Thursday, January 31, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Marco Rubio 21%
  • Mike Huckabee 14%
  • Rand Paul 13%
  • Paul Ryan 11%
  • Jeb Bush 11%
  • Chris Christie 9%
  • Bobby Jindal 4%
  • Rick Perry 4%
  • Susana Martinez 2%
  • Someone else/Undecided 10%
Survey of 400 usual Republican primary voters was conducted January 24-27, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 42% Very conservative; 34% Somewhat conservative; 15% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 45%
  • Not sure 8%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
  • Not sure 12%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Rick Perry (R) 42%
  • Not sure 8%
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Not sure 8%
  • Chris Christie (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Not sure 12%
  • Rick Perry (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Not sure 8%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41%
  • Not sure 9%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Chris Christie (R) 40%
  • Not sure 13%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Rick Perry (R) 38%
  • Not sure 7%
Survey of 500 Texas voters was conducted January 24-27, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Republican; 32% Democrat; 25% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 25% Very conservative; 22% Somewhat conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Harper (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Harper Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll 
  • Hillary Clinton 65.38% 
  • Joe Biden 13.74% 
  • Andrew Cuomo 3.85%
  • Not sure 17.03% 
Survey of ~183 likely 2016 Democratic caucus attendees was conducted January 29, 2013.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Harper (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Harper Polling (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 
  • Marco Rubio 26.50% 
  • Paul Ryan 18.00% 
  • Rick Santorum 13.50%
  • Rand Paul 12.50% 
  • Chris Christie 12.00%
  • Scott Walker 2.50%
  • Not sure 15.00% 
Survey of ~200 likely 2016 Republican caucus attendees was conducted January 29, 2013.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Inside the numbers:
Among Republicans who have previously attended a caucus, Rubio leads Ryan 29%-21%. However, among Republicans who plan to attend their first caucus in 2016, Ryan’s support drops to 7%. Paul (22%) and Santorum (19%) fill the void.
Among voters who consider themselves “Very Conservative”, Rubio leads with 32% followed by Ryan at 18%, Santorum at 15%, and Paul at 14%. Among the “Somewhat Conservative”, Rubio’s lead over Ryan shrinks to 3% (25%-22%).
The gender splits are revealing. Paul scores 17% among Men but his support drops to 8% among Women. Ryan seems a similar drop among Women (14%) compared to Men (22%). Conversely, Santorum (15% with Women, 12% with Men) and Christie (13% with Women, 11% with Men) do slightly better with Women.
Paul’s support jumps among 18 to 35 year olds. He leads among these younger voters with 24%, followed by Ryan (21%), Rubio (18%) and Christie (16%).
Among those voting for Congressman Steve King over Congressman Tom Latham in a Senate primary, Rubio leads with 25%, followed by Santorum and Ryan at 18% each. Among Latham voters, Rubio leads with 36%, followed by Christie at 21% and Ryan at 19%.

Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Survey on Governor Andrew Cuomo

Quinnipiac New York Poll on Gov. Andrew Cuomo

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?
  • Approve 59% [74%] (70%) {73%} [71%] (68%) {69%} [68%] (65%) {66%} [62%] (64%) {61%} [64%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 28% [13%] (16%) {16%} [16%] (19%) {19%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [22%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (15%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 74% [82%] (73%) {80%} [76%] (67%) {75%} [71%] (70%) {72%} [69%] (75%) {66%} [66%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 14% [9%] (12%) {10%} [11%] (20%) {16%} [12%] (17%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {18%} [15%] (14%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 44% [68%] (66%) {69%} [68%] (67%) {64%} [63%] (66%) {61%} [53%] (53%) {59%} [58%] (57%)
  • Disapprove 43% [18%] (21%) {19%} [20%] (24%) {21%} [25%] (19%) {20%} [33%] (26%) {22%} [18%] (14%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 54% [70%] (71%) {72%} [69%] (73%) {71%} [69%] (64%) {61%} [63%] (61%) {57%} [66%] (59%)
  • Disapprove 32% [12%] (15%) {17%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [17%] (18%) {21%} [20%] (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%)
Survey of 1,127 New York State voters was conducted January 23-28, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [46%] (44%) {40%} [42%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (39%) {41%} [40%] Democrat; 21% [21%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (20%) {25%} [21%] (20%) {18%} [22%] Republican; 29% [25%] (28%) {30%} [29%] (31%) {25%} [32%] (33%) {33%} [31%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 13-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 20-26, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 24-30, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 5-11, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-21, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

PPP (D) Massachusetts 2013 Senate Special Election Poll
  • Scott Brown (R) 48%
  • Ed Markey (D) 45%
  • Not sure 8%
  • Scott Brown (R) 48%
  • Stephen Lynch (D) 39%
  • Not sure 12%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Scott Brown 50% / 43% {+7%}
  • Ed Markey 38% / 35% {+3%}
  • Stephen Lynch 26% / 31% {-5%}
Democratic Primary
  • Ed Markey 52%
  • Stephen Lynch 19%
  • Not sure 29%
Survey of 763 Massachusetts voters and 404 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 29-30, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.9 percentage points among Democratic primary voters. Party ID: 41% Democrat; 17% Republican; 42% Independent/Other. Gender: 50% Male; 50% Female.

Sunday, January 27, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?
  • Pro-Choice 54% {54%} [52%] (51%) {53%} [49%] (50%)
  • Pro-Life 36% {38%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (40%)
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 23-24, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Forty years after the landmark Roe vs. Wade case legalizing abortion in the United States, fewer voters than ever consider themselves pro-life, while those who say they are pro-choice remains at an all-time high.
Fifty-nine percent (59%) of female voters are now pro-choice, compared to 47% of male voters. Voters under 40 are much more likely to be pro-choice than their elders.

Friday, January 25, 2013

Poll Watch: MassINC Massachusetts 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

MassINC Polling Group Massachusetts 2013 Senate Special Election Poll
  • Scott Brown (R) 53% (48%)
  • Ed Markey (D) 31% (30%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Scott Brown 55% (58%) / 32% (28%) {+23%}
  • Ed Markey 24% (24%) / 17% (12%) {+7%}
  • Steve Lynch 19% (24%) / 14% (12%) {+5%}
  • Mike Capuano 18% (23%) / 15% (11%) {+3%}
Survey of 435 registered voters was conducted January 16-19, 2013.  Party registration: 36% (36%) Democrat; 11% (11%) Republican; 53% (53%) Independent/Unenrolled. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, January 24, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Amy Klobuchar, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 59%
  • Joe Biden 14%
  • Amy Klobuchar 11%
  • Elizabeth Warren 4%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
  • Deval Patrick 0%
  • Brian Schweitzer 0%
  • Mark Warner 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 10%
If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
  • Amy Klobuchar 43%
  • Andrew Cuomo 14%
  • Elizabeth Warren 10%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
  • Deval Patrick 1%
  • Brian Schweitzer 0%
  • Mark Warner 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 30%
Survey of 373 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted January 18-20, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2016 Presidential Survey

If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Chris Christie, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton 44%
  • Chris Christie 38%
If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Chris Christie, who would you vote for?
  • Amy Klobuchar 42%
  • Chris Christie 39%
If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton 50%
  • Marco Rubio 37%
If the candidates for President in 2016 were Democrat Amy Klobuchar and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?
  • Amy Klobuchar 48%
  • Marco Rubio 36%
Survey of 1,065 Minnesota voters was conducted January 18-20, 2013. The margin of error is +/-3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 29% Republican; 33% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 22% Somewhat liberal; 14% Very conservative; 13% Very liberal.

Wednesday, January 23, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor?
  • Approve 74% [72%] (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 21% [21%] (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 56% [52%] (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
  • Disapprove 37% [39%] (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 93% [95%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
  • Disapprove 4% [4%] (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 78% [77%] (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 18% [16%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)
Among Men
  • Approve 79% [75%] (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
  • Disapprove 18% [19%] (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)
Among Women
  • Approve 69% [70%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
  • Disapprove 24% [23%] (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)
How would you rate Governor Christie's overall response to Hurricane Sandy; excellent, good, not so good or poor? 
  • Excellent 61% [59%]
  • Good 33% [36%]
  • Not so good 3% [3%]
  • Poor 2% [1%]
Do you think it was right or wrong for Governor Christie to criticize Speaker Boehner and House Republicans for delaying a vote on a Hurricane Sandy relief bill?
  • Right 79%
  • Wrong 15%
Among Democrats
  • Right 85%
  • Wrong 11%
Among Republicans
  • Right 70%
  • Wrong 22%
Among Independents
  • Right 81%
  • Wrong 15%
Survey of 1,647 registered voters was conducted January 15-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 36% [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 5% [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Codey the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Chris Christie 59% [57%] (47%)
  • Richard Codey 30% [30%] (41%)
If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Stephen Sweeney the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Chris Christie 61%
  • Stephen Sweeney 25%
If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Barbara Buono the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Chris Christie 63% [61%] (49%)
  • Barbara Buono 22% [23%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 69% [67%] {52%} / 21% [22%] {42%} {+48%}
  • Richard Codey 37% [35%] / 13% [13%] {+24%}
  • Barbara Buono 8% [8%] / 9% [7%] {-1%}
  • Stephen Sweeney 16% / 18% {-2%}
Do you feel that Chris Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
  • Yes/Deserves 68% [67%] (52%)
  • No/Does not 24% [25%] (40%)
Survey of 1,647 registered voters was conducted January 15-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 36% [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 5% [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2014 Senatorial Survey

If the candidates for Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Norm Coleman, who would you vote for?
  • Al Franken 50% {51%} [50%] (51%)
  • Norm Coleman 44% {41%} [43%] (41%)
If the candidates for Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican John Kline, who would you vote for?
  • Al Franken 49%
  • John Kline 41%
If the candidates for Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Erik Paulsen, who would you vote for?
  • Al Franken 50%
  • Erik Paulsen 39%
If the candidates for Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Michele Bachmann, who would you vote for?
  • Al Franken 54% {55%} [52%] (57%) {54%}
  • Michele Bachmann 40% {37%} [40%] (35%) {39%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Al Franken's job performance?
  • Approve 52% {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%}
  • Disapprove 41% {38%} [42%] (36%) {39%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Norm Coleman?
  • Favorable 35% {36%} [35%] (38%)
  • Unfavorable 43% {42%} [39%] (41%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kline?
  • Favorable 28%
  • Unfavorable 21%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Erik Paulsen?
  • Favorable 24%
  • Unfavorable 21%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Michele Bachmann?
  • Favorable 35% {33%} [29%] (33%) {34%} [33%]
  • Unfavorable 59% {55%} [59%] (60%) {57%} [59%]
Republican Senate Primary
  • Michele Bachmann 45%
  • John Kline 19%
  • Chip Cravaack 13%
  • Erik Paulsen 11%
  • Laura Brod 4%
  • Rich Stanek 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 6%
Survey of 1,065 Minnesota voters, including 275 GOP primary voters, was conducted January 18-20, 2013. The margin of error is +/-3.0 percentage points among all voters; +/-5.9 percentage points among GOP primary voters. Party ID: 39% {38%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [38%] Democrat; 29% {29%} [32%] (31%) {33%} [31%] Republican; 33% {32%} [33%] (34%) {32%} [31%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% {30%} [28%] (32%) {29%} [29%] Moderate; 24% {23%} [25%] (20%) {22%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 22% {20%} [21%] (20%) {22%} [20%] Somewhat liberal; 14% {14%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [15%] Very conservative; 13% {13%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in square brackets.

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Paul Ryan

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Paul Ryan

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Paul Ryan?
  • Very favorable 21% {29%} [21%] (22%)
  • Somewhat favorable 22% {21%} [18%] (14%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 16% {19%} [10%] (13%)
  • Very unfavorable 30% {13%} [15%] (17%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Paul Ryan 43% {50%} [39%] (36%) / 46% {32%} [25%] (30%) {-3%}
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 17-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 12-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-11, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Seventy-six percent (76%) of GOP voters have a favorable opinion of Ryan, compared to 83% last summer. Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Democrats and a plurality (48%) of unaffiliated voters view Ryan unfavorably.
Voters over 65 view Ryan more favorably than younger voters do.
White voters have a more positive opinion of Ryan than blacks and other minority voters.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Marco Rubio

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Marco Rubio

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Marco Rubio?
  • Very favorable 16% [22%] (20%)
  • Somewhat favorable 20% [20%] (15%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 20% [20%] (16%)
  • Very unfavorable 12% [11%] (12%)
  • Undecided 32% [28%] (37%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 36% [42%] (35%) / 32% [31%] (28%) {+4%}
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 17-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-11, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Republicans now view Rubio favorably, down slightly from June. This compares to just 19% of Democrats and 36% of voters not affiliated with either major party.
Voters over 65 view Rubio more favorably than younger voters do.
White voters have a more positive opinion of Rubio than blacks and other minority voters.

Monday, January 21, 2013

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey on Roe v. Wade and Abortion

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll on Roe v. Wade and Abortion

The Supreme Court's 1973 Roe versus Wade decision established a woman's constitutional right to an abortion, at least in the first three months of pregnancy. Would you like to see the Supreme Court completely overturn its Roe versus Wade decision, or not?
  • Yes, overturn 24%
  • No, do not overturn 70% 
Which comes closest to your view on abortion--abortion should always be legal, should be legal most of the time, should be made illegal except in cases of rape, incest and to save the mother's life, or abortion should be made illegal without any exceptions?
  • Always legal 31%
  • Legal most of the time 23%
  • Illegal with exceptions 35%
  • Illegal without any exceptions 9%
Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted January 12-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

President Barack Obama's Second Inaugural Address


Click here to read the transcript of President Obama’s second inaugural address.

Thursday, January 17, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44%
Among Independents
  • Marco Rubio (R) 51%  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 32% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 29%
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 53%  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 52% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 39% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio's job performance?
  • Approve 49%
  • Disapprove 36%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?
  • Favorable 51%
  • Unfavorable 35%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?
  • Favorable 52%
  • Unfavorable 41%
Do you think Jeb Bush should run for President in 2016, or not?
  • He should 32%
  • He should not 53% 
    Do you think Marco Rubio should run for President in 2016, or not?
    • He should 38%
    • He should not 49%
    Survey of 501 Florida voters was conducted January 11-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 44% Democrat; 38% Republican; 18% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% Moderate; 21% Somewhat conservative; 18% Very conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal.

    Poll Watch: PPP Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey

    PPP Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

    Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
    • Hillary Clinton 65% [61%] (67%)
    • Joe Biden 15% [14%] (11%)
    • Andrew Cuomo 4% [8%] (8%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 4% [1%] (2%) 
    • Mark Warner 1% [2%] (0%)
    • Deval Patrick 1% [1%] (0%)
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
    • Martin O'Malley 0% [3%] (0%)
    • Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] (0%)
    • Someone else/Undecided 11% [9%] (11%)
    If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
    • Andrew Cuomo 22% [33%] (31%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 15% [10%] (10%)
    • Deval Patrick 5% [7%] (7%)
    • Martin O'Malley 4% [4%] (6%)
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 3%
    • Mark Warner 2% [3%] (3%)
    • Brian Schweitzer 1% [1%] (0%)
    • Someone else/Undecided 48% [42%] (43%)
    Survey of 401 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted January 11-13, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% [33%] (41%) Moderate; 28% [30%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 18% [22%] (16%) Very liberal; 11% [10%] (12%) Somewhat conservative; 3% [5%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP Florida 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

    PPP Florida 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

    Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Paul Ryan, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
    • Marco Rubio 31% [22%] (24%
    • Jeb Bush 26% [28%] (22%)
    • Mike Huckabee 11% [11%] (10%) 
    • Chris Christie 7% [9%] (10%)
    • Paul Ryan 5% [8%] (10%)
    • Bobby Jindal 5%
    • Rand Paul 5% [3%] (4%) 
    • Susana Martinez 2%
    • Rick Perry 2%
    • Someone else/Undecided 5% [5%] (4%)
    Among Men
    • Marco Rubio 34% [20%] (28%)
    • Jeb Bush 22% [33%] (23%)
    • Mike Huckabee 11% [8%] (9%)
    • Chris Christie 7% [8%] (11%)
    • Paul Ryan 7% [8%] (11%)
    • Bobby Jindal 4%
    • Susana Martinez 4%
    • Rand Paul 4% [3%] (4%) 
    • Rick Perry 3%
    • Someone else/Undecided 4% [3%] (3%)
    Among Women
    • Jeb Bush 31% [23%] (21%)
    • Marco Rubio 27% [23%] (20%)
    • Mike Huckabee 12% [13%] (11%)
    • Chris Christie 7% [9%] (9%)
    • Bobby Jindal 6%
    • Rand Paul 6% [3%] (5%)
    • Paul Ryan 3% [8%] (9%) 
    • Susana Martinez 1%
    • Rick Perry 0%
    • Someone else/Undecided 6% [6%] (5%)
    Survey of 436 Republican primary voters was conducted January 11-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 36% [42%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 35% [34%] (33%) Very conservative; 19% [19%] (20%) Moderate; 9% [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [2%] (3%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Global Warming

    Rasmussen (R) Poll on Global Warming

    How serious a problem is global warming? 
    • Very serious 37%
    • Somewhat serious 26%
    • Not very serious 20%
    • Not at all serious 14%
    Is global warming caused primarily by human activity or by long-term planetary trends? 
    • Human activity 43%
    • Long-term planetary trends 39%
    • Something else 5%
    • Not sure 13%
    Is there a conflict between economic growth and environmental protection?
    • Yes 50%
    • No 32%
    • Not sure 18%
    Are Americans being selfish by putting their economic concerns ahead of the fight against global warming? 
    • Yes, being selfish 34%
    • No, not being selfish 49%
    • Undecided 17%
    To generate cleaner energy and fight global warming, it might cost Americans more money each year in taxes and utility costs. How much are you willing to pay each year in higher taxes and utility costs? 
    • Nothing: 49%
    • $100: 25%
    • $300: 9%
    • $500: 10%
    • $1,000: 0%
    • More than $1,000: 0%
    Note: Sixty-five percent (65%) of Republicans are not willing to pay any more in taxes or utility costs to generate cleaner energy and fight global warming, compared to 38% of Democrats and 46% of unaffiliated voters.
    National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 15-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
    Inside the numbers: 
    Democrats and voters not affiliated with either major party view global warming as a much more serious problem than Republicans do. This is explained in part by the fact that most Republicans consider it the product of long-term planetary trends, while the majority of Democrats believes it is due to human activity. Unaffiliated voters are evenly divided.
    Voters in President Obama’s party believe less strongly than the others that there is a conflict between economic growth and protecting the environment. They also tend to think Americans are selfish for putting economic concerns ahead of the fight against global warming; most GOP voters and a plurality of unaffiliateds disagree.
    Women and voters under 40 consider global warming more of a problem than men and older voters do.

    Wednesday, January 16, 2013

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

    PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Charlie Crist (D) 53% [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
    • Rick Scott (R) 39% [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}
    Among Democrats
    • Charlie Crist (D) 76% [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
    • Rick Scott (R) 15% [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}
    Among Republicans
    • Rick Scott (R) 66% [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
    • Charlie Crist (D) 29% [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}
    Among Independents
    • Charlie Crist (D) 48% [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
    • Rick Scott (R) 41% [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}
    Among Moderates
    • Charlie Crist (D) 67% [65%] (55%) {57%} [63%] (68%) {73%}
    • Rick Scott (R) 25% [25%] (33%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {22%}
    Among Men
    • Rick Scott (R) 49% [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}
    • Charlie Crist (D) 44% [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}
    Among Women
    • Charlie Crist (D) 61% [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
    • Rick Scott (R) 31% [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}
    If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Alex Sink, who would you vote for?
    • Alex Sink 47%
    • Rick Scott 40%
    If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who would you vote for?
    • Debbie Wasserman Schultz 44%
    • Rick Scott 42%
    Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?
    • Approve 33% [38%] (41%) {39%} (31%) {34%} [26%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
    • Disapprove 57% [48%] (49%) {51%} (56%) {54%} [58%] (52%) {59%} [55%]
    Among Democrats
    • Approve 21% [13%] (17%) {13%} (12%) {11%} [8%] (16%) {10%} [11%]
    • Disapprove 71% [73%] (72%) {77%} (79%) {83%} [80%] (79%) {82%} [81%]
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 49% [72%] (72%) {64%} (53%) {60%} [46%] (60%) {63%} [57%]
    • Disapprove 38% [18%] (20%) {27%} (31%) {22%} [31%] (23%) {30%} [27%]
    Among Independents
    • Approve 32% [31%] (31%) {43%} (26%) {27%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%]
    • Disapprove 64% [48%] (54%) {43%} (60%) {60%} [55%] (52%) {64%} [54%]
    Among Moderates
    • Approve 30% [25%] (34%) {21%} (18%) {23%} [19%] (25%) {21%} [17%]
    • Disapprove 65% [60%] (57%) {66%} (66%) {64%} [66%] (65%) {71%} [72%]
    Among Men
    • Approve 40% [44%] (42%) {41%} (37%) {41%} [30%] (36%) {37%} [39%]
    • Disapprove 55% [44%] (49%) {55%} (52%) {50%} [56%] (52%) {56%} [51%]
    Among Women
    • Approve 27% [33%] (39%) {37%} (25%) {27%} [22%] (37%) {29%} [26%]
    • Disapprove 60% [52%] (48%) {47%} (60%) {57%} [59%] (53%) {62%} [59%]
    Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?
    • Favorable 49% [39%] (36%) {41%} [48%] (51%) [46%]
    • Unfavorable 38% [43%] (44%) {41%} [33%] (34%) [42%]
    Among Democrats
    • Favorable 70% [55%] (44%) {50%} [57%] (66%) [59%]
    • Unfavorable 16% [22%] (33%) {31%} [23%] (21%) [28%]
    Among Republicans
    • Favorable 29% [19%] (24%) {34%} [38%] (35%) [33%]
    • Unfavorable 62% [69%] (60%) {49%} [44%] (52%) [57%]
    Among Independents
    • Favorable 38% [40%] (43%) {36%} [45%] (47%) [44%]
    • Unfavorable 44% [41%] (35%) {44%} [36%] (30%) [44%]
    Among Moderates
    • Favorable 63% [51%] (43%) {52%} [54%] (61%) [64%]
    • Unfavorable 29% [30%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (22%) [24%]
    Among Men
    • Favorable 45% [39%] (34%) {40%} [45%] (50%) [43%]
    • Unfavorable 45% [48%] (48%) {45%} [35%] (36%) [45%]
    Among Women
    • Favorable 52% [39%] (37%) {42%} [49%] (51%) [49%]
    • Unfavorable 33% [39%] (40%) {37%} [31%] (33%) [39%]
    Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Alex Sink?
    • Favorable 37%
    • Unfavorable 22%
    Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Debbie Wasserman Schultz?
    • Favorable 30%
    • Unfavorable 36%
    Survey of 501 Florida voters was conducted January 11-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 44% [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 38% [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 18% [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% [34%] (36%) {33%} (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 21% [25%] (25%) {20%} (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 18% [16%] (13%) {20%} (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 17% [15%] (16%) {17%} (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 12% [10%] (9%) {10%} (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

    Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Roe v. Wade

    Pew Research Poll on Roe v. Wade

    In 1973 the Roe versus Wade decision established a woman’s constitutional right to an abortion, at least in the first three months of pregnancy. Would you like to see the Supreme Court completely overturn its Roe versus Wade decision, or not?
    • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 29%
    • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 63%
    Among Democrats
    • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 20%
    • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 74%
    Among Republicans
    • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 46%
    • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 48%
    Among Independents
    • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 28%
    • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 64%
    College Graduates
    • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 22%
    • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 73%
    High School Education or Less
    • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 36%
    • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 53%
    Survey of 1,502 adults was conducted January 9-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. 

    Inside the numbers: 
    There is no gender gap in opinions about Roe v. Wade: Nearly identical percentages of women (64%) and men (63%) oppose reversing the decision.
    White evangelical Protestants are the only major religious group in which a majority (54%) favors completely overturning the Roe v. Wade decision. Large percentages of white mainline Protestants (76%), Black Protestants (65%) and white Catholics (63%) say the ruling should not be overturned. Fully 82% of the religiously unaffiliated oppose overturning Roe v. Wade.
    Half of Americans who attend religious services at least weekly favor completely overturning the Roe v. Wade decision, compared with just 17% of those who attend less often.

    Monday, January 14, 2013

    Poll Watch: Washington Post-ABC News Survey on Gun Control

    Washington Post-ABC News Poll on Gun Control

    Would you support or oppose a law requiring a nationwide ban on semi-automatic handguns, which automatically re-load every time the trigger is pulled?
    • Support 51%
    • Oppose 46%
    Note: 66% of Democrats, 47% of Independents, and 40% of Republicans support a ban on semi-automatic handguns; as do 40% of men and 60% of women. Sixty-four percent (64%) of non-gun owners, but only 36% of gun-owning households also back a ban on semi-automatics.
     
    Would you support or oppose a law requiring a nationwide ban on high-capacity ammunition clips, meaning those containing more than 10 bullets?
    • Support 65%
    • Oppose 32% 
    Note: 81% of Dems, 60% of Indies, and 59% in GOP support a ban on high-capacity clips; as do 57% of men and 72% of women. Seventy-five percent (75%) of non-gun owners and 55% of gun-owning households also back such a ban.

    Would you support or oppose a law requiring a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons?
    • Support 58%
    • Oppose 39%
    Note: 76% of Democrats, 54% of Independents, and 45% of Republicans support an assault weapons ban; as do 50% of men and 66% of women. Seventy-one percent (71%) of non-gun owners, but just 45% of gun-owning households also back a ban on the sale of assault weapons.

    Would you support or oppose a law requiring background checks on people buying guns at gun shows?
    • Support 88%
    • Oppose 11%
    Would you support or oppose a law requiring placing an armed guard in every school in the country?
    • Support 55%
    • Oppose 42%
    Would you support or oppose a law requiring the creation of a new federal database to track all gun sales in this country?
    • Support 71%
    • Oppose 27%
    Would you support or oppose a law requiring background checks on anyone buying gun ammunition?
    • Support 76%
    • Oppose 22%
    Do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the leadership of the National Rifle Association?
    • Favorable 36%
    • Unfavorable 44%
    Note: While 55% of Republicans have a favorable impression of the NRA, only 24% of Democrats and 35% of Independents view them favorably; as do 45% of men, but just 28% of women. Although 52% of gun-owning households have a favorable impression of the NRA, only 22% of non-gun owners share their positive views of the gun lobby group.

    Do you think the National Rifle Association has too much influence, too little influence, or the right amount of influence over gun control laws in this country?
    • Too much 38%
    • Too little 24%
    • Right amount 30%
    Thinking about the elementary school shootings in Newtown, Connecticut last month – would you say this incident has made you more likely to support some forms of gun control, less likely to support some forms of gun control, or made no difference in your opinion on gun control?
    • More likely 52%
    • Less likely 5%
    • No difference 42%
    Do you or does anyone in your house own a gun, or not?
    • Yes 44%
    • No 56%
    Note: 32% of Democrats, 44% of Independents, and 59% of Republicans live in gun-owning households.  While 52% of men are in gun-owning homes, only 37% of women live in armed households.
     
    Survey of 1,001 adults was conducted January 10-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 24% Republican; 37% Independent.

    Thursday, January 10, 2013

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Presidential Survey

    PPP (D) 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
    • Chris Christie (R) 42%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 39%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 37%
    Among Independents
    • Chris Christie (R) 47%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 29%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 39% 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 41%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 35%
    Among Moderates
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
    • Chris Christie (R) 29%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 24%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 22%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 67%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 23%
    Among Men
    • Chris Christie (R) 44%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 42%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 41%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 39%
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
    • Chris Christie (R) 39%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 34%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 36%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Chris Christie 51% (48%) / 23% (26%) {+28%}
    • Hillary Clinton 54% (57%) / 39% (36%) {+15%}
    • Elizabeth Warren 30% (25%) / 22% (27%) {+8%}
    • Marco Rubio 33% (35%) / 27% (27%) {+6%}
    • Joe Biden 48% (46%) / 43% (44%) {+5%}
    • Susana Martinez 17% / 17% {0%}
    • Mark Warner 12% (9%) / 12% (16%) {0%}
    • Bobby Jindal 26% / 31% {-5%}
    • Martin O’Malley 8% (5%) / 13% (17%) {-5%}
    • Deval Patrick 11% (10%) / 16% (17%) {-5%}
    • Paul Ryan 38% (41%) / 45% (42%) {-7%}
    • Jeb Bush 33% (38%) / 40% (38%) {-7%}
    • Andrew Cuomo 26% (23%) / 33% (33%) {-7%}
    • Brian Schweitzer 5% (4%) / 13% (16%) {-8%}
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 11% / 20% {-9%}
    • Mike Huckabee 34% (38%) / 46% (39%) {-12%}
    • Rand Paul 32% (32%) / 44% (38%) {-12%}
    • Rick Perry 19% / 52% {-33%}
    Survey of 1,100 voters was conducted January 3-6, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (44%) Democrat; 34% (32%) Republican; 23% (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% (32%) Moderate; 24% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 17% (18%) Somewhat liberal; 16% (15%) Very conservative; 13% (11%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

    PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll 

    Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016? 
    • Hillary Clinton 57% [61%] (57%)
    • Joe Biden 16% [12%] (14%)
    • Andrew Cuomo 4% [5%] (5%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 4% [4%] (6%)
    • Martin O'Malley 3% [2%] (1%)
    • Mark Warner 2% [1%] (2%) 
    • Deval Patrick 2% [1%] 
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
    • Brian Schweitzer 1% [1%] (1%)
    • Someone else/Undecided 10% [12%] (12%)
    If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee? 
    • Andrew Cuomo 19% [21%] (27%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 16% [16%] (9%)
    • Martin O'Malley 7% [5%] (4%)
    • Deval Patrick 6% [8%] 
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 5%
    • Mark Warner 4% [3%] (4%)
    • Brian Schweitzer 2% [2%] (2%)
    • Someone else/Undecided 40% [45%] (46%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Hillary Clinton 79% [86%] (86%) / 15% [10%] (10%) {+64%} 
    • Joe Biden 73% [80%] (70%) / 22% [14%] (21%) {+51%} 
    • Elizabeth Warren 47% [45%] (28%) / 13% [12%] (17%) {+34%} 
    • Andrew Cuomo 36% [37%] (32%) / 20% [21%] (24%) {+16%} 
    • Deval Patrick 17% [17%] / 10% [15%] {+7%} 
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 16% / 14% {+2%}
    • Mark Warner 15% [11%] (11%) / 13% [17%] (18%) {+2%
    • Martin O'Malley 12% [7%] (8%) / 11% [17%] (17%) {+1%
    • Brian Schweitzer 6% [5%] (7%) / 12% [19%] (17%) {-6%}
    Survey of 400 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted January 3-6, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% [32%] (36%) Moderate; 24% [32%] (30%) Somewhat liberal; 23% [20%] (16%) Very liberal; 13% [12%] (13%) Somewhat conservative; 2% [4%] (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

    PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

    Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Paul Ryan, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
    • Marco Rubio 21% [18%] (10%) 
    • Paul Ryan 16% [12%] (7%)
    • Mike Huckabee 15% [11%] (17%)  
    • Chris Christie 14% [14%] (21%)
    • Jeb Bush 14% [12%] (17%)
    • Rand Paul 5% [7%] (4%)
    • Bobby Jindal 3% (3%)
    • Susana Martinez 2%
    • Rick Perry 2%
    • Someone else/Undecided 7% [7%] (10%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Paul Ryan 76% [74%] (47%) / 11% [15%] (11%) {+65%} 
    • Mike Huckabee 70% [73%] (69%) / 15% [15%] (15%) {+55%} 
    • Marco Rubio 60% [62%] (53%) / 11% [11%] (10%) {+49%} 
    • Jeb Bush 59% [63%] (71%) / 15% [14%] (13%) {+44%}
    • Bobby Jindal 47% (43%) / 11% (9%) {+36%}
    • Rand Paul 55% [53%] (42%) / 20% [22%] (20%) {+35%} 
    • Chris Christie 44% [49%] (62%) / 29% [28%] (12%) {+15%}  
    • Rick Perry 40% / 26% {+14%}
    • Susana Martinez 23% / 15% {+8%}
    Survey of 563 Republican primary voters was conducted January 3-6, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 37% [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 16% [16%] (16%) Moderate; 5% [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] (3%) Very liberalResults from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2014 Democratic Senatorial Survey

    FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2014 Democratic Senate Poll

    As you may or may not know, the US Senate seat that is currently held by Frank Lautenberg will be up for election in 2014. If a Democrat were to win, who would you like to see elected? Frank Lautenberg, Cory Booker, or someone else?
    • Cory Booker 42% 
    • Frank Lautenberg 20%
    • Someone else 17%
    • Don't know 21% 
    Survey of 336 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted January 2-6, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.