Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Rick Santorum 46%
• Barack Obama 46%

• Barack Obama 46% [46%] (45%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [46%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 49% [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] [50%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (46%)
• Newt Gingrich 43% [45%] (43%) {42%} [43%] [40%] (42%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (45%)

• Barack Obama 47% [47%] (48%) {46%}
• Ron Paul 41% [42%] (40%) {43%}

• Barack Obama 49% [50%] (50%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
• Rick Perry 41% [42%] (42%) {44%} [46%] (40%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 49% of the vote in North Carolina. In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the vote in NC.

Among Independents

• Rick Santorum 53%
• Barack Obama 33%

• Mitt Romney 51% [45%] (49%) {50%} [56%] (39%) {50%} [47%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 31% [40%] (34%) {34%} [29%] (38%) {33%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)

• Ron Paul 47% [47%] (48%) {50%}
• Barack Obama 31% [39%] (38%) {36%}

• Rick Perry 50% [41%] (45%) {47%} [54%] (43%)
  
• Barack Obama 37% [45%] (44%) {45%} [31%] (42%)

• Newt Gingrich 47% [47%] (46%) {47%} [48%] [33%] (38%) {43%} [27%] (38%) {42%} [38%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 37% [43%] (44%) {42%} [38%] [45%] (50%) {47%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [41%](39%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 60% of the Independent vote in North Carolina (27% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 56% of the Independent vote in NC (21% of the electorate).

Among Men

• Rick Santorum 53%
• Barack Obama 39%

• Mitt Romney 53% [54%] (54%) {53%} [51%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%)
• Barack Obama 39% [39%] (39%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)

• Ron Paul 51% [50%] (45%) {51%}
• Barack Obama 40% [41%] (42%) {36%}

• Newt Gingrich 50% [53%] (49%) {51%} [51%] [41%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [45%] (55%)
• Barack Obama 43% [43%] (44%) {41%} [41%] [50%] (45%) {49%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (38%)

• Rick Perry 50% [52%] (46%) {52%} [53%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 43% [43%] (45%) {39%} [39%] (42%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 56% of the Male vote in North Carolina (46% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 60% of the Male vote in NC (41% of the electorate).

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52%
• Rick Santorum 39%

• Barack Obama 51% [53%] (50%) {54%} [51%] (52%) {49%} [45%] (50%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 38% [38%] (40%) {37%} [39%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 55% [55%] (55%) {57%} [54%] [51%] (55%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%] (53%)
• Newt Gingrich 37% [38%] (38%) {34%} [36%] [40%] (38%) {46%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 53% [53%] (53%) {55%}
• Ron Paul 32% [34%] (35%) {35%}

• Barack Obama 55% [56%] (54%) {56%} [52%] (54%)
• Rick Perry 34% [32%] (38%) {37%} [40%] (32%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Female vote in North Carolina (54% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 54% of the Female vote in NC (59% of the electorate).
 
If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 45%
• Mitt Romney 41%
• Gary Johnson 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 35% / 42% {-7%}
• Mitt Romney 34% [32%] (36%) {32%} [28%] (32%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 48% [51%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-14%}
• Newt Gingrich 28% [41%] (35%) {29%} [22%] [23%] (28%) {31%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [35%] (34%) / 57% [49%] (53%) {58%} [61%] [58%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [47%] (43%) {-29%}  
• Ron Paul 21% [26%] (22%) {24%} / 58% [54%] (54%) {52%} {-37%}
• Rick Perry 18% [19%] (23%) {24%} [34%] (22%) / 63% [65%] (57%) {56%} [43%] (36%) {-45%}

Among Independents

• Rick Santorum 39% / 41% {-2%}
• Mitt Romney 35% [33%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (27%) {30%} [35%] (36%) {34%} [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 44% [50%] (48%) {46%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-9%}
• Ron Paul 29% [34%] (44%) {31%} / 48% [44%] (33%) {42%} {-19%} 
  
• Newt Gingrich 29% [41%] (35%) {26%} [26%] [19%] (28%) {24%} [17%] (29%) {34%} [34%] (33%) / 60% [43%] (49%) {56%} [63%] [64%] (57%) {56%} [58%] (54%) {51%} [43%] (41%) {-31%}  
• Rick Perry 21% [14%] (19%) {17%} [44%] (23%) / 60% [67%] (54%) {60%} [34%] (38%) {-39%}

Among Men

• Rick Santorum 42% / 43% {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 38% [33%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (36%) {37%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 48% [55%] (46%) {48%} [55%] (48%) {52%} [53%] (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {-10%} 
• Newt Gingrich 34% [50%] (44%) {34%} [28%] [19%] (30%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [40%] (43%) / 55% [45%] (49%) {57%} [60%] [67%] (56%) {55%} [43%] (50%) {46%} [50%] (41%) {-21%}
• Ron Paul 28% [29%] (28%) {29%} / 57% [56%] (56%) {50%} {-29%} 
• Rick Perry 25% [22%] (27%) {29%} [39%] (26%) / 64% [66%] (59%) {55%} [46%] (40%) {-39%}

Among Women

• Rick Santorum 28% / 42% {-14%}
• Mitt Romney 30% [32%] (33%) {28%} [23%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 48% [48%] (47%) {50%} [49%] (44%) {42%} [36%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-18%}
• Newt Gingrich 23% [32%] (27%) {25%} [17%] [27%] (25%) {29%} [23%] (24%) {31%} [31%] (26%) / 58% [52%] (56%) {59%} [62%] [51%] (53%) {45%} [52%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {-35%} 
• Ron Paul 15% [24%] (17%) {19%} / 58% [53%] (52%) {55%} {-43%} 
• Rick Perry 12% [16%] (19%) {20%} [30%] (18%) / 62% [63%] (55%) {56%} [40%] (32%) {-50%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 47% [47%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
• Disapprove 49% [50%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)

Survey of 780 North Carolina voters was conducted January 5-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 48% [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 34% [35%] (35%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 18% [18%] (19%) {16%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% [30%] (31%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {30%} [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 27% [24%] (27%) {25%} [22%] (30%) {25%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 18% [19%] (17%) {22%} [22%] (19%) {20%} [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 16% [17%] (17%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [9%] (8%) {10%} [11%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.