Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% {50%} [52%] (48%) {49%}
  
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% {47%} [46%] (48%) {47%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 59% {49%} [54%] (52%) {48%} [42%] (49%) {51%} [43%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 37% {41%} [40%] (42%) {45%} [53%] (42%) {39%} [48%] 
  

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 59% {61%} [59%] (59%) {57%} [61%] (55%) {55%} [67%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 38% {32%} [37%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (40%) {42%} [25%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 53% {50%} [47%] (55%) {53%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [46%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% {47%} [48%] (43%) {43%} [51%] (44%) {48%} [49%]  

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 53% {53%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (54%) {49%} [55%]
  
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% {44%} [44%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {46%} [39%]

(Among Obama voters) Is that more a vote FOR Barack Obama or more a vote AGAINST Mitt Romney?

• Vote for Obama 86% [74%]
• Vote against Romney 12% [23%]

(Asked of Romney voters) Is that more a vote FOR Mitt Romney or more a vote AGAINST Barack Obama?

• Vote for Romney 62% [48%]
• Vote against Obama 37% [47%]

Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, Mitt Romney as the Republican candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?

• Barack Obama 48% {47%} [51%]
• Mitt Romney 48% {44%} [43%]
• Gary Johnson 2% {4%} [3%]
• Jill Stein 1% {3%} [1%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 52% {52%} [57%] (51%) {52%} / 46% {48%} [42%] (48%) {47%} {+6%}
• Mitt Romney 51% {49%} [48%] (53%) {50%} / 45% {50%} [47%] (43%) {46%} {+6%} 

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with each of the following candidates on the issues
that matter most to you.

Barack Obama

• Agree 51%
• Disagree 49%
  

Mitt Romney

• Agree 50%
• Disagree 49%
  

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree that each of the following candidates has the
personality and leadership qualities a President should have.

Barack Obama

• Agree, has qualities 56%
• Disagree, does not 44%

Mitt Romney

• Agree, has qualities 55%
• Disagree, does not 45%

Regardless of whom you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the election?

• Barack Obama 57%
• Mitt Romney 36%

Survey of 693 likely voters was conducted November 2-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 41% {37%} Democrat; 30% {29%} Republican; 29% {34%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 28-30, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-25, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 10-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.