Poll Watch: Kimball Political Consulting (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

KPC (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 48.9% (45.5%) {48.2%} [45.9%] (49%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46.6% (48.0%) {46.7%} [45.1%] (43%)
• Undecided 4.5% (6.6%) {5.2%} [9.0%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 61.0% (59.7%) {58.4%} [54.4%] (56%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 33.9% (31.7%) {35.4%} [35.5%] (31%)
• Undecided 5.1% (8.5%) {6.2%} [10.1%] (12%)

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 49.1% (48.8%) {52.0%} [49.2%] (54%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46.6% (46.1%) {44.4%} [44.4%] (39%)
• Undecided 4.3% (5.1%) {3.7%} [6.5%] (7%)

Among Women

• Scott Brown (R) 48.7% (42.3%) {44.3%} [42.7%] (44%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46.7% (49.7%) {49.0%} [45.8%] (46%)
• Undecided 4.6% (7.9%) {6.7%} [11.5%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Brown (R) 55.1% (49.4%) {58.1%} [54.1%] (57%) / 38.2% (41.1%) {34.2%} [34.1%] (31%) {+16.9%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49.4% (52.4%) {51.3%} [54.5%] (49%) / 45.2% (42.4%) {41.9%} [38.4%] (39%) {+4.2%}

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 66.8% (64.3%) {67.1%} [62.2%] (64%) / 26.0% (25.6%) {23.9%} [26.4%] (22%) {+40.8%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 36.0% (37.9%) {41.4%} [46.3%] (39%) / 57.7% (55.2%) {50.1%} [46.9%] (47%) {-21.7%}

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 56.6% (52.0%) {64.0%} [56.5%] (60%) / 38.2% (41.2%) {32.0%} [33.9%] (30%) {+18.4%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49.3% (49.6%) {47.6%} [52.2%] (42%) / 46.3% (47.2%) {47.4%} [42.2%] (45%) {+3.0%}

Among Women

• Scott Brown (R) 53.6% (46.9%) {52.4%} [51.8%] (55%) / 38.3% (41.0%) {37.0%} [34.4%] (32%) {+15.3%}
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49.5% (55.1%) {55.0%} [56.8%] (55%) / 44.1% (37.9%) {36.5%} [34.6%] (33%) {+5.4%}

Survey of 761 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted October 31 - November 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.48 percentage points. Party ID: 37.2% (39.4%) {38.4%} [35.2%] (36%) Democrat; 11.3% (11.3%) {11.5%} [12.3%] (14%) Republican; 51.5% (49.3%) {50.1%} [52.5%] (51%) Independent.  Gender: 48.5% (48.8%) Male; 51.5% (51.2%) Female. Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in parentheses.