Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Poll Watch: American Research Group Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

ARG Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey
  • Newt Gingrich 27% {8%} [8%] (12%)
  • Mitt Romney 20% {21%} [18%] (17%)
  • Ron Paul 16% {12%} [14%] (3%)
  • Michele Bachmann 6% {15%} [21%] (9%)
  • Herman Cain 6% {6%} [2%] (0%)
  • Rick Santorum 6% {2%} [5%] (2%)
  • Rick Perry 5% {14%} [2%]
  • Jon Huntsman 3% {1%} [3%] (0%)
  • Buddy Roemer 0% {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Gary Johnson 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Other 0% {1%} [2%]
  • Undecided 11% {15%} [10%] (8%)
Among Tea Party Supporters (49%)
  • Newt Gingrich 42% {13%}
  • Ron Paul 19% {13%}
  • Mitt Romney 11% {6%}
  • Michele Bachmann 6% {19%}
  • Herman Cain 4% {10%}
  • Rick Santorum 3% {3%}
  • Rick Perry 2% {14%}
  • Jon Huntsman 1% {0%}
  • Gary Johnson 0% {0%}
  • Buddy Roemer 0% {0%}
  • Undecided 12% {14%}
Among Non-Tea Party GOP Caucus-Goers (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 29% {37%}
  • Newt Gingrich 13% {3%}
  • Ron Paul 12% {11%}
  • Rick Santorum 9% {1%}
  • Herman Cain 8% {1%}
  • Rick Perry 7% {15%}
  • Michele Bachmann 6% {10%}
  • Jon Huntsman 5% {2%}
  • Buddy Roemer 0% {2%}
  • Gary Johnson 0% {0%}
  • Other 0% {2%}
  • Undecided 11% {16%}
Survey 600 of likely Republican caucus-goers (530 Republicans and 70 independents) was conducted November 17-23, 2011. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-27, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-19, 2011 are in parentheses.

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