Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll
  
LIKELY VOTERS

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 48%
• Tommy Thompson (R) 46%
• Undecided 5%

Among Men

• Tommy Thompson (R) 50%
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 45%
  
• Undecided 5%

Among Women

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 51%
• Tommy Thompson (R) 42%
• Undecided 6%

REGISTERED VOTERS

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 49%
• Tommy Thompson (R) 44%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 1,295 registered voters, including 968 likely voters, was conducted September 16-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.2 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID (among likely voters): 33% Democrat; 28% Republican; 38% Independent. Party ID (among registered voters): 33% Democrat; 26% Republican; 40% Independent. Ideology (among likely voters): 32% Moderate; 31% Conservative; 18% Liberal; 12% Very conservative; 7% Very liberal.  Ideology (among registered voters): 33% Moderate; 31% Conservative; 18% Liberal; 12% Very conservative; 7% Very liberal.