Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Favorability Survey

Gallup 2012 Republican Favorability Survey

Name Recognition

• Sarah Palin 97% {95%} (96%) [96%] {95%}
• Rudy Giuliani 91% {90%} (89%) [87%] {86%}
• Newt Gingrich 86% {85%} (84%) [85%] {85%}
• Mitt Romney 86% {86%} (84%) [85%] {86%}
• Michele Bachmann 81% {78%} (76%) [78%] {77%}
• Ron Paul 78% {78%} (77%) [78%] {77%}
• Rick Perry 59% {54%} (54%) [56%] {55%}
• Tim Pawlenty 57% {56%} (54%) [55%] {54%}
• Rick Santorum 51% {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%}
• Herman Cain 45% {45%} (46%) [47%] {44%}
• Jon Huntsman 38% {39%} (40%) [40%] {41%}

Among Republicans Who Recognize Candidate

Herman Cain

• Strongly Favorable 26% {24%} (27%) [29%] {26%}
• Favorable 48% {53%} (49%) [48%] {46%}
• Unfavorable 12% {12%} (11%) [10%] {15%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 1% {1%} (2%) [2%] {1%}

Rudy Giuliani

• Strongly Favorable 22% {22%} (21%) [22%] {22%}
• Favorable 54% {56%} (57%) [56%] {57%}
• Unfavorable 13% {14%} (14%) [14%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% {2%} (2%) [3%] {2%}

Mitt Romney

• Strongly Favorable 17% {17%} (18%) [21%] {19%}
• Favorable 57% {55%} (55%) [53%] {54%}
• Unfavorable 14% {15%} (15%) [13%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%}

Rick Perry

• Strongly Favorable 25% {24%} (26%) [26%] {23%}
• Favorable 45% {46%} (48%) [47%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 11% {14%} (13%) [12%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 2% {1%} (2%) [3%] {3%}

Michele Bachmann

• Strongly Favorable 24% {22%} (20%) [23%] {24%}
• Favorable 46% {47%} (44%) [44%] {50%}
• Unfavorable 16% {17%} (18%) [15%] {12%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 4% {4%} (6%) [5%] {3%}

Sarah Palin

• Strongly Favorable 24% {26%} (25%) [26%] {26%}
• Favorable 47% {43%} (43%) [47%] {47%}
• Unfavorable 17% {20%} (19%) [17%] {16%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 9% {8%} (9%) [8%] {8%}

Rick Santorum

• Strongly Favorable 9% {9%} (11%) [13%] {13%}
• Favorable 55% {53%} (51%) [54%] {56%}
• Unfavorable 17% {16%} (16%) [16%] {14%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 2% {4%} (4%) [2%] {1%}

Tim Pawlenty

• Strongly Favorable 9% {9%} (10%) [12%] {12%}
• Favorable 53% {54%} (56%) [54%] {54%}
• Unfavorable 17% {17%} (16%) [15%] {15%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 2% {2%} (1%) [1%] {1%}

Ron Paul

• Strongly Favorable 15% {13%} (13%) [12%] {11%}
• Favorable 48% {52%} (52%) [49%] {51%}
• Unfavorable 21% {20%} (20%) [21%] {22%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 4% {4%} (4%) [4%] {3%}

Jon Huntsman

• Strongly Favorable 7% {8%} (8%) [6%] {7%}
• Favorable 44% {42%} (47%) [49%] {48%}
• Unfavorable 24% {26%} (22%) [20%] {21%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 3% {2%} (3%) [4%] {5%}

Newt Gingrich

• Strongly Favorable 10% {9%} (8%) [10%] {11%}
• Favorable 43% {47%} (49%) [46%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 29% {27%} (27%) [29%] {29%}
• Strongly Unfavorable 7% {7%} (7%) [7%] {7%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Herman Cain 74% {77%} (76%) [77%] {72%} / 13% {13%} (13%) [12%] {16%} {+61%}
• Rudy Giuliani 76% {78%} (78%) [78%] {79%} / 16% {16%} (16%) [17%] {16%} {+60%}
• Mitt Romney 74% {72%} (73%) [74%] {73%} / 17% {18%} (18%) [16%] {16%} {+57%}
• Rick Perry 70% {70%} (74%) [73%] {67%} / 13% {15%} (15%) [15%] {17%} {+57%}
• Michele Bachmann 70% {69%} (64%) [67%] {74%} / 20% {21%} (24%) [20%] {15%} {+50%}
• Sarah Palin 71% {69%} (68%) [73%] {73%} / 26% {28%} (28%) [25%] {24%} {+45%}
• Rick Santorum 64% {62%} (62%) [67%] {69%} / 19% {20%} (20%) [18%] {15%} {+45%}
• Tim Pawlenty 62% {63%} (66%) [66%] {66%} / 19% {19%} (17%) [16%] {16%} {+43%}
• Ron Paul 63% {65%} (65%) [61%] {62%} / 25% {24%} (24%) [25%] {25%} {+38%}
• Jon Huntsman 51% {50%} (55%) [55%] {55%} / 27% {28%} (25%) [24%] {26%} {+24%}
• Newt Gingrich 53% {56%} (57%) [56%] {55%} / 36% {34%} (34%) [36%] {36%} {+17%}

Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)

• Herman Cain +25% {+22%} (+25%) [+27%] {+25%}
• Rick Perry +23% {+23%} (+24%) [+23%] {+21%}
• Michele Bachmann +20% {+18%} (+14%) [+18%] {+21%}
• Rudy Giuliani +19% {+20%} (+19%) [+20%] {+20%}
• Mitt Romney +15% {+14%} (+15%) [18%] {+17%}
• Sarah Palin +15% {+18%} (+16%) [+18%] {+18%}
• Ron Paul +11% {+9%} (+8%) [+9%] {+8%}
• Tim Pawlenty +7% {+7%} (+9%) [+11%] {+11%}
• Rick Santorum +6% {+5%} (+7%) [+11%] {+12%}
• Jon Huntsman +4% {+6%} (+5%) [+3%] {+2%}
• Newt Gingrich +3% {+2%} (+1%) [+3%] {+4%}

Survey Methods

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking August 1-14, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 11 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by a minimum of 1,500 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. 

For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 25 - August 7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 4-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.

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