Thursday, September 20, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 52% [49%] (47%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {53%} [46%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% [48%] (48%) {44%} [46%] (44%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
Note: 2008 Barack Obama 56%, John McCain 43% / 2004 John Kerry 50%, George W. Bush 49%

Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 52% [47%] {53%} [53%] (53%) {57%} [38%] (40%) {47%} [45%] (43%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% [43%] {39%} [35%] (36%) {33%} [42%] (37%) {36%} [33%] (36%)
Note: Independents: 2008 (29%): Barack Obama 58%, John McCain 39% / 2004 (27%): John Kerry 53%, George W. Bush 45%
  
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 64% [61%] {67%} [61%] (66%) {67%} [61%] (57%) {67%} [64%] (61%)
  • Mitt Romney 30% [31%] {24%} [29%] (28%) {24%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [20%] (25%)
Note: Moderates: 2008 (47%): Barack Obama 63%, John McCain 36% / 2004 (49%): John Kerry 56%, George W. Bush 44% 

Among Men
  • Barack Obama 50% [43%] {46%} [42%] (46%) {51%} [40%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% [52%] {48%} [49%] (49%) {42%} [49%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (45%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% [50%] {53%} [51%] (53%) {54%} [52%] (51%) {56%} [53%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% [44%] {41%} [43%] (41%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {33%} [32%] (40%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 51% 
  • Mitt Romney 46% 
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy? 
  • Barack Obama 52% 
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 44% [45%] {41%} [37%] (38%) {25%} [31%] (32%) {29%} [30%] (33%) / 51% [48%] {50%} [48%] (49%) {61%} [53%] (48%) {49%} [41%] (45%) {-7%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?
  • Favorable 48% [49%] {44%} [40%] {41%} [36%]
  • Unfavorable 47% [45%] {39%} [35%] {46%} [35%]
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 52% [46%] {47%} [44%] (47%) {52%} [44%] (45%) {52%} [49%] (47%)
  • Disapprove 47% [50%] {48%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [51%] (51%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not? 
  • Familiar with them 86%
  • Not familiar with them 14% 
Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate? 
  • Appropriate 40% 
  • Inappropriate 53% 
Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not make a difference? 
  • More likely 26% 
  • Less likely 39% 
  • Don't make a difference 34% 
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not? 
  • He should 52% 
  • He should not 39%  
Survey of 842 likely Wisconsin voters was conducted September 18-19, 2012. Party ID: 34% [32%] (32%) {30%} [28%] (31%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [33%] (35%) Democrat; 31% [36%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (34%) {32%} [32%] (31%) Republican; 35% [32%] (34%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {36%} [32%] (29%) {31%} [35%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% (29%) {28%} {31%} (30%) {29%} [30%] (31%) Moderate; 26% (24%) {26%} {25%} (25%) {21%} [23%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (20%) {18%} {19%} (19%) {22%} [20%] (21%) Somewhat liberal; 15% (16%) {18%} {15%} (17%) {17%} [17%] (18%) Very conservative; 11% (10%) {10%} {10%} (10%) {11%} [10%] (7%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

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