Cygnal 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Cygnal 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Likely Voters

• Donald Trump 48.2% (46.5%) {45.8%} [46.9%] (47.0%)
• Joe Biden 43.1% (44.5%) {45.0%} [45.3%] (45.8%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 91% (89%) {91%} [91%] (89%)
  
• Donald Trump 4% (6%) {3%} [5%] {6%)

Republican

• Donald Trump 94% (92%) {93%} [93%] (92%)
  
• Joe Biden 4% (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
  

Independent

• Donald Trump 45% (39%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
• Joe Biden 38% (43%) {39%} [38%] (41%)

White

• Donald Trump 54% (51%) {51%} [52%] (53%)
• Joe Biden 38% (41%) {42%} [41%] (41%)

Black

• Joe Biden 64% (67%) {70%} [70%] (67%)
  
• Donald Trump 24% (23%) {17%} [22%] (21%)

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 46% (44%) {44%} [52%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 43% (45%) {44%} [44%] (43%)

Likely Voters

• Donald Trump 43.5% (41.2%) {40.8%} [41.5%] (40.8%)
• Joe Biden 38.1% (38.4%) {37.7%} [39.4%] (39.1%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7.1% (8.4%) {8.8%} [8.6%] (13.0%)
• Cornel West 2.1% (2.3%) {2.3%} [1.8%]
• Jill Stein 2.0% (1.8%) {2.4%} [1.1%]

Democrat

• Joe Biden 86% (81%) {81%} [82%] (80%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% (6%) {5%} [6%] (11%)
• Jill Stein 3% (3%) {2%} [2%]
• Donald Trump 2% (3%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• Cornel West 1% (3%) {2%} [2%]

Republican

• Donald Trump 90% (88%) {88%} [87%] (85%)
  
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% (4%) {5%} [7%] (7%)
• Joe Biden 2% (3%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• Jill Stein 1% (0%) {1%} [0%]
• Cornel West 0% (1%) {1%} [0%]

Independent

• Donald Trump 37% (31%) {28%} [31%] (32%)
• Joe Biden 28% (33%) {26%} [29%] (30%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 14% (16%) {23%} [18%] (26%)
• Cornel West 6% (4%) {5%} [5%]
• Jill Stein 3% (2%) {5%} [2%]

White

• Donald Trump 51% (47%) {45%} [46%] (47%)
• Joe Biden 35% (36%) {37%} [37%] (36%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% (7%) {8%} [8%] (12%)
• Cornel West 2% (2%) {2%} [1%]
• Jill Stein 1% (1%) {2%} [1%]

Black

• Joe Biden 57% (60%) {58%} [58%] (58%)
  
• Donald Trump 17% (15%) {14%} [18%] (15%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 10% (11%) {11%} [10%] (15%)
• Cornel West 6% (1%) {4%} [5%]
• Jill Stein 3% (4%) {1%} [1%]

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 41% (33%) {30%} [41%] (44%)
  
• Donald Trump 36% (37%) {35%} [37%] (35%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 13% (13%) {19%} [10%] (13%)
• Jill Stein 3% (2%) {4%} [0%]
• Cornel West 1% (8%) {2%} [3%]

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted July 1-2, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.53 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 4-6, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-8, 2024 are in parentheses.

New York Times/Siena College 2024 Presidential Election Poll

 New York Times/Siena College 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Likely Voters

• Donald Trump 49% [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (43%)
• Joe Biden 43% [44%] (46%) {44%} [47%] (43%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 91% [94%] (90%) {90%} [91%] (83%)
  
• Donald Trump 5% [3%] (8%) {7%} [5%] (7%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 95% [94%] (91%) {91%} [90%] (88%)
  
• Joe Biden 3% [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (5%)
  

Independent

• Donald Trump 45% [47%] (47%) {41%} [38%] (37%)
• Joe Biden 42% [40%] (44%) {45%} [50%] (42%)

Men

• Donald Trump 57% [52%] (57%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Joe Biden 34% [40%] (37%) {42%} [42%] (36%)

Women

• Joe Biden 51% [48%] (54%) {46%} [51%] (49%)
• Donald Trump 43% [43%] (38%) {47%} [42%] (37%)

White with B.A.+

• Joe Biden 54% [51%] (55%) {56%} [60%] (51%)
• Donald Trump 40% [44%] (39%) {40%} [35%] (36%)

White without B.A.

• Donald Trump 67% [62%] (63%) {61%} [65%] (59%)
• Joe Biden 28% [30%] (31%) {30%} [29%] (30%)

Black

• Joe Biden 79% [65%] (76%) {71%} [82%] (71%)
  
• Donald Trump 14% [26%] (16%) {20%} [13%] (12%)

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 47% [52%] (52%) {43%} [47%] (41%)
  
• Donald Trump 46% [38%] (39%) {45%} [35%] (38%)

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 48% [54%] (47%) {54%} [47%] (47%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% [35%] (45%) {41%} [44%] (37%)

Age 30-44

• Donald Trump 49% [45%] (44%) {48%} [42%] (42%)
  
• Joe Biden 43% [47%] (46%) {43%} [53%] (39%)

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 55% [56%] (52%) {55%} [51%] (48%)
  
• Joe Biden 37% [37%] (44%) {37%} [39%] (39%)

Age 65+

• Joe Biden 48% [48%] (52%) {51%} [52%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% [45%] (43%) {42%} [41%] (43%)

Survey of 1,532 likely voters was conducted June 28 - July 2, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 20-25, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-27, 2023 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters (High Turnout)

• Joe Biden 51% {54%} [49%] (52%)
  
• Donald Trump 44% {43%} [46%] (42%)
  

Likely Voters (Low Turnout)

• Joe Biden 50% {53%} [48%] (51%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% {45%} [47%] (44%)
  

Registered Voters

• Joe Biden 50% {54%} [49%] (53%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% {42%} [45%] (40%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 90% {97%} [88%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 8% {2%} [6%] (1%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 92% {89%} [90%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 5% {8%} [6%] (12%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 53% {59%} [45%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 35% {34%} [45%] (33%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 48% {49%} [56%] (47%)
  
• Joe Biden 45% {48%} [37%] (45%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 54% {61%} [59%] (60%)
  
• Donald Trump 42% {35%} [35%] (34%)
  

White, College

• Joe Biden 56% {57%} [58%] (61%)
  
• Donald Trump 40% {38%} [40%] (34%)
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 58% {53%} [57%] (55%)
  
• Joe Biden 37% {44%} [35%] (39%)
  

Survey of 502 registered voters was conducted October 28 - November 1, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-31, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-13, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 52% {51%} [48%] (49%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% {41%} [43%] (38%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 97% {97%} [94%] (96%)
  
• Donald Trump 2% {2%} [3%] (1%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 94% {91%} [90%] (86%)
  
• Joe Biden 4% {6%} [7%] (6%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 59% {52%} [49%] (43%)
  
• Donald Trump 29% {34%} [35%] (36%)
  

Men

• Joe Biden 47% {50%} [44%] (43%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% {43%} [46%] (43%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 56% {58%} [52%] (56%)
  
• Donald Trump 37% {34%} [39%] (33%)
  

Whites with BA+

• Joe Biden 62% {62%} [60%]
  
• Donald Trump 34% {30%} [35%]
  

Whites without BA+

• Donald Trump 47% {50%} [50%]
  
• Joe Biden 45% {44%} [39%]
  

Survey of 1,253 likely voters was conducted October 26-30, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 8-11, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-15, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 49% {49%} [49%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 43% {42%} [40%] (41%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 90% {91%} [92%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 6% {5%} [5%] (4%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 89% {84%} [85%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 8% {11%} [10%] (11%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 48% {47%} [44%] (51%)
  
• Donald Trump 36% {34%} [34%] (33%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 47% {46%} [49%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 44% {44%} [41%] (42%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 54% {54%} [58%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 40% {39%} [32%] (37%)
  

Whites with BA+

• Joe Biden 58% {60%} [59%]
  
• Donald Trump 36% {31%} [33%]
  

Whites without BA+

• Donald Trump 56% {58%} [52%]
  
• Joe Biden 39% {34%} [39%]
  

Survey of 1,862 likely voters was conducted October 26-31, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-16, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Florida 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 47% [47%] (47%)
  
• Donald Trump 44% [42%] (41%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 91% [93%] (92%)
  
• Donald Trump 4% [3%] (4%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 90% [87%] (87%)
  
• Joe Biden 8% [11%] (5%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 47% [45%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 37% [33%] (30%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 47% [47%] (47%)
  
• Joe Biden 45% [42%] (41%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 50% [52%] (52%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% [38%] (37%)
  

Whites with BA+

• Joe Biden 49% [45%]
  
• Donald Trump 45% [42%]
  

Whites without BA+

• Donald Trump 59% [60%]
  
• Joe Biden 35% [33%]
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 55% [58%] (52%)
  
• Donald Trump 33% [34%] (29%)
  

Black

• Joe Biden 78% [75%] (85%)
  
• Donald Trump 11% [5%] (5%)
  

Survey of 1,451 likely voters was conducted October 27-31, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-18, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 49% {49%} [49%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 43% {41%} [40%] (41%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 96% {95%} [94%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 2% {3%} [3%] (4%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 91% {90%} [89%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 5% {6%} [8%] (11%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 52% {53%} [54%] (51%)
  
• Donald Trump 34% {28%} [23%] (33%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 49% {46%} [43%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 41% {44%} [45%] (42%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 56% {55%} [54%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 38% {37%} [37%] (37%)
  

Whites with BA+

• Joe Biden 54% {46%} [55%]
  
• Donald Trump 39% {45%} [40%]
  

Whites without BA+

• Donald Trump 58% {51%} [50%]
  
• Joe Biden 36% {41%} [39%]
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 66% {65%} [57%] (66%)
  
• Donald Trump 26% {27%} [26%] (26%)
  

Survey of 1,252 likely voters was conducted October 26-30, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 1-3, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-16, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Georgia 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Georgia 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 49% [46%] (46%)
  
• Donald Trump 49% [47%] (45%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 97% [96%] (94%)
  
• Donald Trump 2% [0%] (1%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 95% [93%] (92%)
  
• Joe Biden 4% [4%] (3%)
  

Independent

• Donald Trump 52% [45%] (43%)
  
• Joe Biden 42% [38%] (39%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 53% [53%] (49%)
  
• Joe Biden 44% [41%] (41%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 53% [51%] (50%)
  
• Donald Trump 46% [42%] (43%)
  

Liberal

• Joe Biden 93% [87%] (87%)
  
• Donald Trump 5% [8%] (7%)
  

Moderate

• Joe Biden 64% [59%] (60%)
  
• Donald Trump 34% [28%] (27%)
  

Conservative

• Donald Trump 86% [87%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 12% [9%] (10%)
  

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 60% [64%] (61%)
  
• Donald Trump 39% [28%] (23%)
  

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 55% [48%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% [40%] (34%)
  

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 52% [53%] (50%)
  
• Joe Biden 47% [42%] (42%)
  

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 59% [55%] (58%)
• Joe Biden 40% [40%] (38%)
  

White, College

• Donald Trump 57% [54%]
  
• Joe Biden 41% [39%]
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 76% [74%]
  
• Joe Biden 22% [21%]
  

Black

• Joe Biden 85% [83%] (85%)
  
• Donald Trump 13% [8%] (7%)
  

Survey of 1,090 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 51% [48%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 47% [46%] (44%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 98% [95%] (94%)
  
• Donald Trump 2% [4%] (3%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 93% [93%] (90%)
  
• Joe Biden 6% [4%] (7%)
  

Independent

• Donald Trump 49% [46%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [40%] (40%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 53% [56%] (52%)
  
• Joe Biden 44% [39%] (42%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 57% [56%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% [37%] (38%)
  

Liberal

• Joe Biden 95% [89%] (89%)
  
• Donald Trump 5% [7%] (6%)
  

Moderate

• Joe Biden 64% [58%] (64%)
  
• Donald Trump 32% [34%] (27%)
  

Conservative

• Donald Trump 86% [84%] (82%)
  
• Joe Biden 11% [12%] (12%)
  

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 63% [50%] (61%)
  
• Donald Trump 30% [39%] (24%)
  

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 55% [51%] (55%)
  
• Donald Trump 44% [44%] (37%)
  

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 53% [45%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [51%] (48%)
  

Age 65+

• Joe Biden 50% [40%] (38%)
  
• Donald Trump 48% [55%] (59%)
  

White, College

• Donald Trump 51% [46%]
  
• Joe Biden 45% [48%]
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 65% [66%]
  
• Joe Biden 34% [30%]
  

Black

• Joe Biden 87% [83%] (86%)
  
• Donald Trump 12% [10%] (5%)
  

Survey of 1,022 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 50% [48%] (48%)
• Donald Trump 48% [46%] (42%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 96% [94%] (91%)
• Donald Trump 4% [5%] (3%)

Republican

• Donald Trump 91% [90%] (86%)
• Joe Biden 8% [7%] (9%)

Independent

• Donald Trump 48% [46%] (39%)
  
• Joe Biden 47% [43%] (39%)

Men

• Donald Trump 50% [51%] (47%)
• Joe Biden 48% [45%] (45%)

Women

• Joe Biden 52% [51%] (50%)
• Donald Trump 46% [42%] (37%)

Liberal

• Joe Biden 93% [87%] (85%)
• Donald Trump 5% [10%] (7%)

Moderate

• Joe Biden 62% [59%] (55%)
• Donald Trump 35% [31%] (29%)

Conservative

• Donald Trump 88% [85%] (80%)
• Joe Biden 11% [13%] (12%)

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 68% [62%] (53%)
• Donald Trump 29% [30%] (27%)

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 61% [52%] (55%)
• Donald Trump 38% [38%] (36%)

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 53% [50%] (42%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [46%] (46%)

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 53% [53%] (50%)
• Joe Biden 44% [44%] (42%)

White, College

• Joe Biden 49% [48%]
  
• Donald Trump 48% [47%]
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 64% [66%]
  
• Joe Biden 34% [31%]
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 63% [56%] (61%)
• Donald Trump 37% [36%] (30%)

Black

• Joe Biden 92% [87%] (79%)
• Donald Trump 7% [8%] (7%)

Survey of 1,228 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

 Likely Voters, Including Leaners 

• Joe Biden 50% [47%] (46%)
• Donald Trump 47% [44%] (46%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 98% [95%] (92%)
• Donald Trump 1% [2%] (3%)

Republican

• Donald Trump 97% [93%] (90%)
• Joe Biden 2% [4%] (7%)

Independent

• Donald Trump 48% [40%] (46%)
• Joe Biden 45% [39%] (37%)

Men

• Donald Trump 50% [49%] (49%)
• Joe Biden 46% [42%] (41%)

Women

• Joe Biden 54% [52%] (50%)
• Donald Trump 44% [40%] (42%)

Liberal

• Joe Biden 91% [88%] (89%)
• Donald Trump 6% [6%] (6%)

Moderate

• Joe Biden 61% [60%] (55%)
• Donald Trump 35% [25%] (30%)

Conservative

• Donald Trump 89% [91%] (87%)
• Joe Biden 9% [5%] (7%)

White, 4-Year Degree

• Joe Biden 52% [53%]
  
• Donald Trump 42% [39%]
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 58% [56%]
  
• Joe Biden 40% [37%]
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 62% [62%] (69%)
• Donald Trump 34% [27%] (21%)

Survey of 1,074 likely voters was conducted October 13-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters, Including Leaners

• Joe Biden 51% [50%] (48%)
• Donald Trump 46% [44%] (42%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 95% [94%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 4% [4%] (2%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 94% [92%] (87%)
  
• Joe Biden 6% [4%] (8%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 51% [49%] (43%)
  
• Donald Trump 42% [36%] (38%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 51% [49%] (47%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [44%] (43%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 56% [54%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 42% [39%] (38%)
  

Liberal

• Joe Biden 94% [91%] (95%)
  
• Donald Trump 4% [5%] (2%)
  

Moderate

• Joe Biden 58% [62%] (53%)
  
• Donald Trump 38% [27%] (29%)
  

Conservative

• Donald Trump 91% [87%] (81%)
  
• Joe Biden 7% [9%] (12%)
  

White, 4-Year Degree+

• Joe Biden 55% [53%] (53%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% [40%] (36%)
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 52% [52%] (51%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [42%] (41%)
  

Survey of 1,112 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 13-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 2-4, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Poll 

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 48% (48%)
• Donald Trump 46% (42%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 94% (91%)
• Donald Trump 5% (3%)

Republican

• Donald Trump 90% (86%)
• Joe Biden 7% (9%)

Independent

• Donald Trump 46% (39%)
  
• Joe Biden 43% (39%)

Men

• Donald Trump 51% (47%)
• Joe Biden 45% (45%)

Women

• Joe Biden 51% (50%)
• Donald Trump 42% (37%)

Liberal

• Joe Biden 87% (85%)
• Donald Trump 10% (7%)

Moderate

• Joe Biden 59% (55%)
• Donald Trump 31% (29%)

Conservative

• Donald Trump 85% (80%)
• Joe Biden 13% (12%)

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 62% (53%)
• Donald Trump 30% (27%)

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 52% (55%)
• Donald Trump 38% (36%)

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 50% (42%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% (46%)

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 53% (50%)
• Joe Biden 44% (42%)

White, College

• Joe Biden 48%
  
• Donald Trump 47%
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 66%
  
• Joe Biden 31%
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 56% (61%)
• Donald Trump 36% (30%)

Black

• Joe Biden 87% (79%)
• Donald Trump 8% (7%)

Survey of 1,205 likely voters was conducted September 15-18, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Texas 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Texas 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters 

• Donald Trump 48% (46%)
• Joe Biden 46% (45%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 92% (92%)
• Donald Trump 4% (4%)

Republican

• Donald Trump 92% (89%)
• Joe Biden 5% (4%)

Independent

• Donald Trump 50% (43%)
• Joe Biden 36% (41%)

Men

• Donald Trump 53% (50%)
• Joe Biden 40% (43%)

Women

• Joe Biden 51% (47%)
• Donald Trump 43% (42%)

Liberal

• Joe Biden 89% (86%)
• Donald Trump 7% (7%)

Moderate

• Joe Biden 57% (58%)
• Donald Trump 30% (26%)

Conservative

• Donald Trump 84% (83%)
• Joe Biden 12% (11%)

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 60% (62%)
• Donald Trump 29% (23%)

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 52% (49%)
• Donald Trump 38% (39%)

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 53% (49%)
• Joe Biden 42% (43%)

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 60% (60%)
• Joe Biden 38% (35%)

White, 4-Year Degree+

• Donald Trump 53%
  
• Joe Biden 40%
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 71%
• Joe Biden 24%
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 61% (60%)
• Donald Trump 30% (30%)

Black

• Joe Biden 86% (86%)
• Donald Trump 8% (5%)

Survey of 1,140 likely voters was conducted September 15-18, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

• Joe Biden 46%
• Donald Trump 46%

Democrat

• Joe Biden 92%
• Donald Trump 3%

Republican

• Donald Trump 90%
• Joe Biden 7%

Independent

• Donald Trump 46%
• Joe Biden 37%

Men

• Donald Trump 49%
• Joe Biden 41%

Women

• Joe Biden 50%
• Donald Trump 42%

Liberal

• Joe Biden 89%
• Donald Trump 6%

Moderate

• Joe Biden 55%
• Donald Trump 30%

Conservative

• Donald Trump 87%
• Joe Biden 7%

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 59%
• Donald Trump 23%

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 56%
• Donald Trump 29%

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 52%
• Joe Biden 42%

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 58%
• Joe Biden 39%

White

• Donald Trump 53%
• Joe Biden 39%

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 69%
• Donald Trump 21%

Survey of 1,099 likely voters was conducted July 7-10, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Texas 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Texas 2020 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump 46%
• Joe Biden 45%

Democrat

• Joe Biden 92%
• Donald Trump 4%

Republican

• Donald Trump 89%
• Joe Biden 4%

Independent

• Donald Trump 43%
• Joe Biden 41%

Men

• Donald Trump 50%
• Joe Biden 43%

Women

• Joe Biden 47%
• Donald Trump 42%

Liberal

• Joe Biden 86%
• Donald Trump 7%

Moderate

• Joe Biden 58%
• Donald Trump 26%

Conservative

• Donald Trump 83%
• Joe Biden 11%

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 62%
• Donald Trump 23%

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 49%
• Donald Trump 39%

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 49%
• Joe Biden 43%

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 60%
• Joe Biden 35%

White

• Donald Trump 60%
• Joe Biden 31%

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 60%
• Donald Trump 30%

Black

• Joe Biden 86%
• Donald Trump 5%

Survey of 1,212 likely voters was conducted July 7-10, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Poll

• Joe Biden 48%
• Donald Trump 42%

Democrat

• Joe Biden 91%
• Donald Trump 3%

Republican

• Donald Trump 86%
• Joe Biden 9%

Independent

• Joe Biden 39%
• Donald Trump 39%

Men

• Donald Trump 47%
• Joe Biden 45%

Women

• Joe Biden 50%
• Donald Trump 37%

Liberal

• Joe Biden 85%
• Donald Trump 7%

Moderate

• Joe Biden 55%
• Donald Trump 29%

Conservative

• Donald Trump 80%
• Joe Biden 12%

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 53%
• Donald Trump 27%

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 55%
• Donald Trump 36%

Age 45-64

• Joe Biden 46%
• Donald Trump 42%

Age 65+

• Donald Trump 50%
• Joe Biden 42%

White

• Donald Trump 52%
• Joe Biden 38%

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 61%
• Donald Trump 30%

Black

• Joe Biden 79%
• Donald Trump 7%

Survey of 1,229 likely voters was conducted July 7-10, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Joe Biden 54% {17%} [26%] (25%) {30%} [29%] (24%) {21%} [27%] (26%) {25%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [22%] (30%) {35%} [38%] (29%)
• Bernie Sanders 35% {25%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [17%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (16%) {16%} [15%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (19%) {16%} [11%] (19%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)

Among Men

• Joe Biden 54% {14%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [31%] (24%) {23%} [32%] (33%) {35%} [22%] (30%) {36%} [36%] (32%)
• Bernie Sanders 37% {32%} [26%] (24%) {20%} [20%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {14%} [19%] (25%) {16%} [15%] (22%)

Among Women

• Joe Biden 54% {19%} [25%] (26%) {33%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [25%] (27%) {26%} [32%] (31%) {34%} [22%] (29%) {34%} [39%] (28%)
• Bernie Sanders 34% {20%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (12%) {16%} [12%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (15%) {16%} [8%] (17%)

Survey of 559 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners was conducted March 5-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 5-9, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 11-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-9, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 11-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-26, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll

• Bernie Sanders (D) 48% [47%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (48%)
• Donald Trump (R) 46% [46%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (44%) 

• Joe Biden (D) 46% [49%] (47%) {44%} [50%] (51%)
• Donald Trump (R) 46% [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (42%)

• Amy Klobuchar (D) 46% {36%}
  
• Donald Trump (R) 46% {50%}
  

• Pete Buttigieg (D) 45% [44%] (43%) {39%} [43%]
• Donald Trump (R) 45% [46%] (44%) {47%} [45%] 

• Donald Trump (R) 45%
• Michael Bloomberg (D) 44%

• Donald Trump (R) 47% [48%] (45%) {48%} [46%] (45%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 44% [45%] (44%) {43%} [47%] (45%)

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted February 19-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-8, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 13-17, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 25-29, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Monmouth University South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 36% [33%] (39%)
• Bernie Sanders 16% [12%] (10%)
• Tom Steyer 15% [4%] (2%)
• Elizabeth Warren 8% [16%] (9%)
• Pete Buttigieg 6% [3%] (5%)
• Amy Klobuchar 4% [2%] (1%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 1% [1%] (0%)

Among Whites

• Joe Biden 26% [28%] (24%)
• Bernie Sanders 17% [13%] (10%)
• Pete Buttigieg 13% [8%] (11%)
• Elizabeth Warren 13% [24%] (21%)
• Tom Steyer 12% [3%] (1%)
• Amy Klobuchar 7% [3%] (3%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 2% [3%] (1%)

Among Blacks

• Joe Biden 45% [39%] (51%)
• Tom Steyer 17% [5%] (2%)
• Bernie Sanders 13% [11%] (10%)
• Elizabeth Warren 5% [11%] (2%)
• Pete Buttigieg 2% [1%] (1%)
• Tulsi Gabbard 0% [0%] (0%)
• Amy Klobuchar 0% [0%] (0%)

Survey of 454 South Carolina voters who are likely to vote in the Democratic presidential primary on February 29, 2020 was conducted February 23-25, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16-21, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2019 are in parentheses.