Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senate Poll

• Tim Kaine (D) 47% [45%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%)
• George Allen (R) 45% [45%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (45%)
• Some other candidate 2% [2%] (2%) {5%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Undecided 6% [8%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (7%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Tim Kaine 

• Very favorable  30%
• Somewhat favorable  20%
• Somewhat unfavorable 18%
• Very unfavorable  25%

George Allen

• Very favorable 24%
• Somewhat favorable 22%
• Somewhat unfavorable 17%
• Very unfavorable 29%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Tim Kaine 50% / 43% {+7%}
• George Allen 46% / 46% {0%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 13, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2011 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Allen has the support of 83% of Virginia Republicans, while 94% of the state’s Democratic voters back Kaine. Among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, Allen leads 47% to 36%.

Allen is ahead by five points among male voters but trails by seven among female voters. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of whites support the Republican, while 88% of blacks prefer the Democrat. Voters of other races are evenly divided.