perry 49% (55%) / 32% (19%) {+17%}
• Mike Huckabee 50% (66%) / 34% (17%) {+16%}
• Rand Paul 46% (51%) / 30% (23%) {+16%}
• Bobby Jindal 35% / 19% {+16%}
• Ted Cruz 38% (46%) / 26% (17%) {+12%}
• Rick Santorum 41% (58%) / 31% (21%) {+10%}
• Jeb Bush 44% (51%) / 38% (26%) {+6%}
• Chris Christie 42% (51%) / 40% (30%) {+2%}

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 27-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-11, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

Loras College Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

• Joni Ernst (R) 48.0%
• Bruce Braley (D) 41.7%
• Undecided 10.3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joni Ernst 42.2% / 29.2% {+13.0%}
• Bruce Braley 35.8% / 25.7% {+10.1%}

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted June 4-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party registration: 39.3% Republican; 36.0% Democrat; 24.7% Independent/No party.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

GENERAL ELECTION

• Jack Kingston (R) 43%
• Michelle Nunn (D) 37%
• Amanda Swafford (L) 6%
• Undecided 13%

• David Perdue (R) 43%
• Michelle Nunn (D) 38%
• Amanda Swafford (L) 6%
• Undecided 14%

Among Men

• Jack Kingston (R) 48%
• Michelle Nunn (D) 34%
• Amanda Swafford (L) 8%
• Undecided 10%

• David Perdue (R) 50%
• Michelle Nunn (D) 33%
• Amanda Swafford (L) 6%
• Undecided 11%

Among Women

• Michelle Nunn (D) 42%
• Jack Kingston (R) 38%
• Amanda Swafford (L) 4%
• Undecided 16%

• Michelle Nunn (D) 44%
• David Perdue (R) 35%
• Amanda Swafford (L) 5%
• Undecided 16%

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY RUNOFF 

• Jack Kingston 52%
• David Perdue 41%
• Undecided 7%
  

Survey of 999 likely voters, including a subsample of 419 likely Republican runoff voters, was conducted June 3-5, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points among all likely voters; +/- 4.9 percentage points among likely GOP runoff voters.  Party ID: 38% Republican; 35% Democrat; 25% Independent.  Ideology: 40% Conservative; 38% Moderate; 15% Liberal.  Gender: 53% Male; 47% Female.  Race: 65% White; 24% Black; 7% Hispanic; 4% Asian.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

• Joni Ernst (R) 45% (37%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 44% (40%)
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 9%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 4-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 24-25, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [44%]
• Chris Christie (R) 39% [48%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [51%] (55%)
• Rick Santorum (R) 40% [42%] (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [48%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 37% [44%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [51%]
• Rand Paul (R) 38% [43%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [53%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 34% [41%]

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59% [48%]
• Chris Christie (R) 29% [39%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 62% [65%] (66%)
• Rick Santorum (R) 27% [24%] (24%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57% [58%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 29% [28%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 61% [62%]
• Rand Paul (R) 25% [24%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 26%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 64% [63%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 21% [27%]

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 47% [51%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%]   

• Rick Santorum (R) 48% [43%] (42%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [51%] (52%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 45% [45%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [44%]

• Rand Paul (R) 49% [45%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [48%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 46%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [50%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 44% [44%]

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [49%]
• Chris Christie (R) 31% [45%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59% [51%] (58%)
• Rick Santorum (R) 32% [41%] (33%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59% [52%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 29% [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 61% [54%]
• Rand Paul (R) 28% [41%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 30%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 61% [56%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 26% [38%]

Survey of 835 Pennsylvania voters was conducted May 30 - June 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 46% [46%] (48%) Democrat; 39% [43%] (40%) Republican; 15% [11%] (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% [30%] (31%) Moderate; 25% [26%] (19%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [18%] (20%) Somewhat liberal; 15% [15%] (15%) Very conservative; 11% [11%] (15%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 22-25, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 8-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Poll 

• Hillary Clinton 65% (61%)
• Joe Biden 9% (13%)
• Andrew Cuomo 5% (3%)
• Elizabeth Warren 5% (11%)
• Cory Booker 4% (2%)
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1% (1%)
• Mark Warner 1% (0%)
• Brian Schweitzer 1% (0%)
• Martin O'Malley 0% (0%)
• Someone else/Not sure 10% (9%)

Survey of 382 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 30 - June 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Ideology: 33%  (34%) Moderate; 30% (27%) Somewhat liberal; 21% (19%) Very liberal; 14% (17%) Somewhat conservative; 3% (3%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted November 22-25, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 GOP Primary Poll 

• Chris Christie 23% [26%] (20%)
• Mike Huckabee 14% (9%)
• Rand Paul 12% [14%] (17%)
• Ted Cruz 10% [16%]
• Jeb Bush 10% [10%] (10%) 
• Rick Santorum 8% [8%] (10%) 
• Marco Rubio 6% [6%] (17%)
• Paul Ryan 4% [5%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 3% [3%]
• Someone else/Not sure 9% [9%] (6%)

Among Men

• Chris Christie 22% [29%] (21%) 
• Rand Paul 17% [16%] (22%)
• Mike Huckabee 12% (9%)
• Jeb Bush 12% [12%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 9% [15%]
• Rick Santorum 5% [7%] (8%)
• Marco Rubio 5% [6%] (18%)
• Scott Walker 4% [4%]
• Paul Ryan 4% [3%] (5%)
• Someone else/Not sure 10% [8%] (4%)

Among Women

• Chris Christie 25% [23%] (20%)
• Mike Huckabee 16% (10%)
• Rick Santorum 12% [10%] (11%) 
• Ted Cruz 11% [18%]
• Jeb Bush 8% [7%] (11%)
• Rand Paul 7% [11%] (12%)
• Marco Rubio 7% [6%] (15%)
• Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 2% [3%]
• Someone else/Not sure 8% [11%] (9%)

Survey of 333 Republican primary voters was conducted May 30 - June 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Ideology: 40%  [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 31% [33%] (29%) Very conservative; 23% [19%] (21%) Moderate; 5% [8%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [3%] (4%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 22-25, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%) {44%} (47%)
• Chris Christie (R) 41% (41%) {43%} (42%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (55%)
• Paul Ryan (R) 38% (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (53%) {52%} [52%]
• Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%) {40%} [37%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (53%) {52%}
• Jeb Bush (R) 35% (36%) {36%}

Among Independents

• Chris Christie (R) 45% (46%) {47%} (45%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (37%) {31%} (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (52%)
• Paul Ryan (R) 39% (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (49%) {45%} [46%]
• Rand Paul (R) 37% (42%) {43%} [39%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 34%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (49%) {48%}
• Jeb Bush (R) 31% (34%) {33%}

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 45% (46%) {51%} (48%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (40%) {36%} (39%)

• Paul Ryan (R) 45% (47%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%) {44%} [43%]
• Rand Paul (R) 45% (44%) {48%} [46%] 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%) {43%}
• Jeb Bush (R) 39% (41%) {42%}

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (52%) {51%} (55%)
• Chris Christie (R) 37% (36%) {36%} (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (63%)
• Paul Ryan (R) 31% (30%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (59%) {60%} [60%]
• Rand Paul (R) 30% (32%) {34%} [28%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 32%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (59%) {60%}
• Jeb Bush (R) 31% (31%) {30%} 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 55% / 40% {+15%}
• Chris Christie 45% / 36% {+9%}
• Mike Huckabee 31% / 30% {+1%}
• Paul Ryan 32% / 33% {-1%}
• Rand Paul 29% / 33% {-4%}
• Jeb Bush 27% / 36% {-9%}

Among Independents

• Chris Christie 48% / 31% {+17%}
• Hillary Clinton 48% / 44% {+4%}
• Paul Ryan 34% / 31% {+3%}
• Mike Huckabee 33% / 31% {+2%}
• Rand Paul 33% / 31% {+2%}
• Jeb Bush 25% / 41% {-16%}

Among Men

• Chris Christie 47% / 37% {+10%}
• Paul Ryan 42% / 35% {+7%}
• Rand Paul 42% / 37% {+5%}
• Hillary Clinton 48% / 47% {+1%}
• Mike Huckabee 35% / 34% {+1%}
• Jeb Bush 33% / 36% {-3%}

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton 61% / 33% {+28%}
• Chris Christie 43% / 35% {+8%}
• Mike Huckabee 28% / 26% {+2%}
• Paul Ryan 23% / 31% {-8%}
• Rand Paul 18% / 30% {-12%}
• Jeb Bush 21% / 35% {-14%}

Survey of 1,308 registered voters was conducted May 29 - June 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% (35%) {36%} [39%] (37%) Democrat; 30% (32%) {30%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 27% (26%) {27%} [21%] (24%) Independent; 6% (7%) {7%} [7%] (5%) Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted February 19-24, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-11, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

• Approve 44% (41%) [48%] {61%} (62%) [58%] {61%} (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
• Disapprove 44% (44%) [39%] {24%} (24%) [29%] {26%} (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}

Among Democrats

• Approve 26% (24%) [34%] {42%} (47%) [42%] {44%} (55%) [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
• Disapprove 61% (65%) [54%] {40%} (38%) [44%] {38%} (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}

Among Republicans

• Approve 70% (66%) [73%] {84%} (85%) [79%] {84%} (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
• Disapprove 19% (19%) [18%] {8%} (6%) [12%] {7%} (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}

Among Independents

• Approve 40% (47%) [41%] {66%} (60%) [62%] {64%} (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
• Disapprove 46% (36%) [40%] {13%} (22%) [18%] {24%} (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}

Among Men

• Approve 46% (42%) [48%] {63%} (67%) [65%] {66%} (71%) [77%] {76%} (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
• Disapprove 43% (43%) [41%] {23%} (19%) [26%] {22%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}

Among Women

• Approve 42% (40%) [48%] {58%} (56%) [52%] {56%} (62%) [70%] {77%} (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
• Disapprove 46% (46%) [38%] {24%} (29%) [32%] {29%} (24%) [22%] {15%} (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}

Survey of 813 registered voters was conducted May 27 - June 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 47% (45%) [44%] {44%} (46%) [48%] {45%} (46%) [48%] {49%} [48%] {47%} Democrat; 33% (30%) [33%] {35%} (35%) [33%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {34%} [33%] {33%} Republican; 19% (25%) [23%] {21%} (19%) [22%] {22%} (20%) [19%] {17%} [19%] {21%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted March 3-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 24-30, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 5, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (48%) {45%} [51%] (49%) {49%} [51%]
• Marco Rubio (R) 42% (40%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [37%]

Among Independents

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (34%) {31%} [46%] (42%) {40%} [38%]
• Marco Rubio (R) 36% (44%) {40%} [39%] (42%) {42%} [39%]

Among Men

• Marco Rubio (R) 48% (45%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [41%] 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (43%) {39%} [47%] (46%) {44%} [47%]

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (52%) {52%} [54%] (53%) {54%} [55%]
• Marco Rubio (R) 36% (36%) {33%} [37%] (38%) {35%} [34%]

National survey of 735 registered voters was conducted June 2, 2014.  Party ID: 38% (41%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {42%} [43%] Democrat; 37% (34%) {32%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [34%] Republican; 25% (26%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [23%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register Iowa 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Des Moines Register Iowa 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Joni Ernst 36%
• Mark Jacobs 18%
• Matt Whitaker 13%
• Sam Clovis 11%
• Scott Schaben 2%
• Undecided 16%

Note: The victor needs at least 35 percent to win Tuesday's five-person primary outright.

Survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted May 27-30, 2014 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.