Poll Watch: PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Newt Gingrich 34% {24%} [23%] (8%) {15%}
• Mitt Romney 28% {29%} [30%] (16%) {30%}
• Ron Paul 15% {15%} [9%] (5%) {10%}
• Rick Santorum 14% {14%} [19%] (4%)
• Rick Perry 5% {6%} [5%] (36%)
• Buddy Roemer 3% {1%} [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 2% {6%} [9%] (7%) {11%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate {65%} [59%]
• Might end up supporting someone else {35%} [41%]

Second Choice

• Mitt Romney 18% {17%} [16%]
• Newt Gingrich 17% {20%} [14%]
• Rick Santorum 16% {17%} [21%]
• Rick Perry 15% {13%} [10%]
• Ron Paul 11% {9%} [7%]
• Buddy Roemer 2% {1%} [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 22% {16%} [26%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Newt Gingrich 54% {51%} [49%] (42%) {37%} [54%] / 38% {37%} [39%] (40%) {44%} [25%] {+16%}
• Rick Perry 50% {44%} [42%] (65%) {24%} / 36% {44%} [43%] (15%) {11%} {+14%} 
• Mitt Romney 54% {57%} [60%] (52%) {56%} [60%] / 41% {33%} [29%] (32%) {27%} [22%] {+13%}
• Rick Santorum 53% {53%} [63%] (34%) {31%} [25%] / 41% {30%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [7%] {+12%}
• Ron Paul 40% {38%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [47%] / 49% {52%} [54%] (35%) {31%} [19%] {-9%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 28% {30%} [31%]
• No 65% {57%} [57%]

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are 52% {56%} [57%]
• Are not 48% {44%} [43%]

Did you watch the debate on Monday night, or not?

• Watched the debate 56%
• Did not 44%

Watched the Debate

• Newt Gingrich 43% 
• Mitt Romney 27%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Rick Santorum 10%
• Rick Perry 4%
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 2%

Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Sarah Palin, or would it not make a difference?

• More likely 17%
• Less likely 38%
• Wouldn't make a difference 40%

Survey of 379 likely South Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted January 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 77% {80%} [82%] (80%) {78%} [81%] Republican; 16% {17%} [14%] (18%) {19%} [18%] Independent/Other; 7% {3%} [3%] (1%) {3%} [0%] Democrat. Political ideology: 43% {40%} [41%] (40%) {41%} Very conservative; 35% {37%} [38%] (39%) {36%} Somewhat conservative; 15% {18%} [15%] (16%) {17%} Moderate; 5% {2%} [4%] (4%) {3%} Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 25-28, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.