Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Josh Mandel (R) 48% {48%} [44%] (44%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (40%)
• Sherrod Brown (D) 48% {50%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  
• Some other candidate 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 2% {1%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [11%] (12%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Sherrod Brown

• Very favorable 30% {25%} [29%] (30%) {27%} [25%] (26%)
• Somewhat favorable 17% {20%} [18%] (19%) {17%} [20%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 13% {14%} [12%] (17%) {16%} [17%] (15%)
• Very unfavorable 35% {35%} [31%] (27%) {30%} [31%] (26%)

Josh Mandel

• Very favorable 22% {21%} [22%] (17%) {21%} [23%] (17%)
• Somewhat favorable 24% {28%} [23%] (26%) {25%} [25%] (25%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% [17%} [12%] (14%) {13%} [17%] (13%)
• Very unfavorable 37% {31%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [28%] (31%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sherrod Brown 47% {45%} [47%] (49%) {44%} [45%] (47%) / 48% {49%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (41%) {-1%} 
• Josh Mandel 46% {49%} [45%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (42%) / 49% {48%} [46%] (49%) {46%} [45%] (44%) {-3%} 

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted November 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 28, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters have already voted, and Brown leads 58% to 38% among this group.

Among the 96% of the state’s likely voters who say they are certain to vote in this election, Mandel leads by one – 48% to 47%.

Mandel leads by five among male voters but trails by five among female voters. Brown is ahead by six points among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.