Poll Watch: NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 28.5% [41%] (36%) {42%} [39%] (40%)
• Newt Gingrich 27.1% [6%] (2%) {3%} [8%] (16%)
• Ron Paul 15.6% [10%] (14%) {10%} [7%] (6%)
• Herman Cain 9.8% [20%] (3%) {4%}
• Jon Huntsman 7.9% [6%] (3%) {3%}
• Michele Bachmann 2.0% [4%] (10%) {10%}
• Rick Perry 1.7% [2%] (18%)
• Rick Santorum 1.3% [2%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (2%)
• Some other candidate 1.6%
• Undecided 4.4% [8%] (10%) {8%} [8%] (6%)

Among Republicans

• Newt Gingrich 32.9%
• Mitt Romney 28.5%
• Ron Paul 13.3%
• Herman Cain 11.3%
• Jon Huntsman 5.5%
• Rick Perry 1.8%
• Rick Santorum 1.4%
• Michele Bachmann 1.0%
• Some other candidate 0.8%
• Undecided 3.5%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 28.5%
• Ron Paul 19.1%
• Newt Gingrich 18.3%
  
• Jon Huntsman 11.6%
• Herman Cain 7.7%
• Michele Bachmann 3.6%
• Rick Perry 1.5%
• Rick Santorum 1.2%
  
• Some other candidate 2.8%
• Undecided 5.7%

Among Men

• Newt Gingrich 31.5%
• Mitt Romney 24.2%
• Ron Paul 17.7%
• Herman Cain 9.5%
• Jon Huntsman 8.0%
• Michele Bachmann 1.8%
• Rick Santorum 1.4%
• Rick Perry 1.3%
• Some other candidate 1.3%
• Undecided 3.2% 

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 33.3%
• Newt Gingrich 22.1%
  
• Ron Paul 13.3%
• Herman Cain 10.2%
• Jon Huntsman 7.8%
• Michele Bachmann 2.3%
• Rick Perry 2.2%
• Rick Santorum 1.2%
  
• Some other candidate 1.9%
• Undecided 5.7% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Newt Gingrich 59% [45%] (29%) {29%} [52%] / 31% [45%] (60%) {62%} [32%] {+28%} 
  
• Mitt Romney 60% [68%] (66%) {69%} [73%] / 32% [22%] (24%) {22%} [16%] {+28%}
• Ron Paul 49% [37%] (39%) {40%} [41%] / 32% [48%] (47%) {47%} [29%] {+17%}
• Herman Cain 39% [62%] (36%) {39%} / 51% [25%] (34%) {30%} {-12%}
• Jon Huntsman 30% [24%] (20%) {14%} / 43% [49%] (47%) {36%} {-13%}
• Rick Santorum 28% [33%] (30%) {33%} [27%] / 48% [44%] (42%) {36%} [20%] {-20%}
• Michele Bachmann 29% [33%] (49%) {55%} / 57% [56%] (39%) {28%} {-28%}
• Rick Perry 21% [19%] (51%) / 66% [66%] (27%) {-45%}

Survey of 746 likely Republican primary voters was conducted November 15-16, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.59 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 60% [68%] (70%) {74%} [67%] (66%) Republican; 40% [32%] (30%) {26%} [33%] (34%) Independent.  Political ideology: Conservative 61% [60%] (65%) {63%} [81%] (68%); Moderate 33% [36%] (30%) {32%} [15%] (26%); Liberal 4% [3%] (4%) {4%} [1%] (6%).  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-16, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-15, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25, 2010 are in parentheses.