Monday, November 07, 2011

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION
  • Mitt Romney 28% (23%) [23%] {30%} (30%) [21%] {21%} (19%)
  • Herman Cain 27% (27%) [5%] {5%} (12%)
  • Newt Gingrich 13% (8%) [5%] {8%} (6%) [11%] {13%} (10%) 
  • Ron Paul 10% (11%) [9%] {9%} (7%)
  • Rick Perry 10% (16%) [38%] {11%} (8%)
  • Michele Bachmann 4% (5%) [8%] {16%} (3%) [5%]
  • Rick Santorum 2% (1%) [3%] {3%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (3%) 
  • Jon Huntsman 0% (3%) [2%] {2%] (1%)
Second Choice
  • Mitt Romney 20% (21%) [18%] {19%}
  • Herman Cain 19% (18%) [10%] {8%}
  • Newt Gingrich 14% (13%) [9%] {6%}
  • Rick Perry 12% (12%) [19%] {9%}
  • Michele Bachmann 10% (10%) [17%] {15%}
  • Ron Paul 10% (6%) [5%] {9%} 
  • Rick Santorum 3% (3%) [4%] {3%} 
  • Jon Huntsman 2% (5%) [2%] {3%}
Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, and the candidates were Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, which one would you favor?
  • Mitt Romney 62% (54%)
  • Rick Perry 33% (39%)
Now, if you were voting today in the 2012 Republican primary for president, and the candidates were Mitt Romney and Herman Cain, which one would you favor?
  • Mitt Romney 49%
  • Herman Cain 48%
Positive / Negative {Net}
  • Herman Cain 52% (52%) / 19% (6%) {+33%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% (51%) [46%] [51%] / 17% (16%) [17%] [13%] {+29%}
  • Rick Perry 33% (43%) [47%] [29%] / 23% (23%) [12%] [5%] {+10%}
  • Ron Paul 26% (31%) / 29% (26%) {-3%}
GENERAL ELECTION
  • Barack Obama 49% (46%) [46%] {48%} [49%] {49%} [47%]
  • Mitt Romney 43% (44%) [45%] {41%} [43%] {40%} [40%]
  • Barack Obama 53% (49%)
  • Herman Cain 38% (38%)
    And, if the next election for president were held today, and Mitt Romney were the Republican candidate, Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate, and Ron Paul were the Independent candidate for whom would you vote?
    • Barack Obama 44%
    • Mitt Romney 32%
    • Ron Paul 18%
    And, if the next election for president were held today, and Mitt Romney were the Republican candidate, Barack Obama were the Democratic candidate, and Michael Bloomberg were the Independent candidate, for whom would you vote?
    • Barack Obama 44%
    • Mitt Romney 35%
    • Michael Bloomberg 13%
    I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative.

    Barack Obama
    • Very positive 26% (23%) [24%] [27%] [28%] {28%} (29%) [25%]
    • Somewhat positive 19% (23%) [20%] [22%] [22%] {21%} (23%) [23%]
    • Neutral 15% (14%) [12%] [14%] [14%] {15%} (15%) [14%]
    • Somewhat negative 13% (12%) [14%] [13%] [13%] {15%} (14%) [14%]
    • Very negative 27% (28%) [30%] [24%] [23%] {20%} (18%) [24%]
    Michael Bloomberg
    • Very positive 4%
    • Somewhat positive 15%
    • Neutral 33%
    • Somewhat negative 12%
    • Very negative 9%
    Mitt Romney
    • Very positive 5% (6%) [5%] [7%] {6%} [10%]
    • Somewhat positive 21% (21%) [19%] [20%] {19%} [18%]
    • Neutral 32% (30%) [32%] [30%] {30%} [30%]
    • Somewhat negative 17% (17%) [18%] [16%] {13%} [10%]
    • Very negative 13% (12%) [11%] [10%] {12%} [10%]
    Ron Paul
    • Very positive 5% (5%)
    • Somewhat positive 14% (13%)
    • Neutral 31% (29%)
    • Somewhat negative 16% (16%)
    • Very negative 12% (13%)
    Herman Cain
    • Very positive 7% (10%)
    • Somewhat positive 16% (14%)
    • Neutral 23% (20%)
    • Somewhat negative 16% (8%)
    • Very negative 19% (10%)
    Rick Perry
    • Very positive 4% (4%) [9%] [4%]
    • Somewhat positive 12% (15%) [12%] [8%]
    • Neutral 28% (23%) [23%] [18%]
    • Somewhat negative 12% (14%) [9%] [6%]
    • Very negative 25% (22%) [16%] [9%]
    Survey of 1,000 adults, including a subsample of 248 registered Republican primary voters, was conducted November 2-5, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points among adults.  Results from the poll conducted October 6-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-13, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-17, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in curly brackets.

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