Monday, February 28, 2011

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Mitt Romney (R) 46%
  • Barack Obama (D) 41%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 43% / 28% {+15%}
  • Barack Obama 50% / 43% {+7%}
Based on your personal experience or what you know or have heard or read, do you support or oppose the efforts of the Tea Party movement?
  • Support 37%
  • Oppose 40%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted February 12-17, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa Republican Survey on Sarah Palin

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa GOP Poll on Sarah Palin


Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Sarah Palin 65% (58%) [71%] / 30% (39%) [23%] {+35%}
Survey of 189 likely Republican voters was conducted February 13-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 7.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 1-3, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2009 are in square brackets.

Sunday, February 27, 2011

Chris Christie on Face the Nation

Part 1



Part 2



Gov. Christie: Pension reform is the only way to solve our long-term fiscal problems
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie addresses the legislature in his February 21st budget speech.



Newark Star-Ledger: Experts say Gov. Christie is making all the right moves for a place on national stage

CBS News: Christie: Collective bargaining rights not a given
N.J. Gov says collective bargaining rights are granted to workers by lawmakers, and differ from state to state

Politico: Christie supports 'adversarial' collective bargaining

Washington Post: Chris Christie: Collective bargaining rights 'didn't come down from tablets on top of the mountain'

Bloomberg News: Christie Urges U.S. Politicians to Discuss Cutting Entitlements

The Hill: Christie: Palin needs 'unscripted moments' to prove she's serious

The Daily Caller: Chris Christie offers 2012 advice to Sarah Palin: Give the people ‘unguarded moments’

New York Daily News: New Jersey governor Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee stand up for Michelle Obama in food fight

Wall Street Journal: Republicans Defend First Lady’s Obesity Efforts

AP: NJ gov compliments first lady's health efforts

Newark Star-Ledger: Christie talks unions, national fitness on 'Face the Nation'

National Review: Chris Christie, Round Two
He’s tackling problems that are truly national.

Daily Racing Form: New Jersey governor wants to lease out Monmouth Park for 2011 meet

Friday, February 25, 2011

Mike Huckabee on Morning Joe


Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy


BONUS VIDEO: FOX NEWSGov. Huckabee joins Tom Sullivan to discuss the fight over state budgets, our massive entitlements and his new book "A Simple Government"

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Survey
  • Mike Huckabee 18% [16%] [(12%)
  • Mitt Romney 16% [19%] (19%)
  • Sarah Palin 16% [16%] (16%)
  • Newt Gingrich 9% [13%] (9%)
  • Ron Paul 5% [6%] (7%)
  • Michele Bachmann 4%
  • Tim Pawlenty 3% [4%] (3%)
  • Haley Barbour 3% [4%] (3%)
  • Mitch Daniels 3% [1%] (2%)
  • Rick Santorum 2% [1%] (2%)
  • Jon Huntsman 1%
  • Chris Christie (vol.) 1% [1%] (1%)
  • Mike Pence (vol.) 1% [1%] (1%)
  • Gary Johnson 1% [1%] (1%)
  • John Thune 1% [2%] (2%)
  • Other 3% [2%] (4%)
  • None/No opinion 14% [14%] (19%)
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 21% [17%] (15%)
  • Mitt Romney 15% [18%] (19%)
  • Sarah Palin 15% [16%] (16%)
  • Newt Gingrich 11% [14%] (10%)
Among Liberals/Moderates
  • Sarah Palin 20% [14%] (15%)
  • Mitt Romney 19% [21%] (21%)
  • Mike Huckabee 12% [12%] (5%)
  • Newt Gingrich 5% [9%] (6%)
Among College Graduates
  • Mitt Romney 22%
  • Mike Huckabee 14%
  • Newt Gingrich 11%
  • Sarah Palin 8%
Among Non-college Graduates
  • Sarah Palin 21%
  • Mike Huckabee 20%
  • Mitt Romney 13%
  • Newt Gingrich 8%
$90,000+ Annual Income 
  • Mitt Romney 20%
  • Mike Huckabee 17%
  • Newt Gingrich 8%
  • Sarah Palin 8%
Less Than $90,000 Annual Income
  • Sarah Palin 20%
  • Mike Huckabee 18%
  • Mitt Romney 15%
  • Newt Gingrich 9%
Age 18-49
  • Mike Huckabee 19%
  • Sarah Palin 18%
  • Mitt Romney 12%
  • Newt Gingrich 8%
Age 50+
  • Mitt Romney 21%
  • Mike Huckabee 17%
  • Sarah Palin 15%
  • Newt Gingrich 10%
When you think about politics, which of the following sets of issues is most important to you?
  • Government spending and power 35%
  • Business and the economy 31%
  • Social issues and moral values 17%
  • National security and foreign policy 15%
Among those who say government spending and power are most important issues
  • Mike Huckabee 18%
  • Mitt Romney 17%
  • Newt Gingrich 13%
  • Sarah Palin 11%
Among those who say business and the economy are most important issues
  • Mitt Romney 20%
  • Sarah Palin 17%
  • Mike Huckabee 13%
  • Newt Gingrich 8%
Among those who say social issues and moral values are most important issues
  • Mike Huckabee 28%
  • Sarah Palin 19%
  • Mitt Romney 7%
  • Newt Gingrich 6%
Among those who say national security and foreign policy are most important issues
  • Sarah Palin 22%
  • Mike Huckabee 20%
  • Mitt Romney 17%
  • Newt Gingrich 9%
Survey of 1,326 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted February 18-20, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-14, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-26, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Mike Huckabee 47% {45%} [46%] (48%)
  • Barack Obama 46% {49%} [45%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 47% {47%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {44%} [43%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 48% {50%} [48%] (46%)
  • Newt Gingrich 44% {44%} [42%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 51% {50%} [52%] (48%)
  • Sarah Palin 41% {41%} [38%] (43%)
Among Independents
  • Mike Huckabee 45% {40%} [47%] (46%)
  • Barack Obama 40% {51%} [37%] (37%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% {39%} [37%] (50%)
  • Barack Obama 41% {44%} [44%] (37%)
  • Barack Obama 45% {49%} [41%] (39%)
  • Newt Gingrich 38% {42%} [38%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 54% {48%} [51%] (42%)
  • Sarah Palin 33% {32%} [33%] (46%)
    Among Men
    • Mike Huckabee 52% {49%} [51%] (55%)
    • Barack Obama 44% {45%} [38%] (36%)
    • Mitt Romney 49% {45%} [49%] (52%)
    • Barack Obama 44% {43%} [39%] (37%)
    • Newt Gingrich 49% {47%} [45%] (55%)
    • Barack Obama 44% {45%} [44%] (38%)
    • Barack Obama 49% {46%} [46%] (39%)
    • Sarah Palin 43% {42%} [44%] (51%)
    Among Women
    • Barack Obama 48% {53%} [50%] (50%)
    • Mike Huckabee 43% {41%} [42%] (41%)
    • Barack Obama 50% {51%} [53%] (50%)
    • Mitt Romney 39% {42%} [39%] (37%)
    • Barack Obama 51% {53%} [52%] (53%)
    • Newt Gingrich 40% {41%} [39%] (37%)
    • Barack Obama 54% {53%} [56%] (55%)
    • Sarah Palin 38% {40%} [33%] (35%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Mike Huckabee 43% {42%} [43%] (44%) / 34% {32%} [34%] (31%) {+9%}
    • Mitt Romney 37% {33%} [34%] (33%) / 39% {36%} [39%] (38%) {-2%}
    • Newt Gingrich 30% {34%} [35%] (34%) / 48% {45%} [47%] (43%) {-18%}
    • Sarah Palin 37% {39%} [36%] (36%) / 57% {55%} [57%] (55%) {-20%}
    Among Republicans
    • Mike Huckabee 67% {69%} [72%] (67%) / 15% {11%} [15%] (11%) {+52%}
    • Sarah Palin 71% {73%} [68%] (62%) / 23% {17%} [24%] (24%) {+48%}
    • Newt Gingrich 55% {54%} [65%] (56%) / 23% {19%} [23%] (20%) {+32%}
    • Mitt Romney 48% {51%} [57%] (44%) / 25% {20%} [21%] (22%) {+23%}
    Among Independents
    • Mike Huckabee 46% {39%} [39%] (51%) / 32% {41%} [31%] (26%) {+14%}
    • Mitt Romney 45% {35%} [30%] (46%) / 36% {43%} [39%] (32%) {+9%}
    • Newt Gingrich 29% {34%} [34%] (33%) / 54% {51%} [43%] (41%) {-25%}
    • Sarah Palin 32% {29%} [36%] (38%) / 62% {64%} [52%] (50%) {-30%}
      Among Men
      • Mitt Romney 45% {37%} [36%] (39%) / 40% {36%} [47%] (39%) {+5%}
      • Mike Huckabee 45% {44%} [49%] (47%) / 41% {34%} [40%] (31%) {+4%}
      • Newt Gingrich 37% {38%} [40%] (43%) / 50% {46%} [50%] (41%) {-13%}
      • Sarah Palin 41% {38%} [42%] (42%) / 54% {54%} [54%] (50%) {-16%}
      Among Women
      • Mike Huckabee 40% {41%} [38%] (41%) / 28% {31%} [28%] (31%) {+12%}
      • Mitt Romney 29% {31%} [32%] (29%) / 38% {36%} [32%] (38%) {-9%}
      • Newt Gingrich 24% {31%} [31%] (26%) / 46% {44%} [45%] (45%) {-22%}
      • Sarah Palin 34% {39%} [31%] (30%) / 60% {55%} [60%] (60%) {-26%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
      • Approve 47% {49%} [46%] (45%)
      • Disapprove 48% {47%} [49%] (51%)
      Survey of 650 North Carolina voters was conducted February 16-21, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 45% {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 37% {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 18% {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.

      PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Surveys -- Net Favorability Among Men & Women


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      PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Surveys -- Net Favorability Among Democratic Voters


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      Tuesday, February 22, 2011

      PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Surveys -- Net Favorability Among Republican Voters


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      PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Surveys -- Net Favorability Among Moderate Voters


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      Poll Watch: Newsweek/Daily Beast 2012 Presidential Survey

      Newsweek/Daily Beast 2012 Presidential Survey

      Republican Nomination
      • Mitt Romney 19%
      • Mike Huckabee 18%
      • Sarah Palin 10%
      • Donald Trump 8%
      • Newt Gingrich 7%
      • Tim Pawlenty 5%
      • Haley Barbour 1%
      • Mitch Daniels 1%
      • Jon Huntsman 1%
      • Not sure 31%
      General Election
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 46%
      • Barack Obama (D) 46%
      • Barack Obama (D) 49%
      • Mitt Romney (R) 47%
      • Barack Obama (D) 43%
      • Donald Trump (R) 41%
      • Barack Obama (D) 51%
      • Sarah Palin (R) 40%
      Three-Way Race
      • Barack Obama (D) 44%
      • Mitt Romney (R) 38%
      • Donald Trump (I) 8%
      • Barack Obama (D) 44%
      • Sarah Palin (R) 21%
      • Donald Trump (I) 20%
      President Obama Job Approval
      • Approve 50%
      • Disapprove 44%
      National survey of 918 likely voters was conducted February 12-15, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

      PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Surveys -- Net Favorability Among Independent Voters


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      Sunday, February 20, 2011

      Poll Watch: Rudy Giuliani Remains Israeli Panel's Favorite Potential 2012 Presidential Candidate

      Shmuel Rosner of The Jerusalem Post reports:
      The Israel Factor 2012 favorites are, by this order: Giuliani, Gingrich, Romney, Huckabee, Bolton, Bush, Barbour, Rubio. Thune and Pawlenty are both tied with Obama at 6.

      Click on Images to Enlarge

      Thursday, February 17, 2011

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Qualifications Survey

      PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Qualifications Survey 


      Do you think Mitt Romney is most qualified to be President or Vice President?
      • President 30%
      • Vice president 20%
      Among Republicans
      • President 45%
      • Vice president 24%
      Among Democrats
      • President 13%
      • Vice president 16%
      Among Independents
      • President 37%
      • Vice president 19%
      Among Moderates
      • President 22%
      • Vice president 17%
      Among Men
      • President 35%
      • Vice president 18%
      Among Women
      • President 25%
      • Vice president 21%
      Do you think Mike Huckabee is most qualified to be President or Vice President?
      • President 22%
      • Vice president 27%
      Among Republicans
      • President 38%
      • Vice president 30%
      Among Democrats
      • President 8%
      • Vice president 21%
      Among Independents
      • President 21%
      • Vice president 32%
      Among Moderates
      • President 13%
      • Vice president 27%
      Among Men
      • President 24%
      • Vice president 30%
      Among Women
      • President 20%
      • Vice president 23%
      Do you think Newt Gingrich is most qualified to be President or Vice President?
      • President 16%
      • Vice president 27%
      Among Republicans
      • President 29%
      • Vice president 37%
      Among Democrats
      • President 4%
      • Vice president 18%
      Among Independents
      • President 15%
      • Vice president 28%
      Among Moderates
      • President 6%
      • Vice president 28%
      Among Men
      • President 19%
      • Vice president 29%
      Among Women
      • President 12%
      • Vice president 25%
      Do you think Sarah Palin is most qualified to be President or Vice President?
      • President 16%
      • Vice president 32%
      Among Republicans
      • President 27%
      • Vice president 48%
      Among Democrats
      • President 7%
      • Vice president 16%
      Among Independents
      • President 13%
      • Vice president 34%
      Among Moderates
      • President 9%
      • Vice president 24%
      Among Men
      • President 20%
      • Vice president 33%
      Among Women
      • President 12%
      • Vice president 30%
      Survey of 600 registered American voters was conducted February 11-14, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% Democrat; 38% Republican; 20% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 18% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Tennessee 2012 Presidential Survey

      PPP (D) Tennessee 2012 Presidential Survey
      • Mike Huckabee 53%
      • Barack Obama 41%
      • Mitt Romney 48%
      • Barack Obama 41%
      • Newt Gingrich 46%
      • Barack Obama 43%
      • Barack Obama 45%
      • Sarah Palin 45%
        Among Republicans
        • Mike Huckabee 90%
        • Barack Obama 4%
        • Mitt Romney 83%
        • Barack Obama 4%
        • Newt Gingrich 84%
        • Barack Obama 5%
        • Sarah Palin 80%
        • Barack Obama 7%
        Among Democrats
        • Barack Obama 83%
        • Mike Huckabee 13%
        • Barack Obama 83%
        • Mitt Romney 12%
        • Barack Obama 86%
        • Newt Gingrich 9%
        • Barack Obama 88%
        • Sarah Palin 9%
        Among Independents
        • Mike Huckabee 51%
        • Barack Obama 40%
          • Mitt Romney 42%
          • Barack Obama 41%
          • Barack Obama 43%
          • Newt Gingrich 35%
          • Barack Obama 49%
          • Sarah Palin 38%
            Among Moderates
            • Barack Obama 61%
            • Mike Huckabee 32%
            • Barack Obama 60%
            • Mitt Romney 27%
            • Barack Obama 66%
            • Newt Gingrich 21%
            • Barack Obama 70%
            • Sarah Palin 22%
              Among Men
              • Mike Huckabee 61%
              • Barack Obama 35%
              • Mitt Romney 54%
              • Barack Obama 37%
              • Newt Gingrich 51%
              • Barack Obama 38%
              • Sarah Palin 51%
              • Barack Obama 41%
              Among Women
              • Mike Huckabee 47%
              • Barack Obama 45%
              • Barack Obama 44%
              • Mitt Romney 43%
              • Barack Obama 47%
              • Newt Gingrich 42%
              • Barack Obama 49%
              • Sarah Palin 41%
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Mike Huckabee 50% / 29% {+21%}
              • Mitt Romney 33% / 41% {-8%}
              • Sarah Palin 39% / 51% {-12%}
              • Newt Gingrich 30% / 49% {-19%}
                Among Republicans
                • Mike Huckabee 74% / 11% {+63%}
                • Sarah Palin 69% / 19% {+50%}
                • Newt Gingrich 50% / 26% {+24%}
                • Mitt Romney 45% / 30% {+15%}
                Among Democrats
                • Mike Huckabee 21% / 49% {-28%}
                • Mitt Romney 17% / 54% {-37%}
                • Newt Gingrich 11% / 70% {-59%}
                • Sarah Palin 9% / 83% {-74%}
                Among Independents
                • Mike Huckabee 55% / 28% {+27%}
                • Mitt Romney 36% / 40% {-4%}
                • Sarah Palin 33% / 58% {-25%}
                • Newt Gingrich 23% / 58% {-35%}
                  Among Moderates
                  • Mike Huckabee 30% / 39% {-9%}
                  • Mitt Romney 27% / 41% {-14%}
                  • Sarah Palin 23% / 70% {-47%}
                  • Newt Gingrich 12% / 64% {-52%}
                    Among Men
                    • Mike Huckabee 55% / 32% {+23%}
                    • Mitt Romney 37% / 46% {-9%}
                    • Sarah Palin 42% / 51% {-9%}
                    • Newt Gingrich 34% / 50% {-16%}
                    Among Women
                    • Mike Huckabee 46% / 26% {+20%}
                    • Mitt Romney 29% / 37% {-8%}
                    • Sarah Palin 37% / 51% {-14%}
                    • Newt Gingrich 27% / 48% {-21%}
                    Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
                    • Approve 42%
                    • Disapprove 52%
                        Survey of 500 Tennessee voters was conducted February 9-13, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% Republican; 37% Democrat; 20% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 25% Very conservative; 24% Somewhat conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.

                        Wednesday, February 16, 2011

                        Chris Christie: "It's Time to Do the Big Things"


                        Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Tennessee Republican Primary Survey

                        PPP (D) 2012 Tennessee GOP Primary Survey
                        • Mike Huckabee 31%
                        • Sarah Palin 17%
                        • Newt Gingrich 11%
                        • Mitt Romney 11%
                        • Ron Paul 10%
                        • Mitch Daniels 3%
                        • Tim Pawlenty 3% 
                        • John Thune 1%
                        • Someone else/Undecided 14%
                          Among Men
                          • Mike Huckabee 29%
                          • Ron Paul 16%
                          • Newt Gingrich 15%
                          • Sarah Palin 14%
                          • Mitt Romney 10%
                          • Mitch Daniels 4%
                          • Tim Pawlenty 1% 
                          • John Thune 1%
                          • Someone else/Undecided 9%
                          Among Women
                          • Mike Huckabee 33%
                          • Sarah Palin 19%
                          • Mitt Romney 12%
                          • Newt Gingrich 8%
                          • Ron Paul 4%
                          • Tim Pawlenty 4%
                          • Mitch Daniels 2%
                          • John Thune 0% 
                          • Someone else/Undecided 18%
                          Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                          • Mike Huckabee 74% / 13% {+61%}
                          • Sarah Palin 67% / 23% {+44%}
                          • Newt Gingrich 52% / 28% {+24%}
                          • Mitt Romney 47% / 30% {+17%}
                          Very Conservative (45%)
                          • Mike Huckabee 81% / 8% {+73%}
                          • Sarah Palin 80% / 14% {+66%}
                          • Newt Gingrich 68% / 13% {+55%}
                          • Mitt Romney 49% / 32% {+17%}
                          Somewhat Conservative (32%)
                          • Mike Huckabee 80% / 8% {+72%}
                          • Sarah Palin 62% / 24% {+38%}
                          • Mitt Romney 53% / 24% {+29%}
                          • Newt Gingrich 51% / 30% {+21%}
                          Moderate (18%)
                          • Mike Huckabee 52% / 26% {+26%}
                          • Mitt Romney 41% / 31% {+10%}
                          • Sarah Palin 42% / 44% {-2%}
                          • Newt Gingrich 24% / 53% {-29%}
                            Among Men (50%)
                            • Mike Huckabee 74% / 15% {+59%}
                            • Sarah Palin 63% / 25% {+38%}
                            • Newt Gingrich 56% / 29% {+27%}
                            • Mitt Romney 46% / 35% {+11%}
                            Among Women (50%)
                            • Mike Huckabee 74% / 10% {+64%}
                            • Sarah Palin 71% / 20% {+51%}
                            • Mitt Romney 49% / 26% {+23%}
                            • Newt Gingrich 48% / 27% {+21%}
                            Survey of 400 usual Tennessee Republican primary voters was conducted February 9-13, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 45% Very conservative; 32% Somewhat conservative; 18% Moderate; 4% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.

                            Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

                            PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey
                            • Barack Obama 47% [49%] (48%) {44%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [52%] (49%)
                            • Mike Huckabee 44% [44%] (45%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [39%] (42%)
                            • Barack Obama 46% [48%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {48%} [53%] (50%)
                            • Mitt Romney 41% [43%] (46%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [35%] (39%)
                            • Barack Obama 49% [51%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {47%} [49%] (45%) [49%] (50%) {49%} [53%] (52%)
                            • Newt Gingrich 40% [39%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {39%} [42%] (45%) [41%] (42%) {41%} [36%] (39%)
                            • Barack Obama 52% [55%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (46%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (52%) {53%} [52%] (51%) {52%} [56%] (53%) <55%>
                            • Sarah Palin 40% [38%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (45%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {44%} [43%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (41%) <35%>
                            • Barack Obama 48% {46%}
                            • Ron Paul 39% {36%}
                            • Barack Obama 48%
                            • Donald Trump 34%
                            • Barack Obama 50% {50%}
                            • Jeb Bush 36% {37%}
                            Among Independents
                            • Barack Obama 47% [47%] (46%) {38%} [46%] (40%) {36%} [42%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (38%) {49%} [49%] (43%) {46%} [42%] (44%) {40%} [55%] (53%)
                            • Mike Huckabee 42% [44%] (44%) {43%} [38%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (41%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {33%} [41%] (43%) {46%} [35%] (37%)
                            • Barack Obama 46% [43%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (35%) {33%} [41%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {46%} [41%] (42%) {35%} [55%] (52%)
                            • Mitt Romney 39% [46%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (48%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {37%} [42%] (40%) {35%} [41%] (43%) {42%} [30%] (35%)
                            • Barack Obama 50% [46%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (39%) {34%} [48%] (44%) [45%] (46%) {41%} [54%] (54%)
                            • Newt Gingrich 35% [40%] (44%) {37%} [36%] (50%) {42%} [34%] (40%) [38%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (38%)
                            • Barack Obama 58% [51%] (53%) {48%} [52%] (42%) {40%} [50%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (42%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {52%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [52%] (51%) <46%>
                            • Sarah Palin 34% [38%] (41%) {34%} [39%] (47%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {35%} [39%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (41%) {41%} [37%] (44%) <42%>
                            • Barack Obama 43% {28%}
                            • Ron Paul 37% {46%}
                            • Barack Obama 48%
                            • Donald Trump 31%
                            • Barack Obama 54% {51%}
                            • Jeb Bush 27% {32%}
                            Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Independent vote (29% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Independent vote.

                            Among Republicans
                            • Mike Huckabee 81% [80%] (87%) {84%} [86%] (85%) {81%} [84%] (86%) {82%} [81%] (82%) {83%} [87%] (79%) {77%} [80%] (76%) {79%} [74%] (77%)
                            • Barack Obama 8% [11%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [5%] (10%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
                            • Mitt Romney 77% [78%] (87%) {82%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [80%] (77%) {78%} [83%] (77%) {72%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [66%] (71%)
                            • Barack Obama 7% [12%] (9%) {7%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (9%) {8%} [6%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (18%) {19%} [18%] (16%)
                            • Newt Gingrich 77% [72%] (81%) {80%} [84%] (83%) {73%} [82%] (82%) [76%] (80%) {76%} [73%] (75%)
                            • Barack Obama 9% [14%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (6%) {11%} [10%] (6%) [13%] (11%) {16%} [16%] (14%)
                            • Sarah Palin 72% [69%] (79%) {81%} [81%] (81%) {78%} [81%] (85%) {82%} [78%] (77%) {80%} [84%] (77%) {70%} [74%] (79%) {72%} [65%] (71%) <66%>
                            • Barack Obama 12% [20%] (13%) {11%} [7%] (9%) {12%} [12%] (8%) {10%} [14%] (14%) {12%} [7%] (15%) {18%} [15%] (14%) {18%} [27%] (21%) <17%>
                            • Ron Paul 71% {64%}
                            • Barack Obama 10% {10%}
                            • Jeb Bush 69% {70%}
                            • Barack Obama 12% {16%}
                            • Donald Trump 60%
                            • Barack Obama 12%
                            Note: In 2008, John McCain received 90% of the Republican vote (32% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 93% of the Republican vote.

                            Among Democrats
                            • Barack Obama 82% [86%] (83%) {79%} [83%] (82%) {81%} [80%] (84%) {76%} [78%] (82%) {77%} [84%] (79%) {78%} [80%] (81%) {81%} [81%] (77%)
                            • Mike Huckabee 12% [10%] (11%) {17%} [11%] (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {16%} [12%] (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%) {15%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (17%)
                            • Barack Obama 82% [86%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (80%) {82%} [80%] (86%) {76%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [86%] (82%) {78%} [81%] (77%) {79%} [81%] (77%)
                            • Mitt Romney 10% [8%] (12%) {12%} [9%] (14%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [13%] (7%) {14%} [11%] (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (14%)
                            • Barack Obama 86% [89%] (84%) {83%} [85%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (87%) {78%} [81%] (88%) {82%} [89%] (86%) {83%} [84%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (81%) <89%>
                            • Sarah Palin 13% [9%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (14%) {11%} [15%] (10%) {14%} [15%] (8%) {15%} [10%] (12%) {13%} [10%] (15%) {15%} [14%] (15%) <7%>
                            • Barack Obama 86% [88%] (84%) {81%} [86%] (83%) {83%} [82%] (86%) [82%] (84%)
                            • Newt Gingrich 8% [8%] (10%) {15%} [8%] (12%) {10%} [12%] (11%) [12%] (12%)
                            • Barack Obama 82%
                            • Donald Trump 11%
                            • Barack Obama 84% {79%}
                            • Jeb Bush 10% {13%}
                            • Barack Obama 86% {85%}
                            • Ron Paul 10% {9%}
                            Note: In 2008, John McCain received 10% of the Democratic vote (39% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 11% of the Democratic vote.

                            Among Moderates
                            • Barack Obama 63% [64%] (62%) {57%} [59%] (61%) {61%} [61%] (64%) {59%} [57%] (61%) {63%} [62%] (61%) {58%} [56%] (58%) {64%} [66%] (65%)
                            • Mike Huckabee 26% [25%] (28%) {31%} [29%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (26%) {30%} [30%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (32%) {28%} [25%] (26%)
                            • Barack Obama 63% [62%] (60%) {59%} [55%] (55%) {58%} [59%] (62%) {55%} [54%] (58%) {65%} [59%] (60%) {57%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [64%] (63%)
                            • Mitt Romney 21% [28%] (33%) {31%} [29%] (33%) {26%} [30%] (27%) {31%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [31%] (28%) {30%} [30%] (32%) {28%} [24%] (26%)
                            • Barack Obama 68% [66%] (64%) {62%} [62%] (58%) {61%} [65%] (66%) [60%] (61%)
                            • Newt Gingrich 19% [22%] (26%) {28%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [25%] (25%) [28%] (30%)
                            • Barack Obama 72% [73%] (70%) {65%} [62%] (62%) {66%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [63%] (66%) {69%} [65%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (62%) {68%} [71%] (65%)
                            • Sarah Palin 21% [20%] (22%) {25%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (24%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {23%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [22%] (30%)
                            • Barack Obama 61%
                            • Donald Trump 22%
                            • Barack Obama 64% {61%}  
                            • Ron Paul 19% {24%}
                            • Barack Obama 67% {63%}
                            • Jeb Bush 18% {23%}
                            Note: In 2008, John McCain received 39% of the Moderate vote (44% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 45% of the Moderate vote.

                            Among Men
                            • Mitt Romney 47% [46%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [38%] (44%)
                            • Barack Obama 42% [44%] (43%) {40%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (46%) {39%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (46%) {44%} [44%] (46%{46%} [49%] (49%)
                            • Mike Huckabee 49% [46%] (52%) {52%} [48%] (44%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [44%] (47%) {52%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [41%] (47%)
                            • Barack Obama 45% [45%] (43%) {38%} [43%] (48%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {41%} [46%] (44%) {42%} [49%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {45%} [50%] (46%)
                            • Barack Obama 45% [45%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [48%] (46%) [45%] (44%) {46%} [50%] (48%)
                            • Newt Gingrich 44% [44%] (50%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (46%) [46%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (44%)
                            • Barack Obama 47% [48%] (46%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [50%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (50%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [53%] (49%) <45%>
                            • Sarah Palin 46% [43%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [44%] (42%) {48%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (47%) {44%} [41%] (47%) <43%>
                            • Barack Obama 43% {43%}
                            • Ron Paul 43% {41%}
                            • Barack Obama 46% {48%}
                            • Jeb Bush 42% {42%}
                            • Barack Obama 44%
                            • Donald Trump 39%
                            Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Male vote (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 55% of the Male vote.

                            Among Women
                            • Barack Obama 49% [55%] (53%) {49%} [51%] (42%) {48%} [48%] (45%) {50%} [46%] (44%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {50%} [50%] (53%) {54%} [54%] (52%)
                            • Mike Huckabee 40% [41%] (40%) {43%} [41%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (46%) {38%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (36%) {37%} [36%] (37%)
                            • Barack Obama 51% [54%] (51%) {50%} [50%] (42%) {48%} [47%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {52%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [56%] (52%)
                            • Mitt Romney 36% [39%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (48%) {39%} [41%] (44%) {39%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [44%] (36%) {34%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [31%] (34%)
                            • Barack Obama 53% [57%] (54%) {52%} [52%] (43%) {50%} [49%] (45%) [53%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (56%)
                            • Newt Gingrich 36% [34%] (37%) {38%} [38%] (47%) {35%} [39%] (43%) [35%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (33%)
                            • Barack Obama 56% [62%] (56%) {53%} [55%] (44%) {52%} [52%] (46%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [51%] (54%) {55%} [56%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (56%) <65%>
                            • Sarah Palin 33% [32%] (36%) {40%} [40%] (47%) {38%} [41%] (45%) {35%} [41%] (41%) {41%} [45%] (37%) {36%} [35%] (40%) {36%} [34%] (36%) <26%>
                            • Barack Obama 53% {50%}
                            • Ron Paul 34% {31%}
                            • Barack Obama 53%
                            • Donald Trump 29%
                            • Barack Obama 55% {52%}
                            • Jeb Bush 30% {34%}
                            Note: In 2008, John McCain received 43% of the Female vote (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Female vote.


                            If George W. Bush was allowed to seek another term as President next year and the candidates were him and Barack Obama, who would you vote for?
                            • Barack Obama 48%
                            • George W. Bush 44%
                            Among Independents
                            • Barack Obama 52%
                            • George W. Bush 38%
                            Among Republicans
                            • George W. Bush 81%
                            • Barack Obama 8%
                            Among Democrats
                            • Barack Obama 83%
                            • George W. Bush 14%
                            Among Moderates
                            • Barack Obama 66%
                            • George W. Bush 26%
                            Among Men
                            • George W. Bush 49%
                            • Barack Obama 44%
                            Among Women
                            • Barack Obama 53%
                            • George W. Bush 40%
                            If the choices for president next year were Democrat Barack Obama and a conservative Republican candidate endorsed by the Tea Party, who would you vote for?
                            • Barack Obama 49%
                            • Conservative Tea Party Republican 45%
                            Among Independents
                            • Barack Obama 48%
                            • Conservative Tea Party Republican 43%
                            If the choices for president next year were Democrat Barack Obama and a moderate Republican candidate, who would you vote for?
                            • Moderate Republican 46%
                            • Barack Obama 44%
                            Among Independents
                            • Moderate Republican 47%
                            • Barack Obama 40%
                            Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                            • Mike Huckabee 36% [37%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (37%) {27%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [36%] (33%) {38%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (42%) / 30% [38%] (40%) {32%} [34%] (28%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {36%} [26%] (29%) {35%} [37%] (29%) {36%} [28%] (33%) {34%} [32%] (34%) {+6%}
                            • Mitt Romney 33% [36%] (36%) {33%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [37%] (36%) {32%} [30%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [40%] (40%) / 42% [40%] (42%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {36%} [36%] (42%) {39%} [28%] (32%) {36%} [39%] (34%) {38%} [34%] (37%){36%} [36%] (35%) {-9%}
                            • Sarah Palin 34% [35%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (42%) <39%> / 56% [58%] (55%) {52%} [54%] (52%) {53%} [56%] (52%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {55%} [49%] (45%) {49%} [50%] (49%) <50%> {-22%}
                            • Newt Gingrich 27% [31%] (33%) {30%} [31%] (32%) {28%} [29%] (34%) [33%] (36%) {35%} [30%] (36%) / 52% [52%] (53%) {50%} [48%] (42%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [42%] (42%) {46%} [47%] (44%) {-25%}
                            • John McCain 40% / 46% {-6%}
                            • George W. Bush 41% / 49% {-8%}
                            • Jeb Bush 29% {22%} / 37% {45%} {-8%}
                            • Ron Paul 24% {22%} / 45% {36%} {-21%}
                            • Donald Trump 27% / 56% {-29%}
                            Among Independents
                            • Mike Huckabee 30% [39%] (36%) {32%} [24%] (37%) {24%} [30%] (29%) {31%} [38%] (38%) {34%} [32%] (34%) {32%} [48%] (44%) {46%} [44%] (37%) / 35% [35%] (42%) {37%} [38%] (31%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {31%} [20%] (30%) {41%} [41%] (27%) {38%} [24%] (30%) {31%} [36%] (36%) {-5%}
                            • Mitt Romney 28% [43%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (30%) {37%} [44%] (41%) {28%} [31%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {40%} [37%] (36%) / 42% [31%] (46%) {36%} [40%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (41%) {34%} [22%] (32%) {39%} [37%] (28%) {33%} [31%] (28%) {33%} [42%] (39%) {-14%}
                            • Newt Gingrich 20% [28%] (31%) {21%} [24%] (32%) {27%} [27%] (29%) [34%] (31%) / 60% [51%] (54%) {56%} [51%] (40%) {43%} [51%] (51%) [45%] (44%) {-40%}
                            • Sarah Palin 23% [36%] (37%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {33%} [33%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (45%) {44%} [34%] (38%) <47%> / 65% [56%] (58%) {58%} [56%] (48%) {49%} [60%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (51%) {54%} [49%] (48%) {59%} [49%] (43%) {42%} [58%] (51%) <43%> {-42%}
                            • Jeb Bush 28% {19%} / 39% {42%} {-11%}
                            • Ron Paul 29% {35%} / 41% {25%} {-12%}
                            • John McCain 32% / 49% {-17%}
                            • Donald Trump 30% / 52% {-22%}
                            • George W. Bush 26% / 57% {-31%}
                            Among Republicans
                            • Mike Huckabee 59% [60%] (68%) {56%} [59%] (63%) {50%} [57%] (55%) {55%} [56%] (56%) {57%} [65%] (56%) {70%} [66%] (66%) {70%} [64%] (67%) / 10% [17%] (18%) {14%} [15%] (11%) {18%} [14%] (10%) {17%} [14%] (17%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (19%) {17%} [20%] (18%) {+49%}
                            • Sarah Palin 65% [59%] (67%) {69%} [71%] (68%) {66%} [67%] (71%) {69%} [72%] (71%) {73%} [75%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (76%) {75%} [76%] (76%) <69%> / 21% [32%] (25%) {18%} [19%] (16%) {19%} [23%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {18%} [15%] (18%) {22%} [16%] (19%) {20%} [15%](18%) <17%> {+44%}
                            • Newt Gingrich 54% [55%] (58%) {54%} [61%] (60%) {50%} [55%] (62%) [56%] (65%) / 23% [26%] (27%) {23%} [21%] (17%) {22%} [19%] (17%) [21%] (17%) {+31%}
                            • Mitt Romney 54% [50%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (54%) {49%} [55%] (52%) {57%} [58%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (54%) {63%} [67%] (60%) / 23% [30%] (21%) {20%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [17%] (25%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {15%} [19%] (20%) {21%} [18%] (25%) {21%} [17%] (21%) {+31%}
                            • George W. Bush 81% / 13% {+68%}
                            • Jeb Bush 51% {43%} / 9% {17%} {+42%}
                            • John McCain 57% / 30% {+27%}
                            • Ron Paul 34% {25%} / 33% {25%} {+1%}
                            • Donald Trump 31% / 53% {-22%}
                            Among Democrats
                            • Mike Huckabee 18% [15%] (15%) {17%} [13%] (15%) {12%} [15%] (12%) {13%} [16%] (11%) {17%} [13%] (14%) {13%} [26%] (22%) {21%} [27%] (25%) / 47% [59%] (57%) {44%} [50%] (40%) {42%} [42%] (51%) {52%} [40%] (40%) {48%} [56%] (42%) {55%} [43%] (46%) {50%} [40%] (45%) {-29%}
                            • Mitt Romney 16% [20%] (19%) {15%} [16%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (15%) {10%} [15%] (12%) {18%} [14%] (15%) {15%} [23%] (20%) {24%} [20%] (27%) / 58% [55%] (59%) {49%} [53%] (45%) {53%} [51%] (60%) {56%} [44%] (47%) {53%} [56%] (48%) {55%} [49%] (52%) {49%} [49%] (45%) {-42%}
                            • Newt Gingrich 6% [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [7%] (9%) [13%] (13%) / 76% [75%] (74%) {71%} [71%] (66%) {66%} [72%] (74%) [57%] (61%) {-70%}
                            • Sarah Palin 12% [11%] (14%) {13%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [13%] (9%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [13%] (9%) {12%} [15%] (25%) {18%} [17%] (18%) <11%> / 85% [83%] (79%) {80%} [83%] (86%) {81%} [82%] (87%) {72%} [74%] (80%) {76%} [78%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (67%) {76%} [74%] (73%) <78%> {-73%}
                            • John McCain 28% / 60% {-32%}
                            • Donald Trump 21% / 61% {-40%}
                            • Ron Paul 13% {14%} / 58% {52%} {-45%}
                            • Jeb Bush 10% {6%} / 63% {71%} {-53%}
                            • George W. Bush 11% / 79% {-68%}
                              Among Moderates
                              • Mike Huckabee 23% [23%] (24%) {25%} [21%] (23%) {22%} [20%] (22%) {22%} [28%] (21%) {22%} [25%] (24%) {29%} [40%] (34%) {33%} [40%] (36%) / 32% [48%] (48%) {39%} [37%] (32%) {35%} [35%] (37%) {44%} [29%] (37%) {43%} [45%] (34%) {43%} [30%] (36%) {38%} [36%] (41%) {-9%}
                              • Mitt Romney 23% [31%] (33%) {30%} [29%] (26%) {26%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [37%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {32%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [35%] (34%) / 41% [42%] (45%) {39%} [42%] (34%) {42%} [36%] (49%) {48%} [29%] (38%) {44%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [36%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {-18%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 10% [18%] (18%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {19%} [18%] (18%) [24%] (24%) {23%} [21%] (23%) / 63% [65%] (67%) {63%} [59%] (53%) {55%} [59%] (64%) [49%] (52%) {53%} [58%] (60%) {-53%}
                              • Sarah Palin 19% [18%] (19%) {20%} [23%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {23%} [23%] (26%) {23%} [23%] (22%) {20%} [29%] (33%) {33%} [29%] (28%) / 72% [77%] (73%) {70%} [67%] (67%) {67%} [72%] (71%) {64%} [63%] (68%) {70%} [62%] (66%) {71%} [58%] (58%) {58%} [64%] (67%) {-53%}
                              • John McCain 39% / 43% {-4%}
                              • Donald Trump 30% / 49% {-19%}
                              • Ron Paul 19% {20%} / 41% {38%} {-22%}
                              • Jeb Bush 21% {13%} / 43% {56%} {-22%}
                              • George W. Bush 26% / 63% {-37%}
                              Among Men
                              • Mike Huckabee 39% [40%] (42%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {25%} [31%] (33%) {34%} [35%] (35%) {40%} [34%] (34%) {41%} [47%] (48%) {47%} [45%] (47%) / 32% [41%] (40%) {35%} [36%] (32%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {33%} [30%] (33%) {38%} [45%] (35%) {40%} [28%] (32%) {39%} [33%] (36%) {+7%}
                              • Mitt Romney 39% [40%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (34%) {37%} [40%] (42%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {34%} [42%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (45%) / 43% [42%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (36%) {39%} [41%] (49%) {38%} [29%] (35%) {37%} [41%] (35%) {43%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [34%] (39%) {-4%}
                              • Sarah Palin 40% [37%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {45%} [37%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (46%) <48%> / 50% [54%] (51%) {48%} [49%] (54%) {50%} [56%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {54%} [46%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (49%) <38%> {-10%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 34% [36%] (40%) {36%} [37%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (37%) [38%] (44%) / 51% [50%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [50%] (51%) [41%] (37%) {-17%}
                              • George W. Bush 44% / 45% {-1%}
                              • Jeb Bush 33% {25%} / 36% {46%} {-3%}
                              • John McCain 40% / 48% {-8%}
                              • Ron Paul 25% {26%} / 50% {36%} {-25%}
                              • Donald Trump 28% / 58% {-30%}
                              Among Women
                              • Mike Huckabee 33% [34%] (35%) {34%} [33%] (38%) {30%} [35%] (32%) {27%} [35%] (34%) {32%} [37%] (32%) {35%} [43%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (37%) / 29% [35%] (40%) {29%} [33%] (23%) {28%} [24%] (26%) {38%} [22%] (27%) {32%} [29%] (23%) {33%} [28%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (32%) {+4%}
                              • Mitt Romney 27% [32%] (34%) {31%} [30%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [35%] (31%) {27%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [33%] (34%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 40% [38%] (42%) {32%} [38%] (29%) {34%} [31%] (35%) {40%} [27%] (30%) {35%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [32%] (36%) {34%} [38%] (32%) {-13%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 21% [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (32%) {23%} [28%] (31%) [28%] (28%) / 54% [53%] (57%) {53%} [49%] (39%) {46%} [47%] (43%) [42%] (46%) {-33%}
                              • Sarah Palin 29% [32%] (34%) {37%} [35%] (37%) {30%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (43%) {37%} [42%] (32%) {36%} [37%] (45%) {40%} [36%] (39%) <29%> / 62% [63%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (50%) {55%} [56%] (51%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {55%} [51%] (46%) {53%} [53%] (49%) <61%> {-33%}
                              • John McCain 39% / 44% {-5%}
                              • Jeb Bush 26% {19%} / 38% {44%} {-12%}
                              • Ron Paul 23% {18%} / 40% {37%} {-17%}
                              • George W. Bush 37% / 53% {-16%}
                              • Donald Trump 25% / 55% {-30%}
                              Survey of 600 registered American voters was conducted February 11-14, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% [40%] (42%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {43%} [40%] {38%} (36%) [39%] Democrat; 38% [37%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {33%} [34%] {34%} (35%) [34%] Republican; 20% [23%] (23%) {23%} [25%] (27%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [26%] {28%} (29%) [27%] Independent/Other. Political views: 30% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 18% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13-15, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll onducted October 16-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-18, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2009 are in angle brackets.

                              Tuesday, February 15, 2011

                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2012 Republican Primary Survey

                              PPP (D) Colorado 2012 GOP Primary Survey
                              • Mitt Romney 19% {22%} [25%] (44%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 16% {14%} [18%] (17%)
                              • Sarah Palin 16% {17%} [29%] (25%)
                              • Newt Gingrich 12% {17%} [16%]
                              • Ron Paul 9%
                              • Tim Pawlenty 7% {6%}
                              • John Thune 4% {2%}
                              • Mitch Daniels 3% {1%}
                              • Someone else/Undecided 16% {18%}
                              Among Conservatives
                              • Mitt Romney 18% {20%} [24%] (40%)
                              • Sarah Palin 17% {19%} [27%] (32%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 15% {14%} [14%] (16%)
                              • Newt Gingrich 13% {20%} [21%]
                              • Ron Paul 10%
                              • Tim Pawlenty 6% {7%}
                              • John Thune 4% {2%}
                              • Mitch Daniels 2% {1%}
                              • Someone else/Undecided 15% {14%}
                              Among Moderates
                              • Mitt Romney 22% {27%} [27%] (52%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 20% {15%} [28%] (24%)
                              • Newt Gingrich 10% {6%} [5%]
                              • Sarah Palin 10% {9%} [30%] (11%)
                              • Tim Pawlenty 8% {3%}
                              • Ron Paul 6%
                              • Mitch Daniels 4% {2%}
                              • John Thune 3% {3%}
                              • Someone else/Undecided 17% {34%}
                              Among Men
                              • Mitt Romney 18% {20%} [25%] (49%)
                              • Sarah Palin 16% {17%} [32%] (25%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 15% {12%} [15%] (15%)
                              • Newt Gingrich 14% {19%} [16%]
                              • Ron Paul 10%
                              • Tim Pawlenty 6% {4%}
                              • Mitch Daniels 5% {2%} 
                              • John Thune 4% {3%}
                              • Someone else/Undecided 13% {19%}
                              Among Women
                              • Mitt Romney 21% {24%} [27%] (38%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 17% {16%} [24%] (20%)
                              • Sarah Palin 15% {16%} [23%] (26%)
                              • Newt Gingrich 9% {15%} [16%]
                              • Tim Pawlenty 8% {8%}
                              • Ron Paul 7%
                              • John Thune 4% {2%}
                              • Mitch Daniels 1% {0%}
                              • Someone else/Undecided 19% {18%}
                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                              • Mitt Romney 60% / 22% {+38%}
                              • Mike Huckabee 59% / 24% {+35%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 54% / 27% {+27%}
                              • Sarah Palin 59% / 32% {+27%}
                              Among Conservatives
                              • Sarah Palin 70% / 22% {+48%}
                              • Mike Huckabee 66% / 21% {+45%}
                              • Mitt Romney 63% / 21% {+42%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 62% / 21% {+41%}
                              Among Moderates
                              • Mitt Romney 55% / 24% {+31%}
                              • Mike Huckabee 40% / 32% {+8%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 34% / 40% {-6%}
                              • Sarah Palin 30% / 60% {-30%}
                              Among Men
                              • Mitt Romney 62% / 25% {+37%}
                              • Mike Huckabee 58% / 27% {+31%}
                              • Sarah Palin 61% / 31% {+30%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 57% / 28% {+29%}
                              Among Women
                              • Mitt Romney 58% / 19% {+39%}
                              • Mike Huckabee 60% / 21% {+39%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 51% / 25% {+26%}
                              • Sarah Palin 56% / 34% {+22%}
                              Survey of 400 usual Colorado Republican primary voters was conducted February 4-6, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 72% Conservative; 27% Moderate; 2% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

                              PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey
                              • Mike Huckabee 20% {24%} [16%] (21%) {23%} [21%] (22%) {25%} [27%] (24%)
                              • Mitt Romney 17% {14%} [18%] (22%) {22%} [19%] (25%) {23%} [33%] (28%)
                              • Sarah Palin 15% {14%} [21%] (17%) {21%} [17%] (19%) {20%} [23%] (23%)
                              • Newt Gingrich 12% {11%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [23%] (15%) {21%}
                              • Ron Paul 8% {7%} [5%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (6%) {8%} (11%)
                              • Mitch Daniels 4% {4%} [2%]
                              • Tim Pawlenty 4% {8%} [5%]
                              • John Thune 1% {1%} [3%]
                              Given the same list of choices who would your second choice be for President in 2012?
                              • Mike Huckabee 20%
                              • Sarah Palin 17%
                              • Newt Gingrich 13%
                              • Mitt Romney 12%
                              • Ron Paul 6%
                              • Tim Pawlenty 4%
                              • Mitch Daniels 3%
                              • John Thune 1%
                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                              • Mike Huckabee 58% {64%} [63%] (60%) {62%} [64%] (53%) {58%} [55%] (54%) / 15% {16%} [17%] (14%) {14%} [11%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (16%) {+43%}
                              • Sarah Palin 65% {65%} [68%] (66%) {76%} [70%] (67%) {69%} [66%] (69%) / 25% {26%} [22%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (18%) {21%} [21%] (17%) {+40%}
                              • Mitt Romney 55% {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 25% {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+30%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 55% {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 26% {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {+29%}
                              • Ron Paul 30% / 37% {-7%}
                              • Donald Trump 29% / 56% {-27%}
                              Among Voters Who Think Obama Was Born in the U.S. (28%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 50% / 20% {+30%}
                              • Mitt Romney 52% / 26% {+26%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 46% / 40% {+6%}
                              • Sarah Palin 41% / 52% {-11%}
                              • Ron Paul 20% / 53% {-33%}
                              • Donald Trump 27% / 65% {-38%}
                              Among Voters Who Think Obama Was NOT Born in the U.S. (51%)
                              • Sarah Palin 83% / 12% {+71%}
                              • Mike Huckabee 64% / 12% {+52%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 59% / 19% {+40%}
                              • Mitt Romney 55% / 27% {+28%}
                              • Ron Paul 34% / 34% {0%}
                              • Donald Trump 33% / 51% {-18%}
                              Do you think Mitt Romney is most qualified to be President or Vice President?
                              • President 50%
                              • Vice president 24%
                              Do you think Mike Huckabee is most qualified to be President or Vice President?
                              • President 44%
                              • Vice president 28%
                              Do you think Newt Gingrich is most qualified to be President or Vice President?
                              • President 27%
                              • Vice president 37%
                              Do you think Sarah Palin is most qualified to be President or Vice President?
                              • President 29%
                              • Vice president 46%
                              Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?
                              • Yes 28%
                              • No 51%
                              • Not sure 21%
                              Survey of 400 Republican primary voters nationwide was conducted February 11-13, 2011.  The margin of error is +/-4.3 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 85% Republican; 12% Independent/Other; 2% Democrat.  Political ideology: 41% Somewhat conservative; 39% Very conservative; 15% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.

                              Inside the numbers:
                              Birtherism is alive and well within the GOP ranks, and their 2012 nominee preferences tell a story about the difficulty Mitt Romney faces in trying to appeal to an electorate that's a whole lot further out there than he is. 
                              Birthers make a majority among those voters who say they're likely to participate in a Republican primary next year. 51% say they don't think Barack Obama was born in the United States to just 28% who firmly believe that he was and 21% who are unsure. The GOP birther majority is a new development. The last time PPP tested this question nationally, in August of 2009, only 44% of Republicans said they thought Obama was born outside the country while 36% said that he definitely was born in the United States. If anything birtherism is on the rise. 
                              How does this impact Romney? Well among the 49% of GOP primary voters who either think Obama was born in the United States or aren't sure, Romney's the first choice to be the 2012 nominee by a good amount, getting 23% to 16% for Mike Huckabee, 11% for Sarah Palin, and 10% for Newt Gingrich. But with the birther majority he's in a distant fourth place at 11%, with Mike Huckabee at 24%, Sarah Palin at 19%, and Newt Gingrich at 14% all ahead of him. 
                              There is really a remarkable divide in how the birther and non-birther wings of the GOP view Sarah Palin. With the birthers she is a beloved figure, scoring an 83/12 favorability rating. Non-birthers are almost evenly divided on her with 47% rating her positively and 40% unfavorably.

                              Monday, February 14, 2011

                              Poll Watch: NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

                              Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey
                              • Barack Obama 48%
                              • Mitt Romney 44%
                              • Barack Obama 51%
                              • Mike Huckabee 38%
                              • Barack Obama 56%
                              • Newt Gingrich 33%
                              • Barack Obama 57%
                              • Sarah Palin 34%
                              Among Independents
                              • Barack Obama 53%
                              • Mitt Romney 37%
                              • Barack Obama 54%
                              • Mike Huckabee 32%
                              • Barack Obama 63%
                              • Sarah Palin 27%
                              • Barack Obama 62%
                              • Newt Gingrich 24%
                              Among Moderates
                              • Barack Obama 60%
                              • Mitt Romney 32%
                              • Barack Obama 64%
                              • Mike Huckabee 25%
                              • Barack Obama 70%
                              • Newt Gingrich 19%
                              • Barack Obama 70%
                              • Sarah Palin 19%
                              Among Men
                              • Mitt Romney 51%
                              • Barack Obama 43%
                              • Barack Obama 47%
                              • Mike Huckabee 43%
                              • Barack Obama 51%
                              • Newt Gingrich 39%
                              • Barack Obama 52%
                              • Sarah Palin 39%
                              Among Women
                              • Barack Obama 53%
                              • Mitt Romney 37%
                              • Barack Obama 55%
                              • Mike Huckabee 33%
                              • Barack Obama 61%
                              • Sarah Palin 30%
                              • Barack Obama 61%
                              • Newt Gingrich 28%
                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                              • Barack Obama 52% / 44% {+8%}
                              • Mike Huckabee 42% / 39% {+3%}
                              • Mitt Romney 45% / 44% {+1%}
                              • Sarah Palin 36% / 61% {-25%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 29% / 59% {-30%}
                              Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
                              • Approve 50%
                              • Disapprove 44%
                              As you may know, the Governor and the New Hampshire legislature passed a law legalizing gay marriage last year. This year, the legislature has proposed repealing the gay marriage law. Do you favor or oppose repealing the gay marriage law in New Hampshire?
                              • Favor 35%
                              • Oppose 56%
                              As you may know, in 2010 Congress passed legislation to change the health care system, and was signed into law by President Obama. Earlier this year, the new Congress voted to repeal the 2010 health care law. Do you favor or oppose repealing the 2010 health care law?
                              • Favor 50%
                              • Oppose 43%
                              Survey of 789 likely general election voters was conducted February 9-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.49 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 32% Republican; 31% Democrat; 37% Independent. Political ideology: 48% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 15% Liberal.


                              Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR Granite State New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

                              UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

                              Republican Primary
                              • Mitt Romney 40% [36%] {33%} (41%)
                              • Rudy Giuliani 10% [10%] {8%} (11%)
                              • Tim Pawlenty 7% [2%] {4%} (3%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 7% [12%] {7%} (9%)
                              • Newt Gingrich 6% [7%] {11%} (5%)
                              • Sarah Palin 6% [11%] {9%} (12%)
                              • Ron Paul 5% [3%] {7%} (6%)
                              • Donald Trump 3%
                              • Rick Santorum 1% [1%] {2%} (2%)
                              • Haley Barbour 1% [1%]
                              • John Thune 0% [0%] {0%} (0%)
                              • Mitch Daniels 0%
                              • Gary Johnson 0% [2%] {0%} (0%)
                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                              • Mitt Romney 73% [73%] {75%} (72%) / 16% [19%] {16%} (18%) {+57%}
                              • Rudy Giuliani 59% [67%] {64%} (67%) / 29% [21%] {28%} (23%) {+30%}
                              • Tim Pawlenty 34% [31%] {32%} (30%) / 9% [9%] {12%} (6%) {+25%}
                              • Mike Huckabee 50% [58%] {54%} (54%) / 28% [27%] {31%} (27%) {+22%}
                              • Rick Santorum 30% [24%] {30%} (30%) / 12% [15%] {15%} (11%) {+18%}
                              • John Thune 11% [11%] {10%} (12%) / 7% [10%] {11%} (7%) {+4%}
                              • Newt Gingrich 41% [46%] {61%} (53%) / 40% [39%] {32%} (31%) {+1%}
                              • Ron Paul 36% [30%] {38%} (36%) / 35% [40%] {35%} (39%) {+1%}
                              • Mitch Daniels 18% / 19% {-1%}
                              • Haley Barbour 18% [17%] / 19% [19%] {-1%
                              • Gary Johnson 6% [7%] {7%} (12%) / 11% [10%] {10%} (5%) {-5%}
                              • Sarah Palin 33% [52%] {56%} (51%) / 50% [34%] {35%} (35%) {-17%}
                              • Donald Trump 21% / 64% {-43%}
                              General Election
                              • Mitt Romney 49%
                              • Barack Obama 41%
                              • Barack Obama 44%
                              • Tim Pawlenty 37%
                              • Barack Obama 57%
                              • Sarah Palin 34%
                                Survey of 757 New Hampshire adults, including a subsample of 357 likely Republican primary voters, was conducted January 28 - February 7, 2011.  The margin of error is +/-  3.5 percentage points among all adults; +/- 5.2 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Results from the poll conducted October 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-28, 2010 are in parentheses.  

                                Inside the numbers:
                                Seventy-eight percent (78%) of likely Republican primary voters said they are still trying to decide who to vote for, an only 7 percent said they had definitely made up their minds. 
                                There is no potential Democratic challenger for President Barack Obama, but just 65 percent of likely Democratic primary voters said they plan to vote for Obama, and 27 percent are undecided. The subsample of 259 likely Democratic primary voters has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 6.1 percent.

                                Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Republican Primary Survey

                                PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 GOP Primary Survey
                                • Sarah Palin 20% (32%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 17% (18%)
                                • Mitt Romney 16% (33%)
                                • Newt Gingrich 13%
                                • Gary Johnson 13%
                                • Tim Pawlenty 6%
                                • Ron Paul 4%
                                • Mitch Daniels 3%
                                • Someone else/Undecided 8%
                                Among Conservatives
                                • Sarah Palin 20% (34%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 20% (19%)
                                • Newt Gingrich 15%
                                • Mitt Romney 15% (31%)
                                • Tim Pawlenty 6%
                                • Ron Paul 4%
                                • Mitch Daniels 2%
                                • Someone else/Undecided 5%
                                Among Moderates
                                • Mitt Romney 19% (37%)
                                • Sarah Palin 16% (29%)
                                • Gary Johnson 15%
                                • Mike Huckabee 10% (16%)
                                • Newt Gingrich 7%
                                • Mitch Daniels 6%
                                • Tim Pawlenty 6%
                                • Ron Paul 5%
                                • Someone else/Undecided 16%
                                Among Men
                                • Newt Gingrich 18%
                                • Sarah Palin 18% (33%)
                                • Gary Johnson 14%
                                • Mitt Romney 14% (35%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 13% (19%)
                                • Tim Pawlenty 7%
                                • Ron Paul 6%
                                • Mitch Daniels 3%
                                • Someone else/Undecided 6%
                                Among Women
                                • Sarah Palin 21% (31%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 20% (17%)
                                • Mitt Romney 17% (31%)
                                • Gary Johnson 12%
                                • Newt Gingrich 7%
                                • Tim Pawlenty 5%
                                • Mitch Daniels 4%
                                • Ron Paul 3%
                                • Someone else/Undecided 11%
                                If the Republican candidates for President next year were just Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney who would you vote for?
                                • Sarah Palin 22%
                                • Mike Huckabee 18%
                                • Mitt Romney 16%
                                • Newt Gingrich 15%
                                • Tim Pawlenty 7%
                                • Ron Paul 6%
                                • Mitch Daniels 3%
                                • Someone else/Undecided 12%
                                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                • Mike Huckabee 67% / 17% {+50%}
                                • Sarah Palin 69% / 25% {+44%}
                                • Mitt Romney 56% / 29% {+27%}
                                • Newt Gingrich 53% / 30% {+23%}
                                • Gary Johnson 46% / 33% {+13%}
                                Among Conservatives
                                • Mike Huckabee 76% / 10% {+66%}
                                • Sarah Palin 80% / 14% {+66%}
                                • Newt Gingrich 64% / 20% {+44%}
                                • Mitt Romney 59% / 28% {+31%}
                                • Gary Johnson 46% / 34% {+12%}
                                Among Moderates
                                • Mitt Romney 51% / 35% {+16%}
                                • Gary Johnson 45% / 32% {+13%}
                                • Mike Huckabee 46% / 36% {+10%}
                                • Sarah Palin 41% / 55% {-14%}
                                • Newt Gingrich 29% / 52% {-23%}
                                Among Men
                                • Sarah Palin 73% / 21% {+52%}
                                • Mike Huckabee 68% / 18% {+50%}
                                • Mitt Romney 59% / 26% {+33%}
                                • Newt Gingrich 57% / 29% {+28%}
                                • Gary Johnson 48% / 31% {+17%}
                                Among Women
                                • Mike Huckabee 66% / 17% {+49%}
                                • Sarah Palin 65% / 31% {+34%}
                                • Mitt Romney 53% / 33% {+20%}
                                • Newt Gingrich 50% / 31% {+19%}
                                • Gary Johnson 44% / 36% {+8%}
                                Survey of 357 Republican primary voters was conducted February 4-6, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Political ideology: 70% (68%) Conservative; 28% (28%) Moderate; 2% (5%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2010 are in parentheses.