Saturday, January 21, 2012

Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Newt Gingrich 40% (33%) {25%} [24%] (33%) {8%} [3%] (9%)
  • Mitt Romney 26% (32%) {29%} [31%] (22%) {25%} [25%] (18%)
  • Ron Paul 18% (19%) {20%} [9%] (8%) {7%} [2%] (1%)
  • Rick Santorum 13% (9%) {7%} [24%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) 
  • Undecided 2% (3%) {7%} [7%] (12%) {12%} [15%] (11%)
Among Tea Party Supporters
  • Newt Gingrich 48% (43%) {28%} [33%]
  • Mitt Romney 19% (22%) {24%} [30%]
  • Rick Santorum 16% (13%) {11%} [19%]
  • Ron Paul 14% (17%) {20%} [9%]
  • Undecided 3% (2%) {6%} [8%]
Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters
  • Newt Gingrich 33% (24%) {23%} [17%]  
  • Mitt Romney 31% (39%) {33%} [32%]
  • Ron Paul 22% (20%) {21%} [10%]
  • Rick Santorum 11% (5%) {3%} [27%]
  • Undecided 1% (5%) {7%} [6%]
Among Men
  • Newt Gingrich 38%
  • Mitt Romney 25%
  • Ron Paul 21%
  • Rick Santorum 13%
  • Undecided 2%
Among Women
  • Newt Gingrich 42%
  • Mitt Romney 26%
  • Ron Paul 16%
  • Rick Santorum 13%
  • Undecided 2%
Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters (458 Republicans, 137 independents, and 5 Democrats) was conducted January 19-20, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: Republican: 76% (79%) {79%} [84%] (74%) {81%} [79%] (76%); Independent: 24% (21%) {21%} [16%] (26%) {19%} [21%] (24%). Tea Party supporter: 46% (45%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [51%] (52%); Not a Tea Party supporter/Undecided: 54% (55%) {53%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (48%).  Results from the poll conducted January 17-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4-5, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 25-28, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-23, 2011 are in parentheses.

No comments: