Poll Watch: Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram/Critical Insights Maine 2012 Presidential Survey

Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram/Critical Insights Maine 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% (52%) {49%} [50%] (41%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (36%) {35%} [42%] (40%)

Survey of 613 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 20-25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-23, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

Perhaps most important for Obama, the president is holding his lead among Maine women, 54 percent to 39 percent, the poll shows. That outweighs Romney's lead among men, 46 percent to 44 percent.

Even in the 2nd Congressional District, where Republicans hope to peel off one of Maine's four electoral votes, Obama appears to have a solid 7-point lead, the poll suggests.