Thursday, November 01, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% (51%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (46%) {47%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 88% (89%) {88%} [91%] (90%) {95%} [93%] (92%) {92%} [88%] (91%) {93%} [89%] (91%)
  • Mitt Romney 9% (10%) {10%} [8%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 92% (86%) {90%} [92%] (85%) {92%} [92%] (86%) {84%} [79%] (84%) {80%} [81%] (82%)
  • Barack Obama 6% (13%) {7%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [5%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (9%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 44% (47%) {44%} [46%] (31%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {48%} [39%] (42%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% (45%) {45%} [46%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (36%) {46%} [41%] (36%) {37%} [47%] (42%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 56% (50%) {53%} [49%] (54%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {43%} [48%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 40% (45%) {43%} [48%] (38%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 56% (57%) {54%} [52%] (57%) {56%} [55%] (55%) {55%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [51%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% (41%) {42%} [44%] (35%) {42%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (41%)
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 56% (57%) {59%} [57%] {57%}
  • Barack Obama 39% (41%) {38%} [40%] {40%}
Among Blacks
  • Barack Obama 86% (88%) {91%} [90%] {91%}
  • Mitt Romney 11% (8%) {7%} [8%] {7%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 49% (46%) {49%} [52%] {47%} [46%] (38%) {38%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) / 46% (51%) {47%} [44%] {49%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {+3%}
  • Barack Obama 49% (51%) {48%} / 48% (47%) {51%} {+1%}
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 85% (88%) {85%} / 13% (12%) {15%} {+72%}
  • Mitt Romney 15% (12%) {15%} [21%] {6%} [9%] (4%) {10%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (6%) / 81% (85%) {80%} [76%] {90%} [88%] (86%) {80%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [73%] (69%) {-66%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 88% (83%) {87%} [87%] {90%} [90%] (77%) {71%} [44%] (53%) {52%} [52%] (57%) / 8% (15%) {12%} [9%] {8%} [5%] (16%) {20%} [42%] (34%) {24%} [26%] (28%) {+80%}
  • Barack Obama 6% (14%) {8%} / 93% (83%) {89%} {-87%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 53% (44%) {51%} [51%] {48%} [48%] (33%) {40%} [36%] (31%) {34%} [42%] (37%) / 40% (50%) {44%} [43%] {45%} [46%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {+13%}
  • Barack Obama 49% (46%) {44%} / 46% (52%) {53%} {+3%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 55% (49%) {53%} [53%] {51%} [51%] (42%) {42%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (33%) / 38% (47%) {42%} [43%] {45%} [45%] (48%) {50%} [56%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (50%) {+17%}
  • Barack Obama 42% (44%) {43%} / 46% (53%) {56%} {-14%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% (56%) {52%} / 42% (42%) {46%} {+13%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% (42%) {46%} [50%] {42%} [42%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (31%) {34%} [28%] (33%) / 53% (55%) {52%} [45%] {53%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [48%] (47%) {39%} [50%] (42%) {-9%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% (47%) {45%} [50%] {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 49% (49%) {53%} [48%] {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 51% (52%) {53%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (44%) {45%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% (51%) {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% (41%) {43%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {48%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (46%) {47%}
Survey of 600 likely Virginia voters was conducted October 30-31, 2012, on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (38%) {42%} [38%] (40%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Democrat; 36% (34%) {37%} [32%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 22% (28%) {21%} [30%] (28%) {33%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [31%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (30%) Independent/Other.  Race: 73% (71%) {72%} [75%] {73%} White; 20% (20%) {20%} [18%] {17%} Black; 7% (9%) {8%} [7%] {10%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.

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