Sunday, November 04, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 51% [49%] (51%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% [46%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 90% [88%] (89%) {88%} [91%] (90%) {95%} [93%] (92%) {92%} [88%] (91%) {93%} [89%] (91%)
  • Mitt Romney 9% [9%] (10%) {10%} [8%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 90% [92%] (86%) {90%} [92%] (85%) {92%} [92%] (86%) {84%} [79%] (84%) {80%} [81%] (82%)
  • Barack Obama 9% [6%] (13%) {7%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [5%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (9%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 50% [44%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (36%) {46%} [41%] (36%) {37%} [47%] (42%)
  • Barack Obama 48% [44%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (31%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {48%} [39%] (42%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 64% [60%] {60%} [64%] (65%) {62%} [67%] (64%) {71%} [64%] (62%)
  • Mitt Romney 34% [38%] {34%} [26%] (26%) {28%} [21%] (19%) {24%} [27%] (27%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% [56%] (50%) {53%} [49%] (54%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {43%} [48%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 45% [40%] (45%) {43%} [48%] (38%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 56% [56%] (57%) {54%} [52%] (57%) {56%} [55%] (55%) {55%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [51%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% [39%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (35%) {42%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (41%)
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 58% [56%] (57%) {59%} [57%] {57%}
  • Barack Obama 40% [39%] (41%) {38%} [40%] {40%}
Among Blacks
  • Barack Obama 92% [86%] (88%) {91%} [90%] {91%}
  • Mitt Romney 8% [11%] (8%) {7%} [8%] {7%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 49% [49%] (46%) {49%} [52%] {47%} [46%] (38%) {38%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) / 47% [46%] (51%) {47%} [44%] {49%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {+2%}
Among Democrats
  • Mitt Romney 13% [15%] (12%) {15%} [21%] {6%} [9%] (4%) {10%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (6%) / 84% [81%] (85%) {80%} [76%] {90%} [88%] (86%) {80%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [73%] (69%) {-71%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 91% [88%] (83%) {87%} [87%] {90%} [90%] (77%) {71%} [44%] (53%) {52%} [52%] (57%) / 7% [8%] (15%) {12%} [9%] {8%} [5%] (16%) {20%} [42%] (34%) {24%} [26%] (28%) {+84%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 50% [53%] (44%) {51%} [51%] {48%} [48%] (33%) {40%} [36%] (31%) {34%} [42%] (37%) / 45% [40%] (50%) {44%} [43%] {45%} [46%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {+5%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 35% [41%] {34%} [27%] (24%) {27%} [30%] (30%) {32%} [31%] (23%) / 58% [53%] {61%} [64%] (66%) {60%} [56%] (50%) {43%} [50%] (53%) {-23%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 54% [55%] (49%) {53%} [53%] {51%} [51%] (42%) {42%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (33%) / 43% [38%] (47%) {42%} [43%] {45%} [45%] (48%) {50%} [56%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (50%) {+11%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (42%) {46%} [50%] {42%} [42%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (31%) {34%} [28%] (33%) / 50% [53%] (55%) {52%} [45%] {53%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [48%] (47%) {39%} [50%] (42%) {-5%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% [47%] (47%) {45%} [50%] {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 49% [49%] (49%) {53%} [48%] {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
Survey of 975 likely Virginia voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 38% [43%] (38%) {42%} [38%] (40%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Democrat; 33% [36%] (34%) {37%} [32%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 29% [22%] (28%) {21%} [30%] (28%) {33%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [31%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (30%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% [27%] {32%} [32%] (29%) {31%} [34%] (30%) {31%} [32%] Moderate; 27% [27%] {25%} [25%] (26%) {24%} [24%] (21%) {22%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 16% [19%] {17%} [16%] (19%) {20%} [15%] (18%) {18%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 16% [13%] {16%} [15%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (20%) {21%} [16%] Very conservative; 11% [15%] {11%} [12%] (9%) {9%} [9%] (11%) {8%} [11%] Very liberalRace: 72% [73%] (71%) {72%} [75%] {73%} White; 19% [20%] (20%) {20%} [18%] {17%} Black; 9% [7%] (9%) {8%} [7%] {10%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.

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