Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (49%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Rand Paul (R) 42%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 41% (31%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (42%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (31%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Rand Paul (R) 41%
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 46% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (44%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44% (41%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (55%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (35%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (57%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Rand Paul (R) 38%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 49% / 45% {+4%}
  • Chris Christie 36% / 38% {-2%}
  • Rand Paul 32% / 34% {-2%}
  • Jeb Bush 32% / 40% {-8%}
  • Ted Cruz 23% / 31% {-8%}
National survey of 1,012 registered voters was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (40%) Democrat; 38% (34%) Republican; 20% (23%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 69% (68%)
  • Joe Biden 14% (12%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 6% (7%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% (4%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%)
National survey of 395 registered Democrats was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Chris Christie 15% (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% (12%)
  • Rand Paul 14% (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 8% (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (6%)
  • Rick Santorum 5% (3%)
  • Rick Perry 5% (3%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2%
National survey of 384 registered Republicans was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Hillary Clinton

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Hillary Clinton

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Hillary Clinton?  
  • Very favorable 27% [33%] (27%) {29%} [27%] (25%)
  • Somewhat favorable 24% [23%] (26%) {33%} [31%] (34%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 15% [18%] (20%) {19%} [17%] (20%)
  • Very unfavorable 29% [22%] (22%) {18%} [21%] (16%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 51% [56%] (53%) {62%} [58%] (59%) / 44% [40%] (42%) {37%} [38%] (36%) {+7%}
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 20-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Charlie Crist (D) 46%
  • Rick Scott (R) 41%
  • Some other candidate 7%
  • Undecided 6%
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (D) 80%
  • Rick Scott (R) 13%
  • Some other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 4%
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 71%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 14%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 6%
Among Independents
  • Rick Scott (R) 43%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 40%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 7%
Among Moderates
  • Charlie Crist (D) 57%
  • Rick Scott (R) 33%
  • Some other candidate 5%
  • Undecided 5%
Among Men
  • Charlie Crist (D) 47%
  • Rick Scott (R) 41%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 4%
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 46%
  • Rick Scott (R) 42%
  • Some other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 7%
Survey of 502 likely voters was conducted April 10-14, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent. Ideology: 45% Moderate; 32% Conservative; 20% Liberal.

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [52%] {56%} [53%]
  • Paul Ryan (R) 43% [44%] {40%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [55%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [56%] {57%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39% [39%] {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [58%] {52%} [50%] (52%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 38% [37%] {42%} [38%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Hillary Clinton 52% [52%] (51%) / 43% [43%] (39%) {+9%}
    • Joe Scarborough 14% / 21% {-7%}
    • Chris Christie 36% [33%] (29%) / 44% [46%] (32%) {-8%
    • Jeb Bush 31% / 42% {-11%}
    National survey of 1,036 registered voters was conducted April 7-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [34%] (34%) {31%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 26% [27%] (25%) {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 41% [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

    McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
    • Mike Huckabee 13% (13%)
    • Jeb Bush 13% (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
    • Chris Christie 12% (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
    • Rand Paul 12% (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
    • Paul Ryan 12% (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
    • Marco Rubio 7% (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
    • Scott Walker 5% (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
    • Ted Cruz 4% (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
    • Bobby Jindal 4% {3%} (1%) 
    • Rick Santorum 3% (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
    • Rick Perry 3% (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
    • John Kasich 0% (1%)
    • Undecided 14% (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)
    Among Republicans
    • Chris Christie 14% (13%) {17%} [17%]
    • Jeb Bush 14% (11%) {9%} [11%]
    • Mike Huckabee 13% (15%)
    • Paul Ryan 12% (8%) {12%} [13%]
    • Rand Paul 8% (7%) {10%} [8%]
    • Marco Rubio 7% (12%) {5%} [5%]
    • Scott Walker 4% (5%) {3%} [5%]
    • Rick Perry 4% (3%) {7%} [2%]
    • Ted Cruz 3% (5%) {5%} [10%]
    • Bobby Jindal 3% {2%}
    • Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {7%} [4%]
    • John Kasich 1% (1%)
    • Undecided 16% (13%) {24%} [16%]
    Among Independents
    • Rand Paul 19% (14%) {8%} [20%
    • Mike Huckabee 12% (9%)
    • Paul Ryan 12% (11%) {13%} [8%]
    • Jeb Bush 11% (4%) {6%} [9%] 
    • Chris Christie 8% (14%) {14%} [20%]
    • Marco Rubio 8% (11%) {10%} [9%]
    • Scott Walker 7% (8%) {5%} [3%]
    • Ted Cruz 5% (5%) {6%} [11%]
    • Rick Santorum 5% (2%) {3%} [3%]
    • Bobby Jindal 4% {4%}
    • Rick Perry 0% (0%) {4%} [3%] 
    • John Kasich 0% (1%)
    • Undecided 9% (10%) {26%} [8%]
    Among Men
    • Jeb Bush 14% (6%) {7%} [10%] (14%)
    • Rand Paul 14% (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%)
    • Paul Ryan 11% (10%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
    • Mike Huckabee 11% (10%)
    • Chris Christie 10% (13%) {19%} [20%] (17%)
    • Scott Walker 6% (10%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
    • Marco Rubio 5% (11%) {9%} [6%] (16%)
    • Ted Cruz 4% (6%) {6%} [12%] (7%) 
    • Bobby Jindal 4% {3%} (1%)
    • Rick Santorum 4% (2%) {6%} [1%] (1%)
    • Rick Perry 1% (3%) {6%} [4%] (6%)
    • John Kasich 1% (1%)
    • Undecided 13% (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%)
    Among Women
    • Chris Christie 14% (14%) {13%} [16%] (13%)
    • Mike Huckabee 14% (16%)
    • Paul Ryan 12% (7%) {13%} [13%] (14%
    • Jeb Bush 11% (11%) {9%} [10%] (6%)
    • Rand Paul 10% (7%) {7%} [9%] (8%)
    • Marco Rubio 9% (13%) {5%} [8%] (8%)  
    • Rick Perry 4% (1%) {6%} [1%] (2%)
    • Bobby Jindal 4% {3%} (1%)
    • Scott Walker 3% (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
    • Ted Cruz 3% (3%) {5%} [9%] (6%)
    • Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {5%} [6%] (4%)
    • John Kasich 0% (1%) 
    • Undecided 14% (14%) {33%} [15%] (34%)
    Survey of 416 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted April 7-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 63% (64%) {65%} [62%] (65%) Republican; 37% (36%) {35%} [38%] (35%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Mitchell Research Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

    Mitchell Research Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
    • Terri Lynn Land (R) 44% (32%)
    • Gary Peters (D) 38% (33%)
    • Undecided 18% (35%)
    Survey of 1,460 likely voters was conducted April 9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.56 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% (41%) Democrat; 36% (37%) Republican; 19% (17%) Independent; 7% (5%) Another party. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

    Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
    • Mike Huckabee 14.7%
    • Jeb Bush 10.7%
    • Rand Paul 8.5%
    • Paul Ryan 8.3%
    • Chris Christie 8.0%
    • Ted Cruz 6.2%
    • Marco Rubio 4.7%
    • Rick Santorum 4.7%
    • Scott Walker 4.7%
    • Rick Perry 3.0%
    • John Kasich 0.7%
    • Other 0.7%
    • Undecided 23.8%
    Survey of 600 likely Iowa GOP primary voters was conducted April 7-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

    PPP (D) Texas 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Greg Abbott (R) 51% [50%] (48%) {46%}
    • Wendy Davis (D) 37% [35%] (40%) {34%}
    • Not sure 13% [15%] (12%) {20%} 
    Among Men
    • Greg Abbott (R) 53% [57%] (50%) {52%}
    • Wendy Davis (D) 32%  [34%] (37%) {30%}
    • Not sure 15% [10%] (13%) {18%}
    Among Women
    • Greg Abbott (R) 49% [43%] (47%) {42%}
    • Wendy Davis (D) 41%  [37%] (42%) {37%}
    • Not sure 11% [20%] (11%) {21%}
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Greg Abbott 40% [35%] (32%) {33%} / 27% [32%] (26%) {24%} {+13%}
    • Wendy Davis 33% [36%] (39%) {15%} / 47% [42%] (29%) {19%} {-14%}
    Survey of 559 registered voters was conducted April 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 44% [42%] (38%) {43%} Republican; 32% [35%] (34%) {32%} Democrat; 24% [24%] (28%) {25%} Independent/Other.  Ideology: 29% [26%] (21%) {22%} Somewhat conservative; 23% [25%] (28%) {25%} Very conservative; 23% [26%] (26%) {30%} Moderate; 17% [14%] (16%) {15%} Somewhat liberal; 8% [8%] (10%) {8%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 24-27, 2013 are in curly brackets.

    Monday, April 14, 2014

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

    Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Bruce Rauner (R) 43%
    • Pat Quinn (D) 40%
    • Some other candidate 6% 
    • Undecided 10% 
    Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted April 9-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

    Friday, April 11, 2014

    Poll Watch: Marketing Resource Group (R) Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

    MRG (R) Michigan 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
    • Chris Christie (R) 38%
    • Unsure 18%
    Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted March 24-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 31% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36.5% Independent; 3% Other.

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2014 Senatorial Survey

    • Dick Durbin (D) 51%
    • Jim Oberweis (R) 37%
    • Some other candidate 3%
    • Undecided 10%
    Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted April 9-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

    Thursday, April 10, 2014

    Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

    UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
    • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 45% (47%) 
    • Scott Brown (R) 39% (37%)
    • Other 2% (3%)
    • Don't know/Undecided 14% (14%)
    Survey of 387 likely voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

    PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 44% {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 44% {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
    • Rand Paul (R) 43% {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {49%} [48%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {42%} [43%]
    Among Independents
    • Jeb Bush (R) 45% {38%} [35%] (41%) {44%} [41%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {46%} [50%] (36%) {37%} [40%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 45% {38%} [33%] (39%) {50%} [46%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {39%} [47%] (33%) {31%} [31%]
    • Rand Paul (R) 44% {40%} [39%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (42%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% {48%} [49%] (34%) {42%} [42%] (48%)
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% {34%} [36%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {48%} [52%]
    Among Moderates
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% [58%] (58%) {59%} [61%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 29% [25%] (25%) {30%} [26%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% [54%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 31% [31%] (32%) {32%} [36%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% [58%] (60%) {62%} [63%] (65%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 26% [29%] (25%) {25%} [26%] (25%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% [60%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 28% [25%]
    Among Men
    • Jeb Bush (R) 50% {49%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [46%] 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {42%} [45%] (41%) {38%} [42%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 47% {48%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [51%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {40%} [41%] (37%) {35%} [37%]
    • Rand Paul (R) 48% {49%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [46%] (47%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {43%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (46%)
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 47% {44%} [46%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {47%} [47%]
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {50%} [49%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 39% {43%} [41%] (38%) {39%} [40%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {52%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [47%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 42% {37%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [42%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {55%} [49%] (49%) {53%} [54%] (57%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 39% {38%} [41%] (38%) {38%} [38%] (35%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {52%} [50%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% {41%} [41%]
    Among Whites
    • Jeb Bush (R) 55% {57%} [54%] (55%) {58%} [53%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [37%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 54% {51%} [50%] (53%) {57%} [56%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {36%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [33%]
    • Rand Paul (R) 54% {54%} [54%] (56%) {54%} [51%] (51%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {38%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 53% {53%} [54%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {37%} [38%]
    Among Blacks
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 77% {86%} [82%] (86%) {81%} [81%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 8% {9%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [13%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 78% {80%} [78%] (79%) {81%} [77%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 13% {14%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [17%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% {87%} [82%] (84%) {83%} [86%] (87%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 10% {11%} [10%] (5%) {12%} [11%] (8%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% {89%} [82%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 10% {9%} [9%]
    Survey of 740 North Carolina voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 42% {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 36% {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 22% {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% {53%} [53%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) Women; 47% {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (43%) Men. Race: 74% {74%} [75%] (73%) {73%} [73%] (72%) White; 20% {20%} [20%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (22%) Black; 6% {6%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
    • Mike Huckabee 22% {19%} [20%] (15%)
    • Jeb Bush 18% {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
    • Chris Christie 12% {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
    • Ted Cruz 12% {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
    • Paul Ryan 9% {4%} [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
    • Rand Paul 9% {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
    • Scott Walker 7% {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
    • Marco Rubio 5% {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%
    • Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 6% {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)
    Among Men
    • Mike Huckabee 19% {15%} [15%] (14%)
    • Ted Cruz 16% {16%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%]
    • Jeb Bush 15% {13%} [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%) 
    • Chris Christie 12% {16%} [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
    • Scott Walker 10% {7%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [1%]
    • Paul Ryan 8% {3%} [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%) 
    • Rand Paul 8% {13%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
    • Marco Rubio 6% {3%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
    • Bobby Jindal 1% {2%} [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 4% {12%} [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)
    Among Women
    • Mike Huckabee 24% {24%} [25%] (16%)
    • Jeb Bush 21% {11%} [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
    • Chris Christie 12% {13%} [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
    • Rand Paul 11% {10%} [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
    • Paul Ryan 9% {5%} [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)  
    • Ted Cruz 7% {11%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%]
    • Marco Rubio 5% {7%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
    • Scott Walker 3% {5%} [2%] (1%) {4%} [0%]
    • Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 7% {14%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)
    Survey of 314 Republican primary voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 32% {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 21% {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 6% {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

    Magellan Strategies (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
    • Steve Daines (R) 49%
    • John Walsh (D) 36%
    • Roger Roots (L) 4%
    • Some other candidate 5%
    • Undecided 6%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Steve Daines 53% / 33% {+20%}
    • John Walsh 47% / 29% {+18%}
    Survey of 2,490 likely voters was conducted April 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 1.96 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Republican; 27% Democrat; 38% Something else.

    Wednesday, April 09, 2014

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%} [44%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 37% {40%} [38%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {48%} [55%]
    • Rand Paul (R) 39% {39%} [35%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {46%} [51%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 38% {42%} [37%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 38%
      Among Independents
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {29%} [28%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 34% {42%} [43%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {36%} [43%]
      • Rand Paul (R) 37% {45%} [43%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {34%} [39%]
        • Jeb Bush (R) 32% {45%} [40%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 34%
          Among Moderates
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {47%} [52%]
          • Chris Christie (R) 31% {32%} [29%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% {61%} [71%]
          • Rand Paul (R) 24% {23%} [20%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {59%} [59%]
          • Jeb Bush (R) 28% {29%} [28%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 27%
            Among Men
            • Chris Christie (R) 41% {48%} [43%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {34%} [40%]
            • Rand Paul (R) 48% {49%} [42%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {38%} [49%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {52%} [43%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {35%} [45%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
              Among Women 
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {50%} [49%]
              • Chris Christie (R) 32% {32%} [34%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {56%} [62%]
              • Rand Paul (R) 31% {31%} [27%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {56%} [57%]
              • Jeb Bush (R) 35% {34%} [31%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 34%
                Survey of 825 registered voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {35%} [36%] Democrat; 30% {30%} [29%] Republican; 35% {35%} [35%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% {31%} [33%] Moderate; 26% {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 19% {17%} [18%] Somewhat liberal; 14% {14%} [13%] Very conservative; 12% {12%} [11%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013 are in square brackets.

                Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                PPP (D) Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Rand Paul 16% [18%] (18%)
                • Chris Christie 15% [16%] (15%)
                • Mike Huckabee 15%
                • Ted Cruz 11% [15%] (7%)
                • Jeb Bush 9% [10%] (16%)
                • Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (12%)
                • Scott Walker 5% [5%]
                • Marco Rubio 4% [8%] (11%)
                • Bobby Jindal 3% [4%] (4%)
                • Someone else/Not sure 17% [14%] (10%)
                Among Men
                • Rand Paul 17% [21%] (17%)
                • Chris Christie 15% [20%] (14%)
                • Ted Cruz 14% [14%] (7%)
                • Mike Huckabee 10%
                • Scott Walker 8% [6%]
                • Jeb Bush 8% [10%] (16%)
                • Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (14%)
                • Bobby Jindal 4% [4%] (3%)
                • Marco Rubio 2% [9%] (9%)
                • Someone else/Not sure 17% [7%] (12%)
                Among Women
                • Mike Huckabee 21%
                • Chris Christie 14% [13%] (16%)
                • Rand Paul 14% [14%] (18%)
                • Jeb Bush 10% [10%] (17%)
                • Ted Cruz 8% [16%] (7%)
                • Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (10%)
                • Marco Rubio 5% [8%] (13%)
                • Scott Walker 2% [5%]
                • Bobby Jindal 2% [3%] (5%)
                • Someone else/Not sure 18% [22%] (9%)
                Survey of 334 Republican primary voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% [39%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 29% [33%] (29%) Very conservative; 20% [20%] (25%) Moderate; 5% [5%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

                Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
                • Hillary Clinton 62.96%
                • Elizabeth Warren 11.85%
                • Joe Biden 9.63% 
                • Mark Warner 1.48%
                • Andrew Cuomo 0.74%
                • Deval Patrick 0.74%
                • Cory Booker 0.00%
                • Undecided 11.85%
                Survey of 135 Democratic caucus-goers was conducted April 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 8.4 percentage points.