Poll Watch: NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 41% {28.5%} [41%] (36%) {42%} [39%] (40%)
• Ron Paul 21% {15.6%} [10%] (14%) {10%} [7%] (6%) 
• Newt Gingrich 12% {27.1%} [6%] (2%) {3%} [8%] (16%)
• Jon Huntsman 12% {7.9%} [6%] (3%) {3%}
• Rick Santorum 4% {1.3%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (2%) 
• Michele Bachmann 4% {2.0%} [4%] (10%) {10%}
• Rick Perry 3% {1.7%} [2%] (18%)
• Some other candidate 2% {1.6%}
• Undecided 1% {4.4%} [8%] (10%) {8%} [8%] (6%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 69% {60%} [68%] (66%) {69%} [73%] / 27% {32%} [22%] (24%) {22%} [16%] {+42%}
• Ron Paul 47% {49%} [37%] (39%) {40%} [41%] / 42% {32%} [48%] (47%) {47%} [29%] {+5%}
• Jon Huntsman 43% {30%} [24%] (20%) {14%} / 39% {43%} [49%] (47%) {36%} {+4%}
• Rick Santorum 35% {28%} [33%] (30%) {33%} [27%] / 46% {48%} [44%] (42%) {36%} [20%] {-11%}
• Newt Gingrich 37% {59%} [45%] (29%) {29%} [52%] / 58% {31%} [45%] (60%) {62%} [32%] {-21%} 
  
• Michele Bachmann 29% {29%} [33%] (49%) {55%} / 60% {57%} [56%] (39%) {28%} {-31%}
• Rick Perry 19% {21%} [19%] (51%) / 69% {66%} [66%] (27%) {-50%}

Survey of 648 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 27-28, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.85 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 59% {60%} [68%] (70%) {74%} [67%] (66%) Republican; 41% {40%} [32%] (30%) {26%} [33%] (34%) Independent.  Political ideology: Conservative 59% {61%} [60%] (65%) {63%} [81%] (68%); Moderate 36% {33%} [36%] (30%) {32%} [15%] (26%); Liberal 5% {4%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [1%] (6%).  Results from the poll conducted November 15-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-16, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-15, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25, 2010 are in parentheses.