Friday, October 05, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 50% (47%) {45%} [47%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 49% (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (41%)
  • Some other candidate 1% (3%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {5%} [8%] (10%)
  • Undecided 1% (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {8%} [3%] (4%)
Please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney. 
  • Very favorable 37% (28%) {27%} [25%] (17%) {14%}
  • Somewhat favorable 17% (22%) {22%} [23%] (31%) {34%}
  • Somewhat unfavorable 12% (12%) {19%} [17%] (23%) {23%}
  • Very unfavorable 32% (37%) {31%} [33%] (27%) {23%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 54% (50%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [42%] (45%) / 44% (49%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {46%} [52%] {+10%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president? 
  • Strongly approve 30% (36%) {30%} [29%] (24%) {23%}  [27%]
  • Somewhat approve 19% (13%) {18%} [21%] (22%) {27%} [22%
  • Somewhat disapprove 8% (7%) {9%} [4%] (12%) {9%} [12%]
  • Strongly disapprove 42% (43%) {42%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [37%]
President Obama Job Approval
  • Approve 49% (49%) {48%} [50%] (46%) {50%} [49%]
  • Disapprove 50% (50%) {51%} [47%] (54%) {48%} [49%]
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Ninety percent (90%) of Romney supporters are certain they will vote for him and not change their mind. Only 80% of Obama supporters are that certain.
The GOP challenger is ahead by 11 points among male voters but trails by 13 among female voters. Married voters prefer Romney, while unmarrieds favor Obama.
Among voters in the state not affiliated with either major party, Romney now leads 58% to 40%.
Forty-nine percent (49%) of Ohio voters trust Romney more than the president when it comes to handling the economy. Forty-five percent (45%) trust the president.
As for national security, 48% now trust Romney more to handle it, while just as many (47%) trust the president more. But last month, Obama had a five-point edge in trust – 49% to 45% - in this area.
Fifty percent (50%) think the economy will get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take control of the Congress. Forty-one percent (41%) believe that to be true if Obama is reelected and Democrats are in charge of Congress.
Forty-six percent (46%) expect the economy to get worse if Obama and his party win, while 36% say the same of a Romney/GOP victory.

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