Monday, November 05, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 49% (49%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 49% (49%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (41%)
  • Some other candidate 1% (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {5%} [8%] (10%)
  • Undecided 1% (1%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {8%} [3%] (4%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% (41%) {46%}
Already Voted (40%)
  • Barack Obama 60% (56%) {62%} (63%)
  • Mitt Romney 37% (41%) {36%} (34%)
Please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney. 
  • Very favorable 37% (40%) {40%} (34%) {35%} [37%] (28%) {27%} [25%] (17%) {14%}
  • Somewhat favorable 15% (13%) {13%} (15%) {14%} [17%] (22%) {22%} [23%] (31%) {34%}
  • Somewhat unfavorable 10% (12%) {13%} (12%) {12%} [12%] (12%) {19%} [17%] (23%) {23%}
  • Very unfavorable 37% (35%) {32%} (37%) {35%} [32%] (37%) {31%} [33%] (27%) {23%}
Please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Barack Obama.
  • Very favorable 37% {32%}
  • Somewhat favorable 13% {15%}
  • Somewhat unfavorable 9% {10%}
  • Very unfavorable 40% {42%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 52% (53%) {53%} (49%) {49%} [54%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [42%] (45%) / 47% (47%) {45%} (49%) {47%} [44%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {46%} [52%] {+5%}
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {47%} / 49% (49%) {52%} {+1%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president? 
  • Strongly approve 35% (33%) {29%} (30%) {35%} [30%] (36%) {30%} [29%] (24%) {23%}  [27%]
  • Somewhat approve 16% (19%) {17%} (21%) {17%} [19%] (13%) {18%} [21%] (22%) {27%} [22%
  • Somewhat disapprove 5% (6%) {7%} (7%) {5%} [8%] (7%) {9%} [4%] (12%) {9%} [12%]
  • Strongly disapprove 43% (42%) {44%} (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {42%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [37%]
President Obama Job Approval
  • Approve 51% (52%) {46%} (51%) {52%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [50%] (46%) {50%} [49%]
  • Disapprove 48% (48%) {51%} (49%) {47%} [50%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (54%) {48%} [49%]
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted November 4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 28, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Ninety-three percent (93%) have made up their minds whom they will vote for, and it’s Obama 50%, Romney 49% in this group.
Romney leads by seven points among male voters in Ohio but trails by seven among female voters. Fifty-six percent (56%) of white voters support the GOP challenger. Ninety-five percent (95%) of blacks favor Obama. The president also leads 59% to 33% among voters of other races.
Romney has a three-point edge over the president in voter trust when it comes to the economy, a two-point lead in the area of job creation and is ahead by one point with regards to energy policy. But Ohio voters trust Obama more by four points when it comes to housing issues and by two points in the area of national security.

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