Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44%

Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45%

Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 53%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 41%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% (48%) {49%} [48%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% (44%) {41%} [41%] (43%)

Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy?

Likely Voters

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 46%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 47% (46%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (44%)

Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy?

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 53% (49%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 51% / 46% {+5%}
• Mitt Romney 47% / 45% {+2%}
• Paul Ryan 43% / 41% {+2%}
• Joe Biden 46% / 45% {+1%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 52% (52%) / 44% (43%) {+8%}
• Joe Biden 45% / 43% {+2%} 
• Paul Ryan 40% / 42% {-2%} 
• Mitt Romney 43% (45%) / 47% (43%) {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

Likely Voters

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 46%

Registered Voters

• Approve 50% (48%) {46%} [46%] (41%)
• Disapprove 44% (45%) {46%} [45%] (49%)

Survey of 1,352 registered voters, including 980 likely voters, was conducted September 9-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.1 percentage points among likely voters. Party registration (among registered voters): 42% (43%) Democrat; 36% (35%) Republican; 22% (21%) Independent.  Party registration (among likely voters): 41% Democrat; 38% Republican; 20% Independent.  Ideology (among registered voters): 34% (34%) Moderate; 30% (29%) Conservative; 18% (19%) Liberal; 12% (12%) Very conservative; 6% (6%) Very liberal.  Ideology (among likely voters): 33% Moderate; 31% Conservative; 18% Liberal; 13% Very conservative; 5% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2011 are in parentheses.