Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Paul Ryan on Morning Joe: Dems 'Shamelessly' Demagogue Medicare

Paul Ryan's Path to Prosperity (Part 2): Saving Medicare, Visualized

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 46% {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 50% {49%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (46%)
  • Newt Gingrich 42% {45%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 52% {52%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [52%] (48%)
  • Sarah Palin 40% {40%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (43%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 43% {40%} [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)
  • Barack Obama 42% {43%} [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)
  • Barack Obama 51% {54%} [55%] (54%) {48%} [51%] (42%)
  • Sarah Palin 40% {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [33%] (46%)
  • Barack Obama 50% {47%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [41%] (39%)
  • Newt Gingrich 38% {43%} [27%] (38%) {42%} [38%] (44%)
    Among Men
    • Mitt Romney 47% {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%)
    • Barack Obama 41% {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)
    • Newt Gingrich 46% {45%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [45%] (55%)
    • Barack Obama 45% {49%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (38%)
    • Barack Obama 47% {54%} [47%] (49%) {46%} [46%] (39%)
    • Sarah Palin 46% {38%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (51%)
    Among Women
    • Barack Obama 50% {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%)
    • Mitt Romney 39% {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)
    • Barack Obama 55% {49%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%] (53%)
    • Newt Gingrich 38% {46%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (37%)
    • Barack Obama 57% {50%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (55%)
    • Sarah Palin 35% {41%} [36%] (38%) {40%} [33%] (35%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Mitt Romney 30% {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 43% {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-13%}
    • Newt Gingrich 28% {31%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [35%] (34%) / 54% {50%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [47%] (43%) {-26%}
    • Sarah Palin 32% {33%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 59% {60%} [57%] (57%) {55%} [57%] (55%) {-27%}
    Among Republicans
    • Sarah Palin 57% {63%} [66%] (71%) {73%} [68%] (62%) / 34% {28%} [26%] (23%) {17%} [24%] (24%) {+23%}
    • Newt Gingrich 48% {50%} [48%] (55%) {54%} [65%] (56%) / 34% {27%} [23%] (23%) {19%} [23%] (20%) {+14%}
    • Mitt Romney 43% {45%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [57%] (44%) / 34% {32%} [25%] (25%) {20%} [21%] (22%) {+9%}
    Among Independents
    • Mitt Romney 36% {34%} [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 45% {43%} [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-9%}
    • Newt Gingrich 28% {24%} [17%] (29%) {34%} [34%] (33%) / 57% {56%} [58%] (54%) {51%} [43%] (41%) {-29%}
    • Sarah Palin 30% {26%} [29%] (32%) {29%} [36%] (38%) / 59% {67%} [67%] (62%) {64%} [52%] (50%) {-29%}
      Among Men
      • Mitt Romney 33% {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 47% {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {-14%}
      • Sarah Palin 37% {31%} [39%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (42%) / 55% {63%} [54%] (54%) {54%} [54%] (50%) {-18%}
      • Newt Gingrich 30% {33%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [40%] (43%) / 56% {55%} [43%] (50%) {46%} [50%] (41%) {-26%}
      Among Women
      • Mitt Romney 28% {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 40% {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-12%}
      • Newt Gingrich 25% {29%} [23%] (24%) {31%} [31%] (26%) / 53% {45%} [52%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {-28%}
      • Sarah Palin 28% {35%} [34%] (34%) {39%} [31%] (30%) / 64% {56%} [59%] (60%) {55%} [60%] (60%) {-36%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
      • Approve 50% {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
      • Disapprove 46% {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)
      Survey of 835 North Carolina voters was conducted May 12-15, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 48% {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 36% {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 16% {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% {32%} [28%] Moderate; 26% {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 18% {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 15% {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {9%} [9%] Very liberal.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida Survey on Governor Rick Scott

      Quinnipiac Florida Survey on Governor Rick Scott

      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?
      • Approve 29% [35%] (35%)
      • Disapprove 57% [48%] (22%)
      Among Democrats
      • Approve 13% [12%] (18%)
      • Disapprove 72% [74%] (39%)
      Among Republicans
      • Approve 51% [58%] (52%)
      • Disapprove 37% [25%] (11%)
      Among Independents
      • Approve 28% [33%] (33%)
      • Disapprove 57% [48%] (18%)
      Among Men
      • Approve 35% [45%] (38%)
      • Disapprove 53% [41%] (23%)
      Among Women
      • Approve 24% [26%] (33%)
      • Disapprove 60% [55%] (21%)
      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling the state budget?
      • Approve 30% [36%]
      • Disapprove 59% [55%]
        Do you approve or disapprove of the state budget agreed to by Governor Scott and the state legislature?
        • Approve 24%
        • Disapprove 53%
        What do you think about the cuts in state spending in the new budget? Do you think the cuts in state spending go too far, not far enough or are they about right?
        • Too far 47% 
        • Not far enough 18%
        • About right 22%
        Do you think that the new spending cuts will help Florida's economy, hurt Florida's economy, or not make a difference?
        • Help 23%
        • Hurt 38%
        • No difference 31%
          Governor Rick Scott has pledged that in trying to balance the state's budget deficit that he would not raise taxes or fees. Do you think Rick Scott should have made this pledge or not?
          • Yes 38% [41%] (44%)
          • No 54% [52%] (48%)
          Do you think Rick Scott kept this pledge or not?
          • Yes 42%
          • No 40%
          Do you think the new state budget will help to create jobs in Florida or not?
          • Yes 26%
          • No 61%
            Survey of 1,196 registered voters was conducted May 17-23, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 25-31, 2011 are in parentheses.

            Tuesday, May 24, 2011

            Michele Bachmann 'Very Close' to 2012 Decision, Will Make Announcement in June

            DNC Ad: "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt?"

            Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

            FDU PublicMind New Jersey Political Survey

            Do you approve or disapprove of way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor?
            • Approve 44% (51%) [51%] {53%}
            • Disapprove 44% (41%) [39%] {36%}
            Among Republicans
            • Approve 75% (83%) [82%] {80%}
            • Disapprove 16% (14%) [15%] {14%}
            Among Independents
            • Approve 47% (49%) [54%] {50%}
            • Disapprove 32% (36%) [28%] {32%}
            Among Democrats
            • Approve 20% (27%) [27%] {33%}
            • Disapprove 69% (63%) [61%] {56%}
            Among Men
            • Approve 52% (58%) [61%] {59%}
            • Disapprove 36% (34%) [32%] {32%}
            Among Women
            • Approve 36% (45%) [41%] {47%}
            • Disapprove 53% (47%) [47%] {40%}
              Survey of 804 registered voters was conducted May 16-22, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

              Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage (R) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

              InsiderAdvantage (R) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey
              • Mitt Romney 16.2% (13.5%)
              • Michele Bachmann 11.8% (6.2%)
              • Sarah Palin 11.0% (11.8%)
              • Herman Cain 10.9%
              • Tim Pawlenty 7.4% (5.9%)
              • Newt Gingrich 6.4% (7.5%)
              • Ron Paul 5.0%
              • Other 5.3%
              • Undecided 25.5% (23.0%)
              Survey of 770 registered Republican and Republican-leaning independents was conducted May 23, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 25, 2011 are in parentheses.

              Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Delivers Address to Joint Session of Congress

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

              PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey
              • Barack Obama 46% [46%] (44%)
              • Mitt Romney 42% [40%] (42%)
              • Barack Obama 49% [50%] (47%)
              • Newt Gingrich 40% [38%] (41%)
              • Barack Obama 50% [52%] (49%)
              • Sarah Palin 40% [36%] (42%)
              Among Independents
              • Mitt Romney 44% [39%] (40%)
              • Barack Obama 34% [37%] (34%)
              • Sarah Palin 43% [32%] (42%)
              • Barack Obama 42% [49%] (45%)
              • Barack Obama 40% [45%] (40%)
              • Newt Gingrich 38% [30%] (38%)
              Among Moderates
              • Barack Obama 52% [61%] (59%)
              • Mitt Romney 30% [21%] (24%)
              • Barack Obama 56% [70%] (65%)
              • Newt Gingrich 28% [16%] (22%)
              • Barack Obama 60% [73%] (67%)
              • Sarah Palin 30% [16%] (23%)
                Among Men
                • Mitt Romney 50% [47%] (47%)
                • Barack Obama 43% [38%] (37%)
                • Barack Obama 46% [46%] (44%)
                • Sarah Palin 45% [42%] (47%)
                • Barack Obama 47% [44%] (39%)
                • Newt Gingrich 43% [45%] (47%)
                Among Women
                • Barack Obama 49% [52%] (51%)
                • Mitt Romney 35% [35%] (37%)
                • Barack Obama 51% [55%] (54%)
                • Newt Gingrich 37% [33%] (35%)
                • Barack Obama 53% [57%] (53%)
                • Sarah Palin 36% [32%] (37%)
                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                • Mitt Romney 32% [33%] (36%) / 43% [43%] (39%) {-11%}
                • Sarah Palin 34% [31%] (37%) / 58% [59%] (52%) {-24%}
                • Newt Gingrich 22% [24%] (30%) / 59% [56%] (51%) {-37%}
                Among Republicans
                • Sarah Palin 62% [58%] (67%) / 26% [27%] (21%) {+36%}
                • Mitt Romney 52% [55%] (57%) / 22% [26%] (22%) {+30%}
                • Newt Gingrich 41% [47%] (57%) / 32% [27%] (23%) {+9%}
                Among Independents
                • Mitt Romney 35% [34%] (38%) / 38% [38%] (36%) {-3%}
                • Sarah Palin 29% [26%] (37%) / 57% [62%] (50%) {-28%}
                • Newt Gingrich 21% [20%] (27%) / 62% [63%] (52%) {-41%}
                Among Moderates
                • Mitt Romney 26% [26%] (27%) / 48% [50%] (47%) {-22%}
                • Sarah Palin 25% [15%] (21%) / 68% [79%] (70%) {-43%}
                • Newt Gingrich 13% [8%] (15%) / 65% [73%] (65%) {-52%}
                Among Men
                • Mitt Romney 42% [35%] (39%) / 41% [44%] (40%) {+1%}
                • Sarah Palin 36% [35%] (40%) / 57% [54%] (48%) {-21%}
                • Newt Gingrich 26% [30%] (35%) / 58% [53%] (48%) {-32%}
                Among Women
                • Mitt Romney 24% [32%] (33%) / 44% [42%] (38%) {-20%}
                • Sarah Palin 32% [28%] (35%) / 58% [64%] (57%) {-26%}
                • Newt Gingrich 18% [20%] (26%) / 59% [58%] (55%) {-41%}
                Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
                • Approve 46% [47%] (42%)
                • Disapprove 49% [46%] (49%)
                Among Independents
                • Approve 37% [39%] (40%)
                • Disapprove 55% [49%] (54%)
                Survey of 565 Ohio voters was conducted May 19-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% [43%] (44%) Democrat; 35% [35%] (39%) Republican; 20% [21%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% [29%] Moderate; 25% [28%] Somewhat conservative; 16% [19%] Somewhat liberal; 13% [15%] Very conservative; 13% [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: IBOPE Zogby Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey

                IBOPE Zogby Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey

                If the Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote?
                • Herman Cain 19% {14%}
                • Chris Christie 16% {17%} [19%] (27%)
                • Mitt Romney 11% {9%} [9%] (17%)
                • Ron Paul 9% {10%} [7%]
                • Sarah Palin 6% {4%} [13%] (16%)
                • Michele Bachmann 5% {2%} [3%]
                • Tim Pawlenty 4% {4%} [5%] (2%)
                • Mitch Daniels 4% {4%} [4%] (5%)
                • Newt Gingrich 3% {7%} [7%]
                • Rick Santorum 3% {2%}
                • Fred Karger 1%
                • Jon Huntsman 1%
                • Gary Johnson 0% {1%}
                • None of these 6% {9%} [9%]
                • Not sure 12% {9%} [8%]
                Which of the following candidates would you never vote for?
                • Newt Gingrich 17%
                • Ron Paul 15%
                • Sarah Palin 13%
                • Mitt Romney 9%
                • Michele Bachmann 5%
                • Gary Johnson 4%
                • Rick Santorum 3%
                • Jon Huntsman 2%
                • Fred Karger 2%
                • Mitch Daniels 1%
                • Tim Pawlenty 1%
                • Herman Cain 1%
                • Chris Christie 0%
                • None of these 11%
                • Not sure 17%
                General Election
                • Barack Obama 45% (40%)
                • Chris Christie 44% (43%)
                • Barack Obama 45% (41%)
                • Mitt Romney 40% (41%)
                • Barack Obama 45% (41%)
                • Tim Pawlenty 40% (38%)
                • Barack Obama 44%
                • Ron Paul 37%
                • Barack Obama 46%
                • Herman Cain 38%
                • Barack Obama 47%
                • Michele Bachmann 38%
                • Barack Obama 47%
                • Rick Santorum 36%
                • Barack Obama 49% (45%)
                • Sarah Palin 36% (38%)
                • Barack Obama 44%
                • Jon Huntsman 29%
                • Barack Obama 45%
                • Gary Johnson 28%
                • Barack Obama 48%
                • Newt Gingrich 30%
                • Barack Obama 45%
                • Fred Karger 24%
                Do you think President Obama deserves re-election or do you think it is time for someone new?
                • Obama deserves re-election 42%
                • It's time for someone new 52%
                Interactive poll of 2,096 likely voters, including a subsample of 1,169 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 20-23, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 30, 2010 - January 3, 2011 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Republican Primary Survey

                UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Republican Primary Survey
                • Sarah Palin 12%
                • Newt Gingrich 11%
                • Ron Paul 10%
                • Mike Huckabee 10%
                • Mitt Romney 7%
                • Michele Bachmann 7%
                • Donald Trump 6%
                • Tim Pawlenty 4%
                • Rick Perry 4%
                • Rick Santorum 3%
                • Jon Huntsman 1%
                • Mitch Daniels 1%
                • Someone else 10%
                • Don’t know 14%
                Survey of 388 registered Republicans was conducted May 11-18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.98 percentage points.

                Giuliani Gearing Up for Return to the Ring

                Byron York of the Washington Examiner reports:
                Former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani, whose presidential campaign fizzled in 2008, is leaning toward another race for the White House, according to a close associate. New York Republican Rep. Peter King, who has known Giuliani for more than 40 years, says the former mayor "is very close to saying he's going to run." 
                "If he were to make the decision today, he would run," says King. 
                Speaking at a dinner with reporters in Washington, King, who was an enthusiastic Giuliani supporter in 2008, said the former mayor has been quietly lining up support and exploring strategy. Giuliani has also examined the mistakes his campaign made in '08, when he did not seriously compete in a contest until the Florida primary, by which time he was hopelessly behind in the race.

                The National Journal's James Barnes reports:
                At a dinner with journalists on Monday night in Washington, Rep. Peter King, R-N.Y., said he thought former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani was leaning toward making another bid for the Republican presidential nomination. 
                "I get the impression that he is very close to saying he's going to run," said King, speaking at a dinner hosted by The American Spectator, a conservative monthly. 
                King, who was careful to add that he only considers himself on the outer ring of Giuliani's inner circle, said the former mayor and 2008 candidate "has been talking to people on the ground in New Hampshire."

                "If he was making his decision today, he'd run," King said.

                John DiStaso of the New Hampshire Union Leader reports:
                While still undecided on whether he'll run for President, Republican former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani will return to the first-in-the-nation primary state in June, according to his top New Hampshire associate. 
                Wayne Semprini, the former state GOP chairman who headed Giuliani's New Hampshire campaign in the 2007 run-up to the January 2008 leadoff presidential primary, told the Granite Status that Giuliani was encouraged enough with the reception he received during his visit on May 12 and 13 that he's coming back in early June. 
                Semprini said a schedule has yet to be formulated but tentative plans call for a fund-raiser to benefit the state GOP. 
                Semprini also said, however, that Giuliani "will not be available" to appear in the June 13 New Hampshire presidential primary debate cosponsored by the New Hampshire Union Leader, WMUR and CNN. 
                "He has other obligations," Semprini said, "and he's not going to be a candidate by then, anyway." 
                But Semprini said Giuliani, while recently hired by a presidential candidate in Peru to give advice on the development of public safety programs, continues to seriously consider whether to make a second attempt to run for President. 
                "He is certainly keeping his eye on the process," Semprini said.

                The Boston Globe's Shira Schoenberg reports:
                As the Republican presidential field shapes up, “America’s mayor” is considering another shot at becoming America’s president. Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani “is still considering it very definitely,” said Wayne Semprini, Giuilani’s 2008 New Hampshire state chairman. 
                Giuliani plans to visit New Hampshire, home of the first primary, next month. It will be his third visit to the state this year. According to Semprini and Giuliani’s New Hampshire spokeswoman, Alicia Preston, Giuliani will meet with Republican groups, reconnect with friends and raise funds for other organizations, but not for his own run. 
                Semprini and Preston said Giuliani’s goal is to put a Republican in the White House. “If he saw someone who he felt very definitely was likeable enough and strong enough and tough enough to take on the current president then he would get behind that person,” Semprini said. “Whether he’s seen that person yet, I don’t know. … As of now, he’s still weighing it.” 
                Semprini said Giuliani would campaign on his credentials as a fiscal conservative and his record as mayor of reducing crime, improving education and “turning the city around economically.”

                Paul Bedard of U.S. News & World Report writes in his Washington Whispers column:
                Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani isn't just thinking about running for president next year: It's his obsession and he's already mapping out a strategy to knock off GOP frontrunner Mitt Romney in New Hampshire. 
                According to a long-time supporter, New York Rep. Peter King, running and winning this time is "almost a full-time business for him."
                What's more, adds King, Giuliani has already been "talking to people in New Hampshire" about his strategy to focus all his early attention there, not the Iowa caucus, because beating Romney in the former Massachusetts governor's political backyard will propel the New Yorker's candidacy into the next two showdowns in South Carolina and Nevada. 
                "He would focus on New Hampshire almost entirely," said King at a Monday night dinner organized by the conservative American Spectator magazine. "He is very close to running."
                Giuliani ran a poor race in 2008 and King said some of the blame goes to all the strategists the former mayor hired. "They were keeping Rudy from being Rudy," said King. He said one of the political selling points Giuliani has going for him is that "you're a son of a bitch" when it comes to fighting crime, reforming welfare, and cutting taxes. 
                Despite being quiet on whether or not he plans to run, Giuliani has polled well. In the most recent Suffolk University poll, he was the third choice of GOP primary voters. 
                GOP pollster Frank Luntz said that Giuliani would have to work hard to win back supporters who felt he blew a great chance at the GOP nomination in 2008. “If he were to run, it would have to be all-out and he'd have to show people that he would be a different candidate from 2008. He upset donors because he didn't campaign hard enough. If he wants to almost literally move to New Hampshire, he'd be credible.”

                Tim Pawlenty: Why I'm In

                Benjamin Netanyahu at AIPAC: 'Israel Cannot Return to Indefensible 1967 Borders'

                Monday, May 23, 2011

                Poll Watch: UNH/CNN/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

                UNH/CNN/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Republican Nomination Survey
                • Mitt Romney 33% [36%] (40%)
                • Ron Paul 9% [6%] (5%)
                • Newt Gingrich 7% [4%] (6%)
                • Rudy Giuliani 6% [7%] (10%)
                • Tim Pawlenty 6% [2%] (7%)
                • Sarah Palin 5% [4%] (6%)
                • Michele Bachmann 4% [4%]
                • Herman Cain 4%
                • Jon Huntsman 4% [0%]
                • Rick Santorum 2% [0%] (1%)
                • Gary Johnson 0% [0%] (0%)
                • Fred Karger 0%
                • Buddy Roemer 0%
                • Andy Martin 0%
                • Someone else 7% [1%] (4%)
                • Don't know yet 13% [14%] (10%)
                  Which Republican candidate do you think is the strongest leader?
                  • Mitt Romney 40%
                  • Rudy Giuliani 12%
                  • Newt Gingrich 11%
                  • Sarah Palin 3%
                  • Ron Paul 3%
                  • Tim Pawlenty 3%
                  • Michele Bachmann 2%
                  • Herman Cain 1%
                  • Rick Santorum 1%
                  • Jon Huntsman 0%
                  • Gary Johnson 0%
                  • Buddy Roemer 0%
                  • Fred Karger 0%
                  • Andy Martin 0%
                  • Someone else 2%
                  • No opinion 20%
                  Which Republican candidate do you think is the most likable?
                  • Mitt Romney 29%
                  • Sarah Palin 10%
                  • Rudy Giuliani 8%
                  • Ron Paul 7%
                  • Michele Bachmann 6%
                  • Tim Pawlenty 6%
                  • Newt Gingrich 4%
                  • Herman Cain 3%
                  • Jon Huntsman 2%
                  • Rick Santorum 2%
                  • Gary Johnson 0%
                  • Fred Karger 0%
                  • Buddy Roemer 0%
                  • Andy Martin 0%
                  • Someone else 3%
                  • No opinion 17%
                  Which Republican candidate do you think is most believable?
                  • Mitt Romney 20%
                  • Ron Paul 12%
                  • Newt Gingrich 7%
                  • Sarah Palin 6%
                  • Michele Bachmann 5%
                  • Herman Cain 5%
                  • Rudy Giuliani 5%
                  • Tim Pawlenty 5%
                  • Jon Huntsman 4%
                  • Rick Santorum 2%
                  • Gary Johnson 0%
                  • Fred Karger 0%
                  • Andy Martin 0%
                  • Buddy Roemer 0%
                  • Someone else 2%
                  • No opinion 23%
                  Which Republican candidate do you think has the best chance of beating Barack Obama in the general election next November?
                  • Mitt Romney 42%
                  • Rudy Giuliani 4%
                  • Tim Pawlenty 4%
                  • Newt Gingrich 3%
                  • Sarah Palin 3%
                  • Michele Bachmann 2%
                  • Herman Cain 2%
                  • Jon Huntsman 2%
                  • Ron Paul 1%
                  • Rick Santorum 1%
                  • Gary Johnson 0%
                  • Andy Martin 0%
                  • Fred Karger 0%
                  • Buddy Roemer 0%
                  • Someone else 2%
                  • No opinion 31%
                  Which Republican candidate do you think represents the values of Republicans like yourself?
                  • Mitt Romney 24%
                  • Ron Paul 9%
                  • Newt Gingrich 8%
                  • Michele Bachmann 7%
                  • Sarah Palin 7%
                  • Rudy Giuliani 5%
                  • Tim Pawlenty 5%
                  • Rick Santorum 3%
                  • Herman Cain 2%
                  • Jon Huntsman 2%
                  • Gary Johnson 0%
                  • Fred Karger 0%
                  • Buddy Roemer 0%
                  • Andy Martin 0%
                  • Someone else 3%
                  • No opinion 23%
                  Which Republican candidate do you think has the right experience to be president?
                  • Mitt Romney 37%
                  • Newt Gingrich 13%
                  • Rudy Giuliani 6%
                  • Ron Paul 6%
                  • Tim Pawlenty 3%
                  • Herman Cain 2%
                  • Jon Huntsman 2%
                  • Sarah Palin 2%
                  • Rick Santorum 2%
                  • Michele Bachmann 1%
                  • Gary Johnson 0%
                  • Fred Karger 0%
                  • Andy Martin 0%
                  • Buddy Roemer 0%
                  • Someone else 1%
                  • No opinion 24%
                  Which Republican candidate do you think can best handle the economy?
                  • Mitt Romney 44%
                  • Newt Gingrich 7%
                  • Ron Paul 6%
                  • Herman Cain 4%
                  • Rudy Giuliani 3%
                  • Sarah Palin 3%
                  • Jon Huntsman 2%
                  • Michele Bachmann 1%
                  • Tim Pawlenty 1%
                  • Rick Santorum 1%
                  • Andy Martin 0%
                  • Gary Johnson 0%
                  • Fred Karger 0%
                  • Buddy Roemer 0%
                  • Someone else 3%
                  • No opinion 23%
                  Which Republican candidate do you think can best handle the budget deficit?
                  • Mitt Romney 37%
                  • Newt Gingrich 7%
                  • Ron Paul 7%
                  • Sarah Palin 4%
                  • Michele Bachmann 3%
                  • Herman Cain 3%
                  • Rudy Giuliani 3%
                  • Tim Pawlenty 3%
                  • Rick Santorum 2%
                  • Jon Huntsman 1%
                  • Gary Johnson 0%
                  • Fred Karger 0%
                  • Andy Martin 0%
                  • Buddy Roemer 0%
                  • Someone else 4%
                  • No opinion 22%
                  Which Republican candidate do you think is best able to handle health care issues?
                  • Mitt Romney 31%
                  • Ron Paul 8%
                  • Newt Gingrich 7%
                  • Sarah Palin 5%
                  • Michele Bachmann 3%
                  • Rudy Giuliani 3%
                  • Tim Pawlenty 3%
                  • Rick Santorum 3%
                  • Herman Cain 2%
                  • Jon Huntsman 0%
                  • Gary Johnson 0%
                  • Fred Karger 0%
                  • Andy Martin 0%
                  • Someone else 2%
                  • No opinion 32%
                  Which Republican candidate do you think can best handle terrorism?
                  • Rudy Giuliani 19%
                  • Mitt Romney 16%
                  • Newt Gingrich 13%
                  • Ron Paul 5%
                  • Jon Huntsman 3%
                  • Sarah Palin 3%
                  • Michele Bachmann 2%
                  • Tim Pawlenty 2%
                  • Rick Santorum 2%
                  • Herman Cain 1%
                  • Gary Johnson 0%
                  • Fred Karger 0%
                  • Andy Martin 0%
                  • Buddy Roemer 0%
                  • Someone else 3%
                  • No opinion 32%
                  Survey of 347 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 18-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 15- May 2, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28 - February 7, 2011 are in parentheses.

                  (WMUR VIDEO) Poll Analysis: Romney Leads Pack, Paul Makes Progress

                  Poll Watch: Harris Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey

                  Harris Interactive: Rudy Giuliani only possible Republican to beat President Obama
                  • Rudy Giuliani 51% (51%)
                  • Barack Obama 49% (49%)
                  • Barack Obama 51% (51%)
                  • Mitt Romney 49% (49%)
                  • Barack Obama 55%
                  • Ron Paul 45%
                    • Barack Obama 56% (56%)
                    • Newt Gingrich 44% (44%)
                    • Barack Obama 57%
                    • Gary Johnson 43%
                    • Barack Obama 57% (57%)
                    • Rick Santorum 43% (43%)
                    • Barack Obama 58% (59%)
                    • Michele Bachmann 42% (41%)
                    • Barack Obama 58% (58%)
                    • Sarah Palin 42% (42%)
                    • Barack Obama 58% (56%)
                    • Tim Pawlenty 42% (44%)
                    • Barack Obama 59%
                    • Jon Huntsman 41%
                    • Barack Obama 59%
                    • Herman Cain 41%
                    Among Independents
                    • Rudy Giuliani 54% (55%)
                    • Barack Obama 46% (45%)
                    • Mitt Romney 52% (52%)
                    • Barack Obama 48% (48%)
                    • Barack Obama 51%
                    • Ron Paul 49%
                    • Barack Obama 55% (54%)
                    • Newt Gingrich 45% (46%)
                    • Barack Obama 56%
                    • Gary Johnson 44%
                    • Barack Obama 57% (56%)
                    • Michele Bachmann 43% (44%)
                    • Barack Obama 57% (54%)
                    • Rick Santorum 43% (46%)
                      • Barack Obama 58% (53%)
                      • Tim Pawlenty 42% (47%)
                      • Barack Obama 59%
                      • Jon Huntsman 41%
                      • Barack Obama 60%
                      • Herman Cain 40%
                      • Barack Obama 62% (57%)
                      • Sarah Palin 38% (43%)
                      Among Republicans
                      • Mitt Romney 87% (85%)
                      • Barack Obama 13% (15%)
                      • Rudy Giuliani 86% (87%)
                      • Barack Obama 14% (13%)
                      • Newt Gingrich 82% (81%)
                      • Barack Obama 18% (19%)
                      • Tim Pawlenty 78% (79%)
                      • Barack Obama 22% (21%)
                      • Rick Santorum 78% (79%)
                      • Barack Obama 22% (21%)
                      • Sarah Palin 78% (75%)
                      • Barack Obama 22% (25%)
                      • Michele Bachmann 78% (72%)
                      • Barack Obama 22% (28%)
                      • Ron Paul 78%
                      • Barack Obama 22%
                      • Gary Johnson 78%
                      • Barack Obama 22%
                      • Herman Cain 78%
                      • Barack Obama 22%
                      • Jon Huntsman 77%
                      • Barack Obama 23%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Barack Obama 81% (85%)
                      • Rudy Giuliani 19% (15%)
                      • Barack Obama 84% (86%)
                      • Mitt Romney 16% (14%)
                      • Barack Obama 86%
                      • Ron Paul 14%
                      • Barack Obama 87% (90%)
                      • Sarah Palin 13% (10%)
                      • Barack Obama 88% (91%)
                      • Tim Pawlenty 12% (9%)
                      • Barack Obama 88% (91%)
                      • Rick Santorum 12% (9%)
                      • Barack Obama 89% (91%)
                      • Newt Gingrich 11% (9%)
                      • Barack Obama 89%
                      • Jon Huntsman 11%
                      • Barack Obama 89%
                      • Gary Johnson 11%
                      • Barack Obama 89%
                      • Herman Cain 11%
                      • Barack Obama 90% (90%)
                      • Michele Bachmann 10% (10%)
                      Among Moderates
                      • Barack Obama 55% (56%)
                      • Rudy Giuliani 45% (44%)
                      • Barack Obama 58% (58%)
                      • Mitt Romney 42% (42%)
                      • Barack Obama 64%
                      • Ron Paul 36%
                      • Barack Obama 66% (65%)
                      • Newt Gingrich 34% (35%)
                      • Barack Obama 67% (65%)
                      • Rick Santorum 33% (35%)
                      • Barack Obama 68% (65%)
                      • Tim Pawlenty 32% (35%)
                      • Barack Obama 68%
                      • Jon Huntsman 32%
                      • Barack Obama 68%
                      • Gary Johnson 32%
                      • Barack Obama 68% (67%)
                      • Michele Bachmann 32% (33%)
                      • Barack Obama 69%
                      • Herman Cain 31%
                      • Barack Obama 70% (66%)
                      • Sarah Palin 30% (34%)
                      Assuming these were candidates in the 2012 presidential election, who would you never vote for?
                      • Sarah Palin 57%
                      • Newt Gingrich 41%
                      • Michele Bachmann 34%
                      • Ron Paul 31%
                      • Rick Santorum 27%
                      • Herman Cain 26%
                      • Rudy Giuliani 26%
                      • Jon Huntsman 25%
                      • Gary Johnson 25%
                      • Tim Pawlenty 24%
                      • Mitt Romney 23%
                        Survey of 2,184 adults was conducted online May 9-16, 2011.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-14, 2011 are in parentheses.

                        Poll Watch: Gallup Survey on Abortion

                        Gallup: More Americans Pro-Choice Than Pro-Life

                        Click Images to Enlarge
                        Click Images to Enlarge
                        Click Images to Enlarge

                        Survey Methods
                        Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted May 5-8, 2011, with a random sample of 1,018 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. 
                        For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.

                        Herman Cain Talks Presidential Bid on Fox News Sunday


                        Sunday, May 22, 2011

                        Poll Watch: PPP (D) NY-26 Special Election Survey

                        PPP (D) New York 26th Congressional District Special Election Survey

                        The candidates in the special election for Congress are Republican Jane Corwin, Tea Party candidate Jack Davis, Democrat Kathy Hochul, and Green Party candidate Ian Murphy. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
                        • Kathy Hochul (D) 42% (35%)
                        • Jane Corwin (R) 36% (31%)
                        • Jack Davis (TP) 13% (24%)
                        • Ian Murphy (G) 3% (2%)
                        • Undecided 5% (8%)
                        Among Republicans
                        • Jane Corwin (R) 61% (55%)
                        • Jack Davis (TP) 16% (24%)
                        • Kathy Hochul (D) 16% (10%)
                        • Ian Murphy (G) 3% (2%)
                        • Undecided 4% (9%)
                        Among Democrats
                        • Kathy Hochul (D) 74% (67%)
                        • Jane Corwin (R) 11% (7%)
                        • Jack Davis (TP) 8% (19%)
                        • Ian Murphy (G) 3% (2%)
                        • Undecided 4% (4%)
                        Among Independents
                        • Kathy Hochul (D) 36% (37%)
                        • Jane Corwin (R) 34% (20%)
                        • Jack Davis (TP) 17% (31%)
                        • Ian Murphy (G) 5% (3%)
                        • Undecided 9% (9%)
                        Among Tea Party Members
                        • Jane Corwin (R) 71% (47%)
                        • Jack Davis (TP) 16% (37%)
                        • Kathy Hochul (D) 6% (7%)
                        • Ian Murphy (G) 2% (3%)
                        • Undecided 6% (6%)
                        Among Men
                        • Jane Corwin (R) 39% (32%)
                        • Kathy Hochul (D) 39% (31%)
                        • Jack Davis (TP) 15% (27%)
                        • Ian Murphy (G) 3% (3%)
                        • Undecided 4% (7%)
                        Among Women
                        • Kathy Hochul (D) 44% (39%)
                        • Jane Corwin (R) 34% (30%)
                        • Jack Davis (TP) 12% (22%)
                        • Ian Murphy (G) 4% (1%)
                        • Undecided 6% (8%)
                        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                        • Kathy Hochul 51% (46%) / 37% (40%) {+14%}
                        • Jane Corwin 34% (39%) / 52% (42%) {-18%}
                        • Ian Murphy 12% (10%) / 34% (35%) {-22%}
                        • Jack Davis 23% (43%) / 62% (43%) {-39%}
                        Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
                        • Approve 42% (40%)
                        • Disapprove 51% (53%)
                        Do you approve or disapprove of the job John Boehner is doing?
                        • Approve 28%
                        • Disapprove 45%
                        Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congressional Republicans are doing?
                        • Approve 26% (31%)
                        • Disapprove 59% (57%)
                        Do you think the Republicans are doing a better job than the Democrats did while in charge of the House of Representatives, a worse job, or is it about the same?
                        • A better job 34%
                        • A worse job 38%
                        • About the same 27%
                        Do you have more faith in Barack Obama or Congressional Republicans to lead the country in the right direction?
                        • Congressional Republicans 45%
                        • Barack Obama 44%
                        Would you like the new Congressman from our district to caucus with the Democrats or the Republicans in Congress?
                        • Republicans 41% (44%)
                        • Democrats 39% (37%)
                        Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Andrew Cuomo’s job performance?
                        • Approve 62% (69%)
                        • Disapprove 17% (16%)
                        Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chuck Schumer’s job performance?
                        • Approve 54% (54%)
                        • Disapprove 34% (38%)
                        Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand’s job performance?
                        • Approve 43% (44%)
                        • Disapprove 35% (37%)
                        Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
                        • Yes 16% (19%)
                        • No 76% (71%)
                        Survey of 1,106 likely voters in New York's 26th Congressional District was conducted May 21-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% (43%) Republican; 36% (32%) Democrat; 25% (25%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 28% Somewhat conservative; 18% Very conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 7% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.