Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 48% (49%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 48% (48%) {47%} [49%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (41%)
  • Some other candidate 2% (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {5%} [8%] (10%)
  • Undecided 3% (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {8%} [3%] (4%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Ohio allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, the president has a 10-point lead.
Four percent (4%) of Republicans remain uncommitted to one of the major candidates. Only one percent (1%) of Democrats fall into that category, along with 12% of voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.
By a 51% to 44% margin, Ohio voters trust Romney more than Obama when it comes to the economy. By the exact same margin, voters in Ohio trust Romney more when it comes to energy policy.
However, by a 50% to 46% margin, Ohio voters trust the president more when the topic is national security.
If Romney wins and Republicans control Congress, 46% of likely Ohio voters expect the economy to get better. Thirty-six percent (36%) believe it would get worse.
If Obama wins and the Democrats control Congress, expectations are lower. Just 37% believe the economy would get better, while 40% think it would get worse.
The president’s job approval in the state remains steady at 51% this week. Romney is viewed favorably by 51% of voters in the state, Obama by 49%.

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