Sunday, November 04, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50% [50%] (49%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {46%} [49%] (49%) [45%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 48% [45%] (47%) {48%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (40%) [41%] (41%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 87% [88%] (87%) {86%} [86%] (91%) {87%} [87%] (90%) {86%} [87%] (84%) [81%] (86%)
  • Mitt Romney 13% [11%] (10%) {13%} [13%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (10%) [10%] (9%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 89% [89%] (90%) {87%} [85%] (85%) {85%} [84%] (79%) {81%} [77%] (78%) [81%] (76%)
  • Barack Obama 10% [11%] (9%) {10%} [14%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (11%) {9%} [8%] (9%) [6%] (11%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 51% [47%] (47%) {43%} [46%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (54%) {35%} [47%] (51%) [41%] (40%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% [40%] (46%) {51%} [42%] (43%) {36%} [38%] (34%) {42%} [34%] (32%) [37%] (38%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 64% [61%] (64%) {62%} [66%] (70%) {59%} [57%] (62%) [56%] (58%)
  • Mitt Romney 33% [32%] (31%) {25%} [23%] (24%) {27%} [28%] (24%) [26%] (29%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% [48%] (48%) {53%} [49%] (44%) {51%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [41%] (43%) [45%] (48%
  • Barack Obama 48% [46%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {40%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [46%] (45%) [41%] (36%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% [55%] (49%) {53%} [49%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [51%] (52%) [49%] (56%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% [43%] (47%) {44%} [48%] (44%) {40%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (36%) [37%] (35%)
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 47% [42%] (34%) {32%} [31%]
  • No 53% [58%] (66%) {68%} [69%]
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 61% [64%] (68%) {64%} [66%]
  • Mitt Romney 39% [35%] (32%) {35%} [32%]
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 56% [53%] (55%) {54%} [56%]
  • Barack Obama 41% [40%] (39%) {42%} [39%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 47% [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (40%) {47%} [37%] (34%) {34%} [31%] (35%) [36%] (37%) / 48% [51%] (48%) {49%} [47%] (55%) {48%} [55%] (56%) {52%} [53%] (47%) [44%] (42%) {-1%}
Among Democrats
  • Mitt Romney 14% [12%] (13%) {13%} [15%] (7%) {14%} [7%] (9%) {17%} [21%] (20%) [21%] (16%) / 82% [86%] (82%) {84%} [83%] (92%) {82%} [88%] (86%) {72%} [67%] (59%) [63%] (62%) {-68%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 86% [87%] (86%) {87%} [83%] (79%) {82%} [72%] (63%) {52%} [45%] (51%) [56%] (59%) / 11% [12%] (11%) {12%} [14%] (15%) {12%} [19%] (25%) {36%} [36%] (35%) [23%] (25%) {+75%} 
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 42% [42%] (44%) {48%} [41%] (37%) {41%} [31%] (28%) {32%} [27%] (35%) [33%] (35%) / 50% [50%] (48%) {43%} [48%] (53%) {52%} [57%] (59%) {44%} [55%] (46%) [43%] (39%) {-8%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 30% [33%] (26%) {27%} [20%] (22%) {33%} [31%] (34%) [30%] (32%) / 62% [60%] (69%) {63%} [70%] (70%) {50%} [49%] (44%) [47%] (46%) {-32%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 48% [50%] (44%) {52%} [48%] (40%) {52%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (35%) [40%] (42%) / 47% [46%] (49%) {45%} [46%] (54%) {42%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [55%] (49%) [45%] (40%) {+1%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 46% [41%] (48%) {43%} [49%] (40%) {41%} [31%] (29%) {32%} [30%] (35%) [32%] (32%) / 50% [56%] (48%) {52%} [47%] (55%) {53%} [60%] (61%) {52%} [51%] (45%) [44%] (45%) {-4%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% [49%] (48%) {44%} [46%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {43%} [45%] (49%) [46%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 48% [47%] (49%) {52%} [50%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {52%} [48%] (45%) [48%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 83% [88%] (84%) {76%} [85%] (91%) {84%} [86%] (86%) {82%} [79%] (84%) [82%] (87%)
  • Disapprove 12% [9%] (12%) {18%} [13%] (8%) {12%} [11%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%) [14%] (8%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 9% [10%] (9%) {9%} [13%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (11%) {5%} [10%] (9%) [8%] (13%)
  • Disapprove 89% [89%] (90%) {89%} [86%] (88%) {91%} [89%] (84%) {92%} [87%] (86%) [87%] (82%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 47% [43%] (46%) {38%} [44%] (40%) {49%} [45%] (52%) {37%} [43%] (52%) [41%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 46% [47%] (49%) {55%} [46%] (52%) {42%} [48%] (41%) {54%} [47%] (38%) [50%] (40%)
Among Moderates
  • Approve 61% [60%] (63%) {58%} [63%] (65%) {55%} [58%] (65%) [62%] (64%)
  • Disapprove 33% [34%] (35%) {33%} [31%] (28%) {37%} [32%] (26%) [30%] (27%)
Among Men
  • Approve 46% [44%] (48%) {38%} [44%] (46%) {38%} [41%] (44%) {34%} [42%] (45%) [42%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 50% [51%] (49%) {57%} [51%] (50%) {56%} [54%] (52%) {60%} [51%] (49%) [52%] (51%)
Among Women
  • Approve 48% [55%] (47%) {48%} [48%] (52%) {52%} [53%] (54%) {52%} [48%] (54%) [49%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 47% [42%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (41%) [44%] (37%)
Survey of 1,122 likely Iowa voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [39%] (37%) {41%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {39%} [35%] (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 37% [34%] (34%) {34%} [38%] (33%) {38%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [32%] (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 24% [27%] (28%) {25%} [27%] (30%) {27%} [30%] (27%) {26%} [33%] (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% [34%] (35%) {28%} [33%] (30%) {29%} [32%] (34%) [30%] Moderate; 23% [25%] (27%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [23%] (22%) [22%] Somewhat conservative; 18% [16%] (15%) {17%} [18%] (19%) {18%} [17%] (17%) [20%] Very conservative; 17% [15%] (14%) {19%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (18%) [19%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [9%] (9%) {11%} [7%] (10%) {12%} [9%] (9%) [8%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 29-30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.

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