Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Newt Gingrich 28% {10%} [15%] (19%)
• Mitt Romney 23% {24%} [23%] (27%)
• Herman Cain 17%
• Ron Paul 8% {12%} [5%] (9%)
• Jon Huntsman 5%
• Michele Bachmann 3% {10%}
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Someone else/Undecided 9% {8%} [16%] (19%)

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 42%
• Might end up supporting someone else 58%

Second Choice

• Newt Gingrich 21%
• Mitt Romney 15%
• Herman Cain 13%
• Rick Perry 7% 
• Michele Bachmann 6%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Jon Huntsman 4%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Someone else/Undecided 28%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Newt Gingrich 66% {47%} [59%] / 25% {33%} [22%] {+41%}
• Mitt Romney 56% {60%} [62%] / 34% {25%} [22%] {+22%}
• Herman Cain 51% / 33% {+18%}
• Ron Paul 41% / 46% {-5%}
• Rick Perry 25% / 58% {-33%} 

Tea Party Members

• Newt Gingrich 82 / 12% {+70%}
• Herman Cain 77% / 15% {+62%}
• Mitt Romney 48% / 43% {+5%}
• Ron Paul 47% / 45% {+2%}
• Rick Perry 33% / 51% {-18%} 

Non-Tea Party Republicans

• Mitt Romney 60% / 30% {+30%} 
• Newt Gingrich 56% / 33% {+23%}
• Herman Cain 39% / 44% {-5%}
• Ron Paul 36% / 50% {-14%}
• Rick Perry 19% / 67% {-48%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 31%
• No 57%

Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted November 17-20, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: {39%} Somewhat conservative; {34%} Very conservative; {22%} Moderate; {3%} Somewhat liberal; {1%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-25, 2010 are in parentheses.